Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

135

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 33% +$6

Sports

6% 0% $0

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	-$9	97¢	$-10	$0	08-31 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-9	-$7	88¢	$-8	-$1	09-30 05:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-9	-$2	12¢	$-1	+$1	09-30 05:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-31 13:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Colts (-3.5)	4	$18	0	36	-36	Colts	$0	09-30 05:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$9	0	18	-18	open	—	09-30 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-10 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x11a218…
10-23 01:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6a22dd…
10-23 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x68c491…
10-23 01:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa5d52…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4390dc…
10-22 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x961c90…
10-22 22:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe5d4d4…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf07e16…
10-22 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x91f3d7…
10-22 19:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d2534…
10-22 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x568043…
10-22 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x910287…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1ea665…
10-22 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3c8184…
10-22 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8b311e…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5daf33…
10-22 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc7bc48…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf236a6…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf5b10e…
10-22 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2ad687…
10-22 02:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd8c2e8…
10-22 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeca72c…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2751b4…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x703cb4…
10-22 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2f8441…
10-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x16894f…
10-21 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x300879…
10-21 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbf13dc…
10-21 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc1fc35…
10-21 08:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe037f…
10-21 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x860f90…
10-21 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2eceba…
10-21 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x168621…
10-21 04:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe67bc9…
10-21 00:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3958ed…
10-21 00:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x828571…
10-20 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x64d97a…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x34cbed…
10-20 07:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8e7c8…
10-20 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3095a4…
10-20 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4defa7…
10-20 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7fe99f…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb327f9…
10-19 22:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8a011c…
10-19 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x75fa0d…
10-19 21:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf815eb…
10-19 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d5313…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4b30bd…
10-19 13:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbb199f…
10-19 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7d1e85…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb0518a…
10-19 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb763bc…
10-19 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xae8cbd…
10-18 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28b33e…
10-18 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x571841…
10-18 15:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2863ee…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x23960b…
10-18 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5f81a8…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc6836c…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5ca3e7…
10-18 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6366c8…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb12f30…
10-18 03:08:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc82a08…
10-18 02:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8b772f…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x09eb2d…
10-17 23:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc2294c…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbeff0d…
10-17 17:20:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x94866b…
10-17 14:57:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xed7185…
10-17 13:14:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xce9008…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5b4c57…
10-17 12:55:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb39cf2…
10-17 11:59:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6cffbb…
10-17 11:54:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeebb09…
10-17 11:03:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f49d9…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3fbbfb…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x07cb6e…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39a86a…
10-16 20:24:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9913d7…
10-16 20:14:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fab60…
10-16 20:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b907b…
10-16 13:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa2ea92…
10-16 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc18df…
10-16 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5683fc…
10-16 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x522bb3…
10-16 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc9d41c…
10-15 22:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x94f503…
10-15 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9ac949…
10-15 16:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc574ce…
10-15 12:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaa30bf…
10-15 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3dd62a…
10-15 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6f026a…
10-15 10:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7ceb6b…
10-15 05:25:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa09fa8…
10-15 02:27:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x06f3e0…
10-15 02:21:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7454dc…
10-15 00:07:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x676575…
10-14 23:53:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe3a814…
10-14 21:44:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5b4973…
10-14 21:39:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98a047…