Needy-Retirement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$868

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$32.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$469

Open exposure

$11.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-22 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

58% 67% +$2,743

Politics

42% 0% -$500

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+6,520	$5,000	84¢	$5.5K	+$509	09-07 07:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1,726	-$1,662	96¢	$-1658	+$4	09-28 07:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	+1,622	$1,100	76¢	$1.2K	+$140	09-09 09:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1,338	$957	88¢	$1.2K	+$227	10-05 13:37
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	+1,176	$1,000	90¢	$1.1K	+$65	07-23 10:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+629	$500	97¢	$611	+$111	10-12 08:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+877	$500	36¢	$311	-$189	07-20 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$5.0K	6,520	0	+6,520	open	—	09-07 07:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$2.3K	1,351	1,351	+0	No	+$327	09-09 09:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	No	+$135	09-07 06:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	10-07 07:49
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,096	1,096	+0	No	+$9	07-29 07:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1.7K	0	1,726	-1,726	open	—	09-28 07:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$1.6K	2,410	1,071	+1,338	open	—	10-05 13:37
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	2	$1.5K	2,009	0	+2,009	Nothing	+$509	07-23 10:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	3	$1.4K	2,014	597	+1,417	open	—	10-22 13:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$1.1K	1,622	0	+1,622	open	—	09-09 09:04
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	1	$1.0K	1,256	0	+1,256	open	—	10-01 07:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1000	1,321	0	+1,321	Yes	+$321	07-29 10:47
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	1	$1000	1,176	0	+1,176	open	—	07-23 10:31
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	3	$802	1,945	1,945	+0	Yes	-$798	07-22 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$700	1,296	0	+1,296	No	+$596	06-15 07:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$627	357	357	+0	open	—	09-14 06:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	1	$500	629	0	+629	open	—	10-12 08:10
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$500	1,016	0	+1,016	Yes	-$500	03-31 06:42
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	4	$500	1,913	0	+1,913	open	—	10-19 06:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$500	877	0	+877	open	—	07-20 10:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$500	985	0	+985	No	+$485	04-02 09:28
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	1	$500	643	0	+643	No	+$143	06-08 11:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$500	926	0	+926	No	+$426	05-25 07:15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$500	746	0	+746	Spirit	+$246	05-15 16:55
will tisza win at least 130 seats	1	$300	429	0	+429	Yes	-$300	04-11 11:28
will tisza win at least 120 seats	2	$233	535	0	+535	Yes	-$233	04-12 10:59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	3	$232	641	114	+526	Inner Circle Esports	+$326	08-27 10:38
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	1	$200	282	0	+282	Fenerbahce	+$82	10-13 07:15
euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 09 29	2	$200	338	0	+338	Olympiacos B.C.	+$138	09-29 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$200	513	0	+513	No	+$313	04-19 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:32:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	597	33¢	$194	0x850635…
10-22 07:46:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	597	34¢	$200	0x48bd46…
10-19 06:40:39	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	480	21¢	$100	0xeeb91e…
10-16 08:47:48	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Anadolu Efes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x2cf614…
10-13 22:23:52	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x45ac0d…
10-13 07:15:04	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Fenerbahce	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x42d9fe…
10-12 08:10:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	629	80¢	$500	0xabff31…
10-09 11:19:49	Barcelona vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Barcelona	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4740ec…
10-09 07:00:45	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x522e8a…
10-07 07:49:33	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	678	29¢	$200	0xe65ad2…
10-07 07:49:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,163	97¢	$1,126	0x6416dc…
10-05 13:37:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbef0cd…
10-01 07:17:29	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,256	80¢	$1,000	0x05da07…
09-30 07:00:51	euroleague paris kaunas 2026 10 01	Paris Basketball	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xaac0cd…
09-29 15:16:15	euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 09 29	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x660ea1…
09-28 07:23:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	1,417	71¢	$1,000	0xd70d64…
09-28 07:22:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,726	96¢	$1,662	0xb11f08…
09-27 08:58:32	euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 09 29	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x7ce749…
09-21 12:52:29	KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8cfb9d…
09-14 06:49:24	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	357	91¢	$327	0x1bdf64…
09-11 10:30:40	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x0b540f…
09-09 09:04:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,472	68¢	$1,000	0xeb5387…
09-09 09:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1,351	98¢	$1,327	0x5d0578…
09-09 08:59:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x8dd17c…
09-07 07:07:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,303	77¢	$1,000	0x588c19…
09-07 06:59:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0x69fa79…
09-04 07:38:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,216	74¢	$900	0xaeebec…
09-03 07:53:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xdc8e1a…
08-31 19:40:21	cs2 fut vit 2026 08 31	FUT Esports	SELL	312	13¢	$41	0xa8d060…
08-31 18:02:34	cs2 fut vit 2026 08 31	FUT Esports	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xa07520…
08-30 17:45:00	cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	Legacy	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x6bcb6b…
08-27 10:38:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x65fbde…
08-27 07:32:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Inner Circle Esports	SELL	114	14¢	$16	0xf0b563…
08-26 21:48:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0x5ccf10…
08-22 12:05:01	cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	FURIA	BUY	246	61¢	$150	0x3c8328…
08-21 18:22:18	cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	Spirit	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x9c62cc…
08-21 11:41:03	cs2 fut mouz 2026 08 21	MOUZ	BUY	239	42¢	$100	0xab4c19…
08-21 07:11:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,271	79¢	$1,000	0x1ffdb9…
08-21 07:10:09	cs2 fut mouz 2026 08 21	MOUZ	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x5ce12b…
08-18 12:01:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,594	77¢	$2,000	0x34f286…
08-17 11:05:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x2ba365…
08-07 08:02:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x537a7e…
08-07 08:00:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x08011b…
08-05 11:36:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x7a0249…
07-29 10:47:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,321	76¢	$1,000	0x32b011…
07-29 07:02:11	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,096	92¢	$1,009	0x5409f3…
07-23 10:31:15	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x66108e…
07-23 10:29:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	1,261	79¢	$1,000	0xfda7ad…
07-22 10:34:52	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	1,096	91¢	$1,000	0xd40593…
07-22 10:32:21	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	1,945	0¢	$2	0xbcd940…
07-21 07:11:22	Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	807	37¢	$300	0xbbab30…
07-20 10:35:19	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x64b023…
07-20 10:30:03	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	1,139	44¢	$500	0xcd8368…
07-15 08:11:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	432	46¢	$200	0xc78123…
07-14 08:54:14	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	748	67¢	$500	0x10063e…
07-06 14:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,071	32¢	$343	0x139be6…
07-01 08:36:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x7e9e8d…
06-15 09:54:00	cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	BetBoom Team	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xed1c77…
06-15 07:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	538	37¢	$200	0xd3a8bc…
06-08 11:23:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	643	78¢	$500	0xd2b434…
06-05 07:07:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0xaebe58…
06-05 07:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xaca9b0…
05-25 07:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0xc8d0a4…
05-15 16:55:16	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x2ad444…
04-19 11:01:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x49cf44…
04-12 10:59:09	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x9c9e0b…
04-11 11:28:19	will tisza win at least 130 seats	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x77b8ef…
04-11 11:28:03	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xf0bab1…
04-02 09:28:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	985	51¢	$500	0xc5f2a1…
03-31 06:42:49	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1,016	49¢	$500	0xdb92b0…