Frigid-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$47.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$263

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-14 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

75% 24% -$17

Politics

13% 43% -$3

Sports

7% 25% -$3

Crypto

5% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	11	$1.7K	3,408	-3,408	No	+$0	05-29 19:26
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	7	$1.3K	2,556	-2,556	No	$0	05-30 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	6	$1.3K	2,103	-2,103	No	$0	06-10 18:09
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$877	1,754	-1,754	No	+$0	05-23 10:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$861	1,722	-1,722	No	+$0	05-13 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$854	1,708	-1,708	No	$0	05-24 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$851	1,276	-1,276	No	$0	05-30 10:08
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$844	1,688	-1,688	No	$0	06-05 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$839	1,260	-1,260	No	$0	06-11 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?	1	$449	449	-449	No	$0	04-19 09:19
Will Hugo Duro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$448	896	-896	No	+$0	04-22 16:55
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	1	$448	448	-448	No	$0	04-18 07:42
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$448	448	-448	No	$0	04-20 11:48
Will Luca Del Bel Belluz win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	3	$447	894	-894	No	$0	04-22 16:21
Will Auston Matthews win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	1	$447	447	-447	No	$0	04-21 07:47
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$442	442	-442	No	$0	04-23 11:59
Will Lane Lambert win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?	1	$442	442	-442	No	$0	04-24 07:55
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$442	876	-876	No	+$4	05-01 07:40
Will Caleb Kintz win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	2	$441	882	-882	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will Darnell Nurse win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	6	$441	892	-892	No	-$5	04-23 10:18
Will Sigma Olomouc win Czechia Fortuna Liga?	1	$441	441	-441	No	$0	04-23 10:17
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$441	441	-441	No	$0	04-22 05:04
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$441	441	-441	No	$0	04-25 07:49
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$440	440	-440	No	$0	04-26 06:03
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$440	440	-440	No	$0	04-25 08:16
will the bharatiya janata party bjp win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$439	439	-439	No	$0	04-26 06:28
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$439	439	-439	No	$0	04-27 10:21
Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$438	876	-876	No	+$0	05-04 09:08
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$437	437	-437	No	$0	05-03 05:21
James Comey arrested by April 28?	1	$437	437	-437	No	$0	04-29 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 16:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	0¢	$0	0x1d58b0…
06-14 10:05:21	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x3b1b87…
06-14 09:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	0¢	$1	0x8b2620…
06-14 08:59:25	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x6117ed…
06-14 08:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$1	0x1eac8a…
06-14 08:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xa93c23…
06-14 08:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x898955…
06-14 08:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd5c05b…
06-14 08:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x6dc033…
06-14 00:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	0¢	$0	0x755dd1…
06-13 08:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	417	100¢	$417	0x8ce9e3…
06-13 08:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	418	100¢	$418	0xd6f0bc…
06-11 12:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	418	100¢	$418	0x01bf53…
06-11 12:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	419	100¢	$419	0x24cb7c…
06-10 18:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	419	100¢	$419	0x0ca627…
06-10 18:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	419	100¢	$419	0x1df82d…
06-09 12:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0x04ea10…
06-09 12:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0xa46832…
06-08 15:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	0¢	$0	0x7961f4…
06-08 13:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xa68178…
06-08 12:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0x2a5c3d…
06-08 12:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0xe3f00c…
06-07 21:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x279f62…
06-07 20:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	384	0¢	$0	0x811199…
06-07 16:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0xd34969…
06-07 16:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x785ca0…
06-07 13:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	0¢	$0	0xd87bcc…
06-07 07:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	0¢	$0	0x9b5af5…
06-06 12:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x5ae8dd…
06-06 12:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0xcfdd88…
06-05 16:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	0¢	$0	0x2060d9…
06-05 14:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	0¢	$0	0x3b6de6…
06-05 12:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x62ca8f…
06-05 12:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x8d6eb2…
06-04 23:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	423	0¢	$0	0x613526…
06-04 16:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0xbec8aa…
06-04 16:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	422	100¢	$422	0x7c9224…
06-03 17:10:19	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	422	100¢	$422	0x0b9495…
06-03 17:06:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	423	100¢	$423	0x8ec154…
06-02 09:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	423	100¢	$423	0x741fe0…
06-02 09:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0x91d76f…
06-01 16:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0x311a4c…
06-01 16:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0xc02597…
05-31 17:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	424	0¢	$0	0x1d3eaa…
05-31 12:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0xbe67e2…
05-31 12:49:53	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	425	100¢	$425	0xd79fe5…
05-30 10:23:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	425	100¢	$425	0xcb792e…
05-30 10:13:56	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x51fd1b…
05-30 10:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x2a1e1b…
05-30 06:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0x0783ff…
05-29 19:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe12ee9…
05-29 17:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	0¢	$0	0x3725c8…
05-29 08:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x4ba9c4…
05-29 08:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x311fb5…
05-28 22:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	0¢	$0	0xe6bb8e…
05-28 13:54:49	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	0¢	$0	0xcd951e…
05-28 13:44:19	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x6f4107…
05-28 12:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x898496…
05-28 12:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	0¢	$0	0xe5e9f5…
05-28 10:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	425	100¢	$425	0x951c03…
05-28 10:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x2dd4c3…
05-27 15:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0x1aee89…
05-27 14:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x9c82af…
05-27 14:15:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x99c3b2…
05-26 11:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0xb89d72…
05-26 10:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	0¢	$0	0x1e003f…
05-26 10:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x0c9ce3…
05-26 10:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x62ac8c…
05-26 10:20:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x090dff…
05-25 17:16:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0xa74023…
05-25 14:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0x17fe4c…
05-25 10:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x497c85…
05-25 09:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x9b6620…
05-24 17:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x099e0a…
05-24 16:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	0¢	$0	0x91014e…
05-24 13:13:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	0¢	$0	0xd3d6af…
05-24 08:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0xa8a342…
05-24 08:42:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	427	100¢	$427	0x292d67…
05-23 15:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$0	0x5b8960…
05-23 15:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	0¢	$0	0x81ea1f…
05-23 11:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x9dedbf…
05-23 11:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	427	100¢	$427	0x882184…
05-23 10:03:53	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	429	0¢	$0	0x4fb891…
05-22 08:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	427	100¢	$427	0x93070e…
05-22 08:55:44	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	427	100¢	$427	0x2b8b84…
05-21 09:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	427	100¢	$427	0x5fe3b1…
05-21 09:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0xcc88a3…
05-20 14:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$0	0x23fe53…
05-20 09:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0x13c5e2…
05-20 09:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0x887cf2…
05-20 00:23:39	Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	429	0¢	$0	0xec4258…
05-20 00:23:34	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	327	0¢	$0	0x24d9d9…
05-19 16:14:49	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe31ac7…
05-19 11:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$0	0x8a24dd…
05-19 09:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0x806ed4…
05-19 09:30:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0x41288b…
05-19 08:44:50	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x92f953…
05-19 07:27:59	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x7f8fa2…
05-18 10:54:32	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	428	100¢	$428	0x5907dc…
05-18 10:52:47	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	429	100¢	$429	0xd3df1d…