Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

696

Trades

2,215

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-04 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

62% 55% -$900

Crypto

31% 44% -$802

Politics

5% 17% -$49

Sports

1% 74% +$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-104	-$22	20¢	$-20	+$1	05-04 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$534	309	309	+0	No	+$64	04-23 14:39
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	26	$520	791	791	+0	No	-$82	04-04 23:19
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	22	$459	283	289	-6	No	+$46	04-29 01:05
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	19	$440	719	808	-89	Yes	-$351	04-06 01:56
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?	20	$432	680	680	+0	Yes	-$360	04-04 23:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	1	$400	417	0	+417	Down	+$17	04-18 16:03
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	15	$344	374	374	+0	No	-$69	04-06 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	2	$300	1,237	0	+1,237	Down	-$85	04-18 16:02
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 15c	21	$288	512	0	+512	No	+$223	04-05 16:04
highest temperature in dallas on april 7 2026 72 73f	6	$288	317	315	+2	Yes	-$100	04-07 15:54
Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?	15	$258	585	585	+0	No	-$257	04-29 01:06
highest temperature in miami on april 6 2026 82 83f	9	$243	389	0	+389	No	+$146	04-05 15:52
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	14	$237	310	310	+0	Yes	-$189	04-29 01:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$224	167	167	+0	No	+$24	03-12 02:54
bitcoin above 70k on march 13	2	$220	204	201	+3	Yes	+$20	03-12 02:56
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	7	$203	300	0	+300	Yes	-$203	04-12 08:11
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	1	$200	972	0	+972	Yes	+$772	03-08 03:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 19	1	$200	257	0	+257	Yes	+$57	04-19 15:31
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	15	$198	523	0	+523	No	+$325	04-04 22:16
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	30	$198	2,989	0	+2,989	Yes	-$192	04-03 17:16
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$169	278	274	+4	Yes	-$28	03-12 02:56
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 15c	14	$167	270	0	+270	Yes	-$167	04-04 22:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$167	156	156	+0	No	+$6	04-18 15:45
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 6 2026 29c	4	$166	247	0	+247	Yes	-$166	04-05 15:12
highest temperature in atlanta on april 7 2026 76forhigher	11	$157	399	0	+399	Yes	-$157	04-06 19:05
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 17c	4	$152	245	0	+245	No	+$93	04-05 15:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 7 2026 21c	9	$152	212	0	+212	No	+$60	04-06 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:55 UTC	3	$150	287	0	+287	Up	-$14	04-18 15:59
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	7	$147	376	476	-100	No	-$21	04-06 01:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$147	33,333	33,333	+0	No	-$80	04-18 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 02:01:02	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8116b4…
05-04 02:00:56	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x0a4dd2…
05-04 02:00:52	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xd09cee…
05-04 02:00:46	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x6ef68f…
05-04 02:00:40	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x5e4eac…
05-04 02:00:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xc1d8f4…
05-04 02:00:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xb43f80…
05-04 02:00:22	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xef65bb…
05-04 02:00:14	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	104	21¢	$22	0xe83485…
05-04 02:00:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x289ed0…
05-04 00:31:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x38e83c…
05-03 23:17:44	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x19ee73…
05-03 20:56:06	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xf0dfd1…
05-03 16:29:42	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6affc8…
05-03 03:35:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xdf5d98…
05-03 03:25:16	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4024e3…
05-02 03:30:56	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x9e8e39…
05-02 03:30:52	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x297ea8…
05-01 19:02:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x689b5b…
05-01 19:02:26	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xc71016…
05-01 19:02:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x0c2ce4…
04-29 01:07:02	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	253	1¢	$1	0xa57eec…
04-29 01:06:58	Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	585	0¢	$1	0xd2efbd…
04-29 01:06:28	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0xf81824…
04-29 01:06:24	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0xf18162…
04-29 01:06:16	Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x3ee3c0…
04-29 01:05:42	Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x205bbe…
04-29 01:05:36	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xcc7f52…
04-29 01:05:30	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$35	0x9a9109…
04-29 01:05:22	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	239	93¢	$222	0xea17ae…
04-27 22:41:20	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x6f6dd8…
04-27 15:48:20	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x644ad1…
04-27 15:38:12	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x2ba932…
04-27 12:31:26	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x3a31a5…
04-26 09:45:06	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	480	7¢	$34	0xb7a923…
04-26 08:50:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x1bdb2b…
04-26 08:29:02	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd6dc59…
04-26 08:26:08	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x06a571…
04-26 07:49:44	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb0973b…
04-26 07:49:38	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0xdf0c0d…
04-26 07:49:38	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcdbbf1…
04-26 07:49:38	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x8988a1…
04-26 07:49:38	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x26128b…
04-26 07:18:16	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	170	11¢	$19	0xa84e0f…
04-26 07:16:14	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	226	17¢	$38	0x83244d…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xf8d6b9…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf1d81e…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xb49ae3…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x44e301…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x2ee79f…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x2ca9de…
04-26 07:15:36	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x1e7a7b…
04-26 07:15:34	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0xf57d4f…
04-26 07:15:34	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xc5e9c9…
04-26 07:15:34	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x427f67…
04-26 06:50:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcbd7ec…
04-25 22:05:46	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x83b55f…
04-25 18:16:34	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1d8a59…
04-25 14:19:20	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1d217d…
04-25 14:19:18	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1f8cf5…
04-25 07:38:30	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe015c9…
04-25 07:38:30	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x7eff68…
04-25 07:38:28	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xd52ce8…
04-25 06:29:46	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee9957…
04-25 05:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xcedb79…
04-25 05:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x51e046…
04-25 05:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd7801a…
04-25 05:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd0d49c…
04-25 05:36:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0e89e1…
04-25 05:33:48	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x803c87…
04-25 05:33:48	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x653d52…
04-25 05:33:48	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5c2d7b…
04-25 05:31:08	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x676983…
04-25 05:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x58a638…
04-25 05:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa90b64…
04-25 05:08:46	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf76f35…
04-25 05:08:46	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9af4d4…
04-25 04:59:28	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcdbd1a…
04-25 04:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x361a01…
04-25 04:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x5256d3…
04-25 04:31:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x64fc9a…
04-25 04:27:00	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5a33d…
04-25 04:21:10	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf0fea6…
04-25 04:21:10	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9edd89…
04-25 04:06:14	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x85134f…
04-25 04:06:08	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd90d52…
04-25 04:06:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0d38e…
04-25 04:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6f1e2e…
04-25 04:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x260a9a…
04-25 03:37:24	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe100a6…
04-25 03:37:24	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xde0ffa…
04-25 03:37:24	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcc90a4…
04-25 03:37:24	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb96540…
04-25 03:37:24	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ccc90…
04-25 03:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xa26769…
04-25 03:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x7ea638…
04-25 03:11:06	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x450d39…
04-25 02:59:32	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xa63015…
04-25 02:46:06	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x1dc716…
04-25 02:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa5dccb…