Criminal-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved (90d)

1,758

Trades (90d)

2,145

3,681 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.99K

$6.42K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 11-01 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	6	$14	23	11	+11	Down	+$1	06-28 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	9	$11	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	07-05 07:23
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	24	0	+24	Down	+$1	10-31 00:43
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	6	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	07-05 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	07-05 08:16
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-31 06:03
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	10-31 14:11
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 23:34
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	+$3	11-01 03:52
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-31 22:04
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	-$9	10-29 05:19
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-30 05:29
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-24 23:32
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	11-01 04:03
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	-$9	10-29 20:47
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	-$8	10-30 23:23
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-28 08:02
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	10-28 18:01
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$8	12	0	+12	Down	+$4	10-31 12:59
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:21
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-29 12:30
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:47
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	Up	-$8	10-31 11:37
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	10-31 16:05
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$7	17	0	+17	Up	-$3	10-31 10:23
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Down	+$5	10-29 09:28
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-26 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbba903…
11-01 08:27:25	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd565fa…
11-01 08:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x490f02…
11-01 08:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb8e46f…
11-01 08:19:03	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xb4d87a…
11-01 08:08:00	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf41a49…
11-01 08:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3ac235…
11-01 08:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcdcb47…
11-01 08:01:18	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe0ad46…
11-01 07:55:36	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xcca6d3…
11-01 07:52:51	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xe27ab8…
11-01 07:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x15709e…
11-01 07:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x241f75…
11-01 07:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe4489c…
11-01 07:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfa5cd3…
11-01 07:35:42	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6b539c…
11-01 07:13:55	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xae701c…
11-01 07:13:54	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xd37197…
11-01 07:13:39	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x02f1e8…
11-01 07:08:33	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd2f5dc…
11-01 04:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a8ad3…
11-01 04:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xab6e58…
11-01 04:03:03	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x96d686…
11-01 03:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x3bd2c4…
11-01 03:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x02a6ad…
11-01 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7bb8c2…
11-01 03:52:16	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x6760ad…
11-01 03:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x136494…
11-01 03:36:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x405040…
11-01 03:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0f9e69…
11-01 03:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8eb5ea…
11-01 03:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x8836e0…
11-01 03:23:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x5c65e2…
11-01 03:23:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x31ee81…
11-01 03:06:51	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfa6b81…
11-01 03:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x610b21…
11-01 02:56:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x5291a8…
11-01 02:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x79c7e5…
11-01 02:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x889bdc…
11-01 02:50:18	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x524abe…
11-01 02:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xce780c…
11-01 02:46:15	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc2b373…
11-01 02:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x864233…
11-01 02:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xf5050e…
11-01 02:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x277e98…
11-01 02:35:01	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf9b3d9…
11-01 02:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6830bb…
11-01 02:22:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf88c11…
11-01 02:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfda4ed…
11-01 02:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf80bee…
11-01 01:34:03	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x9324ac…
11-01 01:32:31	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd79ac6…
11-01 01:27:25	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6236cf…
11-01 01:27:24	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf5424d…
11-01 01:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2dcafe…
11-01 01:22:43	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x57c6ab…
11-01 01:21:57	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe2b14d…
11-01 01:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x112c47…
11-01 01:08:10	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xd6c93b…
11-01 01:08:04	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf62387…
11-01 01:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb5981b…
11-01 01:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x56cf98…
11-01 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x53dda4…
11-01 00:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0711ff…
11-01 00:25:43	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x2d26d3…
11-01 00:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd2da80…
11-01 00:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1ea9f0…
11-01 00:12:43	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3f3d32…
11-01 00:12:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xd10579…
11-01 00:10:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x85805b…
11-01 00:05:06	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x385e25…
11-01 00:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdf999a…
10-31 23:57:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xec1e73…
10-31 23:49:10	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa241ce…
10-31 23:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x617a0d…
10-31 23:38:40	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x989eca…
10-31 23:36:57	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcaaa48…
10-31 23:28:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb61636…
10-31 23:27:22	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x981aab…
10-31 23:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x432b39…
10-31 23:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xee678c…
10-31 23:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe62a58…
10-31 23:13:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xf16f6d…
10-31 23:13:40	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xda0ec0…
10-31 23:13:40	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x858b75…
10-31 23:13:40	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x51d6ba…
10-31 23:13:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9fe877…
10-31 23:13:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x697ad8…
10-31 23:13:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3e8e1f…
10-31 23:13:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xbf3805…
10-31 23:13:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa93834…
10-31 23:13:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x079bbd…
10-31 23:13:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x39eed6…
10-31 23:13:33	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2778da…
10-31 23:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe8e613…
10-31 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x61aac4…
10-31 23:05:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x07bdcc…
10-31 23:05:48	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c25e5…
10-31 22:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc5829a…
10-31 22:37:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf5f8d5…