(anonymous) 0xc00ecc…6909d4
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$103
Unrealized P&L
+$265
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved (90d)
16
Trades (90d)
96
96 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.36K
$3.36K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.23K
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-27 12:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% +$11
Other
42% 50% +$92
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +457 $422 98¢ $449 +$27 09-12 05:07
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +400 $371 98¢ $394 +$22 09-07 23:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +460 $244 72¢ $334 +$90 09-10 02:36
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $182 98¢ $196 +$14 09-14 16:51
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +200 $152 96¢ $191 +$39 09-05 20:59
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $172 88¢ $177 +$5 08-17 18:02
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 08-19 21:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $63 80¢ $80 +$16 08-22 21:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $51 74¢ $74 +$24 08-16 02:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $69 74¢ $74 +$4 08-30 19:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100 $47 72¢ $72 +$24 08-18 01:24
Trump out as President before 2027? No +60 $56 97¢ $58 +$2 08-23 13:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +40 $13 40¢ $16 +$4 08-22 09:18
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $25 12¢ $12 -$14 08-17 15:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 09-08 23:31