Realized P&L (90d)
+$288
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
42.6%
Resolved (90d)
792
Trades (90d)
1,768
5,246 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.16K
$29.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$50
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 11-05 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 61% +$1,687
Politics
23% 59% +$16
Other
18% 41% +$263
Sports
4% 45% -$68
Pop-Culture
2% 33% -$78
Tech
0% 43% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -132 -$63 10¢ $-12 +$50 04-30 03:08
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 +$0 08-19 01:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? No -11 -$11 100¢ $-11 $0 08-19 01:37
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 +$0 08-19 01:22
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -4 -$4 100¢ $-4 $0 08-19 01:39
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 05-18 07:20