Cautious-Possibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

114 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.94K lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-19 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 60% -$126

Tech

5% 100% +$4

Other

0% 0% -$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$522	326	326	+0	Down	+$122	05-16 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$400	689	0	+689	Up	-$400	05-16 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$343	217	217	+0	Up	+$33	05-19 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$337	227	189	+38	Up	+$75	05-16 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$327	181	181	+0	Down	+$27	05-19 01:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	2	$319	640	640	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$279	183	183	+0	Up	+$29	05-19 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$258	160	160	+0	Up	+$58	05-16 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$249	176	176	+0	Down	+$99	05-16 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$248	163	163	+0	Up	-$12	05-19 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$233	195	167	+28	Up	+$11	05-19 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$200	315	0	+315	Up	+$115	05-16 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$159	100	100	+0	Up	+$39	05-16 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$126	77	77	+0	Up	+$26	05-15 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$122	192	67	+125	Down	+$12	05-18 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$122	127	127	+0	Up	+$22	05-19 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$113	64	64	+0	Up	+$14	05-19 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$111	67	67	+0	Up	+$11	05-19 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$110	169	109	+60	Up	-$40	05-19 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$106	106	40	+65	Down	-$44	05-19 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$102	52	52	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$100	193	0	+193	Down	-$100	05-16 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$98	223	0	+223	Down	-$98	05-19 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$97	64	64	+0	Down	-$3	05-19 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$95	86	86	+0	Down	-$5	05-19 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$84	60	60	+0	Up	+$34	05-19 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$76	123	31	+93	Down	-$24	05-19 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$71	92	40	+52	Up	-$29	05-19 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$66	51	51	+0	Down	+$6	05-19 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 03:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	223	44¢	$98	0x6ac97c…
05-19 03:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	27¢	$18	0x609743…
05-19 03:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x22436f…
05-19 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	40	51¢	$21	0x39b7a6…
05-19 03:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x052335…
05-19 03:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4cdb3c…
05-19 02:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x803521…
05-19 01:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xee09e8…
05-19 01:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xc3a33f…
05-19 01:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x2203e9…
05-19 01:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	86	36¢	$31	0x17b2d5…
05-19 01:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x2376ea…
05-19 01:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x52f680…
05-19 01:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	167	65¢	$108	0xcc203a…
05-19 01:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa310a3…
05-19 01:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0x5011fc…
05-19 01:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xff68dc…
05-19 01:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	43	84¢	$36	0x95256a…
05-19 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x8b4ae2…
05-19 01:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x7709fe…
05-19 01:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x20eb58…
05-19 01:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x25448d…
05-19 01:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x1dc656…
05-19 01:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x05a0f5…
05-19 01:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x8aeb82…
05-19 01:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$4	0xc594d4…
05-19 01:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5293c8…
05-19 01:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x12e8c2…
05-19 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xe0fe2a…
05-19 01:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd680da…
05-19 01:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x558fcf…
05-19 01:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5c0759…
05-19 01:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x10ed22…
05-19 01:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xddcea3…
05-19 01:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xa4f7d2…
05-19 01:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xe45c72…
05-19 01:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x889b3d…
05-19 01:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xcfa418…
05-19 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xa91fa3…
05-19 00:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x4f507b…
05-19 00:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xacb8fc…
05-19 00:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x560a4f…
05-19 00:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe3d5cb…
05-19 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x4f68d1…
05-19 00:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xaf5ed1…
05-19 00:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37	88¢	$32	0x829fc5…
05-19 00:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xd5e7ea…
05-19 00:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	109	32¢	$35	0xf553fa…
05-19 00:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x50ec43…
05-19 00:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe3b561…
05-19 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x522860…
05-19 00:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	116	99¢	$114	0xb044d2…
05-19 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x071212…
05-19 00:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd61adc…
05-19 00:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaa416f…
05-19 00:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd70dae…
05-19 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x2bc226…
05-19 00:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3610c0…
05-19 00:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x29ab68…
05-19 00:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x317006…
05-19 00:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x35570e…
05-19 00:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	154	82¢	$126	0x989d7f…
05-19 00:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x503e60…
05-19 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x30e042…
05-19 00:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0x25d6ef…
05-19 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xcab9f9…
05-19 00:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xe8d600…
05-19 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0xcd5fb2…
05-18 23:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xac5281…
05-18 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0xddcc92…
05-18 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x04ec94…
05-18 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x91fd76…
05-18 23:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0ab0f4…
05-18 23:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xc3848c…
05-18 23:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf950ec…
05-18 23:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa93652…
05-18 23:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x8da0e7…
05-18 23:43:08	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	640	25¢	$161	0x8b8b33…
05-16 23:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x254af3…
05-16 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xd5c31b…
05-16 22:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x810267…
05-16 22:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x355e1b…
05-16 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0xcfba5c…
05-16 22:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x019ae4…
05-16 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x837042…
05-16 22:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xea7cc2…
05-16 22:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x57e58b…
05-16 22:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x6b76df…
05-16 22:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe52c52…
05-16 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x1a8a68…
05-16 22:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaa6688…
05-16 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3b50f4…
05-16 21:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0xaa01a6…
05-16 21:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x96fbbb…
05-16 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x5eafdc…
05-16 21:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x891df5…
05-16 20:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	326	99¢	$322	0xdd1973…
05-16 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xcc8fa4…
05-16 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xaa325d…
05-16 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd2bcf6…