Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
54.3%
Resolved
241
Trades
487
lifetime
Volume
$1.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$37
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 10-29 17:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
69% 45% -$77
Politics
26% 62% +$15
Sports
4% 33% -$10
Crypto
1% 71% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +51 $9 16¢ $8 -$1 09-09 16:15
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$1 08-04 23:12
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$1 10-28 05:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-26 16:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 08-28 16:48
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +15 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 08-18 00:40
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 08-06 17:30
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 08-03 22:24
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +3 $2 61¢ $2 $0 10-22 16:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 08-17 15:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 09-29 18:17
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-24 03:56