Criminal-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$106

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved (90d)

1,623

Trades (90d)

1,927

3,339 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.55K

$5.66K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-31 05:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$128

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	—	+10	$1	97¢	$10	+$8	10-31 05:36
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	—	+12	$5	2¢	$0	-$4	10-31 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	6	$14	23	11	+11	Down	+$1	06-28 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	9	$11	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	07-05 07:23
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	24	0	+24	Down	+$1	10-31 00:43
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	6	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	07-05 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	07-05 08:16
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	10-30 23:34
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	-$9	10-29 05:19
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-30 05:29
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-24 23:32
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 01:48
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	-$9	10-29 20:47
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	-$8	10-30 23:23
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-28 08:02
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	10-28 18:01
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:21
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-29 12:30
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-31 00:47
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Down	+$5	10-29 09:28
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-26 13:32
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	10-25 19:08
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$7	12	0	+12	Down	+$5	10-29 05:43
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$7	24	0	+24	Up	+$5	10-30 11:58
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	10-30 10:27
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	10-30 03:48
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-29 20:45
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$7	19	0	+19	Up	+$3	10-28 12:57
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$7	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	10-25 17:56
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$6	20	0	+20	Up	+$4	10-25 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 05:38:39	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x7674eb…
10-31 05:36:45	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa62e98…
10-31 05:28:37	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x63a7a4…
10-31 05:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe5aa3c…
10-31 05:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x443211…
10-31 05:26:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x288688…
10-31 05:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e2148…
10-31 05:02:52	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x665ea8…
10-31 04:57:07	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb849cf…
10-31 04:49:24	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xc78587…
10-31 04:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0f9373…
10-31 04:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x863afc…
10-31 04:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x018a1a…
10-31 04:11:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x791b93…
10-31 03:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x63c62d…
10-31 03:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x87ea2b…
10-31 03:21:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xac9c26…
10-31 02:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa0b84e…
10-31 02:52:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa465ca…
10-31 02:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb90962…
10-31 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeaf415…
10-31 02:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8481fe…
10-31 02:21:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x4b6923…
10-31 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xee8cc8…
10-31 02:10:51	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x81d988…
10-31 02:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1ec833…
10-31 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x52954c…
10-31 01:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf45770…
10-31 01:51:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x9f8eae…
10-31 01:51:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x2f6539…
10-31 01:39:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe036fb…
10-31 01:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6d9a7f…
10-31 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xee1644…
10-31 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4caa5d…
10-31 01:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x50921a…
10-31 01:01:25	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x851811…
10-31 00:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xee8aee…
10-31 00:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4a2df4…
10-31 00:47:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xece62c…
10-31 00:47:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe57703…
10-31 00:43:46	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x6d9614…
10-31 00:41:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x69f182…
10-31 00:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x90062c…
10-31 00:21:28	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x71af53…
10-31 00:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xde6677…
10-31 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9c97c5…
10-31 00:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x348099…
10-31 00:01:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x429f09…
10-30 23:58:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x1e3faf…
10-30 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x031266…
10-30 23:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x522049…
10-30 23:46:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x06fb7f…
10-30 23:34:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd40d29…
10-30 23:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5a2dec…
10-30 23:30:49	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdeaed8…
10-30 23:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2ac518…
10-30 23:23:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdeac43…
10-30 23:23:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7befe8…
10-30 23:23:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x571c5c…
10-30 23:22:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe88906…
10-30 22:57:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7bb382…
10-30 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xcd4242…
10-30 22:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x20efb1…
10-30 22:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba67dd…
10-30 22:53:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe511c7…
10-30 22:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa5cebf…
10-30 22:32:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xd7552d…
10-30 22:32:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6a9ce9…
10-30 22:27:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x7c00df…
10-30 22:27:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x577ed8…
10-30 22:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd2141e…
10-30 21:43:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x63ede2…
10-30 21:42:40	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa065fc…
10-30 21:42:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf8946a…
10-30 21:42:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xe8b273…
10-30 21:42:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb108b4…
10-30 21:42:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x59e05f…
10-30 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4dae47…
10-30 21:12:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x12be3f…
10-30 21:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1552eb…
10-30 20:58:54	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5e45f5…
10-30 20:55:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc08571…
10-30 20:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb9b6c5…
10-30 20:42:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x44dc0d…
10-30 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8065fc…
10-30 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaa7b5d…
10-30 20:27:40	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa1fbb4…
10-30 20:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdc5ac1…
10-30 20:24:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x123d86…
10-30 20:24:10	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x80cb92…
10-30 20:21:37	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0x4b04b4…
10-30 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6561a2…
10-30 20:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e1bcd…
10-30 20:10:40	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x57ea37…
10-30 19:54:16	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3c3175…
10-30 19:50:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcae3f9…
10-30 19:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x24c73e…
10-30 19:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8a6533…
10-30 19:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2a33bc…
10-30 19:24:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf44f75…