Elegant-Yarn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$744

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

35.5%

Resolved

341

Trades

546

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-11 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Politics

65% 67% -$749

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Other

16% 94% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-09 21:18
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-11 10:30
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-04 22:44
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-11 10:29
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 21:17
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-04 22:44
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 21:17
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-11 10:29
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-11 10:29
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-11 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	40	$1.2K	102,660	102,660	+0	No	-$205	04-14 07:54
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	26	$951	187,354	187,354	+0	No	-$202	04-24 14:52
will la u win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	60	$556	182,936	182,936	+0	No	-$184	03-22 23:20
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$330	36,961	36,961	+0	No	-$87	04-08 05:15
will miracjl win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$105	35,037	35,037	+0	No	-$35	03-15 12:34
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$72	17,922	17,922	+0	No	-$36	03-15 07:39
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	4	$37	20	20	-0	No	+$2	03-31 08:08
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	3	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-24 10:34
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 05:25
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:54
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-23 11:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-16 16:09
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	04-08 03:22
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	-$4	04-07 14:39
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-09 21:04
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-30 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-01 15:06
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 12:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 04:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 10:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-27 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 01:58
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-26 11:35
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-04 07:08
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 05:04
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 04:49
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 16:08
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-24 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 10:30:09	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0e9f4…
11-11 10:30:04	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01fea5…
11-11 10:29:54	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x549948…
11-11 10:29:40	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x881aec…
11-11 10:29:34	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72bf02…
11-09 21:18:06	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47ee74…
11-09 21:17:37	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x829bcf…
11-09 21:17:21	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf84f2f…
11-04 22:44:16	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19a9bb…
11-04 22:44:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69826a…
11-04 22:43:58	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91234d…
11-04 22:43:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65990d…
11-04 22:43:49	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c9f09…
11-04 22:43:45	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2163e9…
11-04 22:43:40	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac5335…
11-04 22:43:25	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77768e…
11-02 21:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f893…
10-31 21:48:37	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c4db5…
10-31 21:48:31	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x615bb3…
10-31 21:48:03	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb4cf2…
10-30 19:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e22f0…
10-30 19:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbbed7b…
10-30 19:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd413b…
10-30 19:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35d9b8…
10-24 21:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaac3eb…
10-24 21:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20bf0f…
10-24 21:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31183d…
10-24 21:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda0835…
10-24 21:05:39	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b529c…
10-24 21:05:33	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda4262…
10-24 21:05:29	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc05095…
10-24 21:05:23	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x703418…
10-24 21:05:18	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0417f…
10-24 21:05:12	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91cbfc…
10-17 01:00:24	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x958d8b…
10-17 01:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x712449…
10-17 01:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74aba8…
10-17 00:59:33	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ba9cb…
10-17 00:59:23	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34e4c1…
10-17 00:59:18	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0457b7…
10-17 00:59:12	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc50c4a…
10-17 00:58:59	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x630818…
10-17 00:58:48	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x593048…
10-14 10:10:46	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f2acc…
10-14 10:10:38	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed8cdc…
10-14 10:10:29	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2985dd…
10-14 10:10:22	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe45b50…
10-14 10:10:16	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77c80c…
10-12 19:10:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f6d3f…
10-12 19:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf04157…
10-10 19:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x385407…
10-10 18:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08dd66…
10-10 18:59:49	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f58bb…
10-09 21:06:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd2d62…
10-09 21:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe116a1…
10-09 21:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e940c…
10-09 21:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88c0f2…
10-09 21:04:40	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad59c6…
10-08 23:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x87feec…
10-08 23:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6e0dbb…
10-07 08:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x307556…
10-07 08:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f6ad1…
10-07 08:15:30	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x574911…
10-07 08:15:23	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8abee5…
10-07 08:15:15	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe46bea…
10-07 08:15:06	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffd9d4…
10-04 07:08:11	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf3b0e…
10-04 07:07:59	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f8437…
10-04 07:07:53	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15a752…
10-04 07:07:41	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d5509…
09-30 07:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92847f…
09-30 07:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dd23f…
09-30 07:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x465524…
09-29 05:15:26	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1b04a…
09-29 05:15:18	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x908325…
09-29 05:15:11	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4316a3…
09-29 05:15:03	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0ff75…
09-29 05:14:48	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c15c5…
09-29 05:14:38	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x728bdf…
09-29 05:14:21	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x250c8c…
09-29 05:14:08	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7fb5c…
09-21 16:51:35	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34133e…
09-21 16:51:30	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e2148…
09-18 02:58:55	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cd806…
09-18 02:58:45	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e4751…
09-18 02:58:33	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ee3ea…
09-18 02:58:22	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf08cb3…
09-18 02:58:13	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948e36…
09-18 02:58:04	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3a459…
09-18 02:57:49	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15cbcb…
09-18 02:57:40	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x954e62…
09-06 09:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce32a1…
09-06 09:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5b91e…
09-06 09:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf3504…
09-06 09:03:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84de71…
09-06 09:03:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39cf94…
09-01 21:05:19	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d4959…
09-01 21:05:07	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ea559…
09-01 21:04:57	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x154e03…
09-01 21:04:43	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c5700…