Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
100
Trades
233
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$73
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-28 01:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
97% 45% +$44
Politics
2% 0% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $18 62¢ $19 +$1 10-27 10:55
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +15 $10 77¢ $12 +$2 10-27 20:31
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +30 $12 38¢ $11 $0 10-27 13:27
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 10-27 01:17
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +7 $3 94¢ $7 +$3 10-26 14:41
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $1 100¢ $5 +$4 10-26 13:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-26 21:35
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +15 $5 23¢ $3 -$1 10-28 01:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 10-26 20:39
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +7 $4 6¢ $0 -$3 10-26 14:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +5 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 10-26 15:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-26 09:52
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-26 19:50