Mountainous-Brick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

140

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-13 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

54% 65% +$66

Crypto

33% 65% +$15

Politics

12% 52% +$1

Tech

2% 25% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down on march 31 2026	2	$402	206	206	+1	Down	+$6	03-31 15:02
tsla close above 370 on march 30 2026	2	$386	195	195	+0	No	+$4	03-30 20:43
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$373	188	188	+0	No	+$2	03-29 20:48
solana above 80 on april 2	2	$359	210	210	+0	No	-$53	04-02 14:36
msft above 370 on march 27 2026	2	$357	180	180	+0	No	+$4	03-27 20:07
amzn close above 215 on march 26 2026	2	$346	175	175	+0	No	+$4	03-26 22:39
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	2	$339	172	172	+0	No	+$4	04-14 11:30
googl close above 295 on march 25 2026	2	$335	169	169	+0	No	+$3	03-25 20:12
ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt23	2	$327	166	166	+0	Yes	+$5	03-25 12:54
nvda close above 180 on march 24 2026	2	$314	159	159	+0	No	+$3	03-24 22:03
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	2	$308	156	156	+0	No	+$3	03-24 15:56
meta close above 610 on march 23 2026	2	$290	148	148	+0	No	+$6	03-23 20:16
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	2	$281	142	142	+0	Up	+$4	03-23 15:55
will xrp dip to 1pt3 march 16 22	2	$274	139	139	+0	No	+$3	03-23 07:07
will pltr close between 160 and 162 week march 20 2026	2	$269	136	136	+0	No	+$3	03-20 20:19
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 120 139	2	$264	133	133	+0	No	+$1	03-20 16:18
tsla close above 400 on march 19 2026	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	+$1	03-19 21:23
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 18	2	$258	131	131	+0	No	+$2	03-19 02:02
meta close above 630 on march 18 2026	2	$250	128	128	+0	No	+$6	03-18 20:09
googl close above 305 on march 17 2026	2	$236	119	119	+0	Yes	+$3	03-17 21:30
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$231	117	117	+0	Yes	+$2	03-17 16:43
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	2	$228	115	115	+0	Yes	+$2	03-16 20:31
will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 29m and 32m	2	$227	115	115	+0	No	$0	03-16 15:54
bitcoin above 72k on march 14	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	+$2	03-14 15:34
amzn close above 210 on march 13 2026	2	$213	109	109	+0	No	+$4	03-13 20:11
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 120 139	2	$206	104	104	+0	No	+$1	03-13 17:13
tsla above 360 on march 31 2026	1	$204	206	0	+206	Yes	+$2	03-31 19:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	2	$203	105	105	+0	No	$0	03-13 00:10
aapl close above 250 on march 12 2026	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 21:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 12	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$4	03-12 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 10:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4d6bb9…
06-13 10:22:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfcc883…
06-09 15:07:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xebc5b7…
06-07 12:59:24	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeac830…
06-07 12:32:49	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6c7ada…
06-06 19:01:09	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe7be5d…
06-06 18:37:39	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb91c2c…
06-06 18:13:12	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf34305…
06-06 15:00:10	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5ef17d…
06-06 12:10:18	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	Team Yandex	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xac23fd…
06-06 12:00:06	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x93f8a3…
06-06 11:05:03	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x372ce0…
06-06 10:51:27	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb0aab6…
05-25 09:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xe4af55…
05-25 09:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xa45521…
05-21 10:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xc92027…
05-21 10:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xf170f7…
05-21 10:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xcb757c…
05-21 10:11:35	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x469b5c…
05-21 10:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xf9d390…
05-21 10:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5d63a6…
05-21 10:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x51ccbb…
05-20 15:01:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x72d376…
05-20 14:17:09	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x145145…
05-15 16:53:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa579a2…
05-13 05:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbb9c6e…
05-13 05:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x537b5e…
05-12 19:50:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7e3b81…
05-12 09:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e9abd…
05-11 17:52:01	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1bff29…
05-11 17:50:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9375c5…
05-11 09:32:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xa084b0…
05-11 06:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xde0df2…
05-10 10:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x0234e9…
05-10 00:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x86d355…
05-09 15:13:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xda78f5…
05-08 20:12:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4a8891…
05-08 10:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x159f39…
05-08 10:16:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x203a79…
05-08 03:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0x6391da…
05-08 03:38:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdf4935…
