Criminal-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$49

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved (7d)

1,030

Trades (7d)

1,239

3,156 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.19K

$5.28K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-30 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	—	+5	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-30 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	6	$14	23	11	+11	Down	+$1	06-28 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	9	$11	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	07-05 07:23
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	6	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	07-05 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	07-05 08:16
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	-$9	10-29 05:19
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-30 05:29
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-24 23:32
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	-$9	10-29 20:47
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-28 08:02
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	10-28 18:01
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-29 12:30
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Down	+$5	10-29 09:28
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-26 13:32
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	10-25 19:08
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$7	12	0	+12	Down	+$5	10-29 05:43
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	10-30 10:27
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	10-30 03:48
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-29 20:45
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$7	19	0	+19	Up	+$3	10-28 12:57
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$7	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	10-25 17:56
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$6	20	0	+20	Up	+$4	10-25 09:42
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	+$4	10-29 02:00
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$6	24	0	+24	Up	+$6	10-29 09:53
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$6	18	0	+18	Down	+$2	10-26 20:57
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Down	+$4	10-24 20:57
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$6	24	0	+24	Down	+$6	10-29 03:11
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Down	+$4	10-27 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:55 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$1	07-05 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xabe30b…
10-30 10:57:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x59c61a…
10-30 10:57:57	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x59c3f3…
10-30 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x52314a…
10-30 10:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa21f07…
10-30 10:53:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x501e57…
10-30 10:51:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x1b2edc…
10-30 10:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x69e400…
10-30 10:27:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xfce9fd…
10-30 10:27:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x9350bf…
10-30 10:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xeee112…
10-30 10:03:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x1ec245…
10-30 09:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4ea97b…
10-30 09:51:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa24c56…
10-30 09:46:16	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xe08635…
10-30 09:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9ad6ee…
10-30 09:37:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x572df9…
10-30 09:26:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xa32338…
10-30 09:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf3ba81…
10-30 08:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xca9612…
10-30 08:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdfbf4a…
10-30 08:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x011518…
10-30 08:40:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x4e093e…
10-30 08:40:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x219cc1…
10-30 08:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x120ea9…
10-30 08:27:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x07ec45…
10-30 08:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x147b7d…
10-30 08:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x12c08e…
10-30 08:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7a32d6…
10-30 08:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7fc946…
10-30 08:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd90f7e…
10-30 08:19:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xcddf87…
10-30 08:19:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x4624ca…
10-30 08:13:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x229481…
10-30 07:24:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2cf5cc…
10-30 06:55:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x063a20…
10-30 06:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5a2ac6…
10-30 06:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8c89a9…
10-30 06:51:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdf3e3b…
10-30 06:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x54197a…
10-30 06:25:57	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x50daed…
10-30 06:23:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x000ed2…
10-30 06:10:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0bd27b…
10-30 05:54:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x7ecd16…
10-30 05:42:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbbfe46…
10-30 05:42:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x478caf…
10-30 05:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xeb0ea9…
10-30 05:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5f43b1…
10-30 05:29:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xe2bd7e…
10-30 05:28:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x379e2e…
10-30 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc262b4…
10-30 05:02:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x53f21f…
10-30 04:51:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xfd9555…
10-30 04:41:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x140b75…
10-30 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6e152a…
10-30 04:28:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5e83e8…
10-30 04:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x87bf5b…
10-30 03:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2d3fb5…
10-30 03:48:39	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbdd25a…
10-30 03:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbd1f53…
10-30 02:49:03	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xbf4cdf…
10-30 02:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4b21ab…
10-30 02:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9a18e0…
10-30 02:40:03	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe14087…
10-30 02:38:57	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xaff12d…
10-30 02:22:55	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x273067…
10-30 02:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1bf72e…
10-30 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x33fbe7…
10-30 02:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x68983c…
10-30 02:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9f7160…
10-30 01:56:28	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe4077d…
10-30 01:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x398f2a…
10-30 01:42:57	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x9e142e…
10-30 01:41:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x99ef1a…
10-30 01:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb0a2d2…
10-30 01:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x257009…
10-30 01:15:51	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc85469…
10-30 01:15:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3483ab…
10-30 01:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa97900…
10-30 01:15:34	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x85920b…
10-30 01:05:54	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7e04fc…
10-30 01:05:52	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xd4a178…
10-30 01:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x895f53…
10-30 01:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7df5bc…
10-30 00:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc41bb7…
10-30 00:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3eff33…
10-30 00:49:40	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x2015fd…
10-30 00:49:39	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1baad9…
10-30 00:39:31	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x6e8477…
10-30 00:38:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x55360d…
10-30 00:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe23eb3…
10-30 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xeefd5b…
10-30 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xe0c6f5…
10-30 00:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x431780…
10-29 23:40:51	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa60f5d…
10-29 23:40:45	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x193d71…
10-29 23:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5213e2…
10-29 23:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5e5653…
10-29 23:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcd46c1…
10-29 23:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x199950…