Criminal-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved (30d)

1,390

Trades (30d)

1,681

3,413 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.00K

$5.82K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-31 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	6	$14	23	11	+11	Down	+$1	06-28 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	9	$11	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	07-05 07:23
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	24	0	+24	Down	+$1	10-31 00:43
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	6	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	07-05 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	07-05 08:16
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-31 06:03
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 23:34
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	-$9	10-29 05:19
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-30 05:29
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-24 23:32
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	-$9	10-29 20:47
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	-$8	10-30 23:23
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-28 08:02
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	10-28 18:01
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:21
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-29 12:30
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:47
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	resolved	-$8	10-31 11:37
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$7	17	0	+17	Up	-$3	10-31 10:23
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Down	+$5	10-29 09:28
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-26 13:32
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	10-25 19:08
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$7	12	0	+12	Down	+$5	10-29 05:43
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$7	24	0	+24	Up	+$5	10-30 11:58
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	10-30 10:27
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	10-30 03:48
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-29 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:12:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xb0c08c…
10-31 12:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x303df0…
10-31 12:05:09	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x91eb51…
10-31 11:58:25	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x28a754…
10-31 11:57:52	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x793262…
10-31 11:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfdf008…
10-31 11:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc3aa92…
10-31 11:40:58	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xab2528…
10-31 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4ec7b8…
10-31 11:37:39	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa4f129…
10-31 11:33:36	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9b22ee…
10-31 11:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e5a0c…
10-31 11:27:27	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd131a4…
10-31 11:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5855a4…
10-31 11:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7f5e47…
10-31 11:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdcea1d…
10-31 11:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xbd72e7…
10-31 11:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2dc185…
10-31 11:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x319e2d…
10-31 10:51:31	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xe3b6ea…
10-31 10:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x05c718…
10-31 10:43:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x39edf6…
10-31 10:43:07	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xd4a620…
10-31 10:43:04	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfead86…
10-31 10:40:42	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x00ed5e…
10-31 10:36:58	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd0a959…
10-31 10:23:51	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x96b480…
10-31 10:23:49	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4fe335…
10-31 10:21:27	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbbc051…
10-31 10:09:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xaf5434…
10-31 10:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5b209c…
10-31 09:55:16	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x6f940e…
10-31 09:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xabff24…
10-31 09:53:16	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x09bf2b…
10-31 09:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9e37ab…
10-31 09:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x172bf8…
10-31 09:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe71205…
10-31 09:41:28	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x94f3ff…
10-31 09:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1a6528…
10-31 09:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x943f5c…
10-31 09:37:54	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2c57e7…
10-31 09:20:45	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x85a7af…
10-31 09:03:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xb645b5…
10-31 08:53:39	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x49a98f…
10-31 08:53:16	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x0121a0…
10-31 08:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x12e845…
10-31 08:26:33	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc28411…
10-31 08:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3a8856…
10-31 08:05:57	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xfd09d4…
10-31 08:05:57	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc5a853…
10-31 07:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe2c65e…
10-31 07:52:16	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x49831c…
10-31 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa166bc…
10-31 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdc0fe1…
10-31 07:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcdcb63…
10-31 07:26:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3c0eb3…
10-31 07:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe0188c…
10-31 06:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1ea080…
10-31 06:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7aebd5…
10-31 06:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2275d8…
10-31 06:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x060f14…
10-31 06:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xee1393…
10-31 06:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xbd9a0b…
10-31 06:55:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x2657dd…
10-31 06:51:42	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2fa413…
10-31 06:43:13	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d6d2c…
10-31 06:42:03	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd62017…
10-31 06:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x03fced…
10-31 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5918b0…
10-31 06:09:45	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa484df…
10-31 06:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x868ea6…
10-31 06:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x51bfa2…
10-31 06:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x13ea26…
10-31 06:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf11b49…
10-31 05:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4c1abf…
10-31 05:52:51	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x520149…
10-31 05:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6fd26a…
10-31 05:38:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x7674eb…
10-31 05:36:45	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa62e98…
10-31 05:28:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x63a7a4…
10-31 05:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe5aa3c…
10-31 05:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x443211…
10-31 05:26:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x288688…
10-31 05:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e2148…
10-31 05:02:52	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x665ea8…
10-31 04:57:07	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb849cf…
10-31 04:49:24	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xc78587…
10-31 04:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0f9373…
10-31 04:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x863afc…
10-31 04:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x018a1a…
10-31 04:11:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x791b93…
10-31 03:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x63c62d…
10-31 03:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x87ea2b…
10-31 03:21:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xac9c26…
10-31 02:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa0b84e…
10-31 02:52:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa465ca…
10-31 02:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb90962…
10-31 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeaf415…
10-31 02:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8481fe…
10-31 02:21:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x4b6923…