Grown-Violet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-05 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$6

Crypto

42% 100% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+26	$25	96¢	$25	+$0	10-05 06:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 700 719	1	$800	801	+801	No	+$1	01-05 07:47
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$748	749	+749	No	+$1	05-10 14:01
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$747	748	+748	No	+$1	02-03 06:22
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$725	727	+727	No	+$2	06-11 16:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$721	724	+724	No	+$3	04-02 07:33
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$703	704	+704	No	+$1	03-10 11:21
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	1	$700	701	+701	No	+$1	01-25 06:08
will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	1	$165	165	+165	No	+$0	07-08 10:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$147	149	+149	No	+$2	10-05 06:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$109	110	+110	No	+$1	09-03 10:13
will bnb dip to 200 in august	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	08-11 07:39
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$58	58	+58	No	+$0	03-20 12:29
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	01-25 06:09
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$47	47	+47	No	+$0	04-14 14:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	09-19 12:55
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	10-05 06:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	06-11 16:26
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	06-16 13:56
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	03-26 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	07-08 10:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	07-22 14:53
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	09-03 10:15
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	07-08 10:57
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-23 16:28
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-24 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-28 14:50
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-11 07:40
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	02-03 06:23
Will MrBeast hit 117.5 billion views by April 30?	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	04-02 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 06:59:29	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x033e42…
10-05 06:55:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x04c36f…
09-19 12:55:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc0944b…
09-03 10:15:04	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x92c958…
09-03 10:13:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xab84ca…
08-11 07:40:07	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe67b7…
08-11 07:39:25	will bnb dip to 200 in august	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xbc627b…
07-22 14:53:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x64ee1a…
07-08 10:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1f7def…
07-08 10:57:38	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x21766e…
07-08 10:56:41	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x021f7a…
06-24 15:22:58	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacdbce…
06-16 13:56:40	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x82458a…
06-11 16:26:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf94664…
06-11 16:25:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	727	100¢	$725	0xbc66b8…
05-23 16:28:41	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb318c…
05-10 14:01:51	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	749	100¢	$748	0xd395ef…
04-28 14:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdc0d2…
04-14 14:54:19	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6d2d72…
04-02 07:35:59	Will MrBeast hit 117.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xad114e…
04-02 07:33:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	724	100¢	$721	0xf419fe…
03-26 10:10:59	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd85eb…
03-20 12:29:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x39e7cf…
03-10 11:21:47	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	704	100¢	$703	0x4738eb…
02-03 06:23:34	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x58a997…
02-03 06:22:44	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	748	100¢	$747	0x8342e4…
01-25 06:09:58	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5eace…
01-25 06:08:44	will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x8f3fb4…
01-05 07:47:13	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 700 719	No	BUY	801	100¢	$800	0xd14fbe…