Realized P&L (30d)
+$220
Unrealized P&L
+$176
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved (30d)
994
Trades (30d)
2,323
5,805 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.96K
$30.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$348
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-07 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 61% +$1,687
Politics
22% 59% +$16
Other
20% 40% +$197
Sports
4% 45% -$68
Pop-Culture
2% 33% -$78
Tech
0% 43% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 7? Yes +37 $3 87¢ $32 +$29 11-07 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 7? Yes +30 $9 100¢ $29 +$21 11-07 10:51
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes -40 -$26 70¢ $-28 -$2 04-29 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on November 7? Yes +18 $7 100¢ $18 +$11 11-07 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 7? Yes +17 $5 100¢ $17 +$12 11-07 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 7? No +16 $8 100¢ $16 +$8 11-06 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 8? Yes +36 $18 44¢ $16 -$3 11-07 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on November 7? No +14 $9 100¢ $14 +$5 11-07 00:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -132 -$63 11¢ $-14 +$49 04-30 03:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 7? No +14 $7 100¢ $14 +$7 11-06 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on November 7? Yes +11 $5 100¢ $11 +$6 11-06 06:36
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 +$0 08-19 01:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? No -11 -$11 100¢ $-11 $0 08-19 01:37
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 +$0 08-19 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 8? Yes +32 $11 33¢ $10 -$1 11-07 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 7? Yes +9 $5 97¢ $9 +$3 11-06 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 7? Yes +9 $4 100¢ $9 +$4 11-06 11:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 7? Yes +8 $6 100¢ $8 +$2 11-07 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on November 7? Yes +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$5 11-07 09:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 9? No +17 $7 42¢ $7 +$0 11-07 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 8? Yes +46 $5 16¢ $7 +$2 11-07 19:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 7? Yes +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$5 11-07 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 8? Yes +10 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 11-07 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7? Yes +6 $2 99¢ $6 +$4 11-06 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 8? No +13 $5 43¢ $6 +$0 11-07 12:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 7? Yes +5 $1 100¢ $5 +$4 11-06 04:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 8? Yes +24 $6 22¢ $5 -$1 11-06 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 8? Yes +6 $5 79¢ $5 $0 11-07 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 8? Yes +12 $4 40¢ $5 +$0 11-07 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 8? Yes +60 $2 7¢ $4 +$2 11-07 12:14