05-07 21:16:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x8715c1…
05-06 19:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa13f38…
05-06 15:39:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf36aec…
05-04 21:43:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa6627b…
04-23 14:37:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5b9a72…
04-23 14:36:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6a59db…
04-22 21:06:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x29baf6…
04-14 11:30:31	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x4b4354…
04-14 07:17:55	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 0pt22	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0xb7b034…
04-08 23:17:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x507aca…
04-07 11:27:53	zelenskyy of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 60 79	Yes	BUY	169	95¢	$160	0xc863c5…
04-06 11:31:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xa0d06a…
04-05 21:33:45	will xrp dip to 1pt2 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x1f7927…
04-03 12:10:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0x9b6492…
04-02 19:53:01	nvda close above 175 on april 2 2026	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xf2b303…
04-02 14:36:23	solana above 80 on april 2	No	SELL	210	73¢	$153	0xeb7aa3…
04-02 13:37:55	solana above 80 on april 2	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x37e140…
03-31 19:10:13	tsla above 360 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x7d8925…
03-31 15:02:15	xrp up or down on march 31 2026	Down	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0xb6446f…
03-31 13:32:35	xrp up or down on march 31 2026	Down	BUY	206	96¢	$198	0x0e381b…
03-31 00:09:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 30	No	BUY	198	98¢	$195	0x279d70…
03-30 20:43:55	tsla close above 370 on march 30 2026	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x8bd2aa…
03-30 16:22:53	tsla close above 370 on march 30 2026	No	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0xb19bc9…
03-29 20:48:38	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 23 29	No	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0x5a4ed9…
03-29 20:48:06	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0x1e2ac7…
03-28 15:56:49	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0x427dac…
03-27 23:24:27	will solana dip to 80 on march 27	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0x7fa136…
03-27 20:07:21	msft above 370 on march 27 2026	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x4ebe96…
03-27 17:22:35	msft above 370 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0xcb5eba…
03-26 23:49:05	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 26	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x6ec3d9…
03-26 22:39:13	amzn close above 215 on march 26 2026	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x1a5ac5…
03-26 15:33:25	amzn close above 215 on march 26 2026	No	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0xe7cbe2…
03-25 23:45:47	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	No	BUY	171	98¢	$169	0x8494a9…
03-25 20:12:45	googl close above 295 on march 25 2026	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0xc7086f…
03-25 15:39:31	googl close above 295 on march 25 2026	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0xb2c1f8…
03-25 12:54:31	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt23	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x28a2c5…
03-25 09:24:33	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt23	Yes	BUY	166	97¢	$161	0xcef088…
03-24 22:16:15	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 24	No	BUY	161	98¢	$159	0xaee5e3…
03-24 22:03:09	nvda close above 180 on march 24 2026	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x3d9cfa…
03-24 16:00:57	nvda close above 180 on march 24 2026	No	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x13ab78…
03-24 15:56:23	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x502000…
03-24 10:43:57	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	BUY	156	98¢	$152	0x3203aa…
03-23 21:05:31	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 23	No	BUY	152	97¢	$148	0xc2d671…
03-23 20:16:55	meta close above 610 on march 23 2026	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x839004…
03-23 16:53:53	meta close above 610 on march 23 2026	No	BUY	148	96¢	$142	0x6a4434…
03-23 15:55:17	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xfc1b43…
03-23 13:50:51	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	142	97¢	$138	0xcb9393…
03-23 07:07:11	will xrp dip to 1pt3 march 16 22	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xab6c94…
03-22 15:34:03	will xrp dip to 1pt3 march 16 22	No	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x079f94…
03-20 20:19:39	will pltr close between 160 and 162 week march 20 2026	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x8e10e2…
03-20 16:22:31	will pltr close between 160 and 162 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	136	97¢	$133	0x64acdb…
03-20 16:18:35	donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 120 139	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x8ab4d3…
03-20 12:49:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 120 139	No	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x47234d…
03-20 12:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa609ec…
03-20 09:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf89741…
03-19 21:23:51	tsla close above 400 on march 19 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x6a25ad…
03-19 16:11:35	tsla close above 400 on march 19 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x44c51e…
03-19 02:02:21	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 18	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x053d22…
03-19 00:07:11	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 18	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x6f92e3…