Shallow-Paint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 09-09 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

100% 53% -$14

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	4	$964	483	483	+0	No	$0	03-22 06:57
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$823	412	412	+0	No	$0	03-09 01:16
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$823	412	412	+0	No	$0	03-05 12:36
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$820	411	411	+0	No	$0	03-02 03:25
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$815	408	408	+0	No	$0	03-01 15:54
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 6c	2	$809	417	417	+0	No	-$15	03-10 02:43
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$441	221	221	+0	No	$0	06-06 14:45
highest temperature in atlanta on march 8 2026 74forhigher	1	$411	412	0	+412	No	+$0	03-09 01:18
highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 9corhigher	1	$411	412	0	+412	No	+$0	03-07 14:43
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	1	$411	411	0	+411	No	+$0	03-04 02:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 20c	1	$411	411	0	+411	No	+$0	03-06 11:41
highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 15corhigher	1	$411	411	0	+411	No	+$0	03-03 14:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 44 45f	1	$411	411	0	+411	Yes	+$0	03-06 01:51
highest temperature in wellington on march 3 2026 17c	1	$410	411	0	+411	No	+$0	03-03 04:10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$404	203	203	+0	No	$0	06-27 15:19
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$392	197	197	+0	open	—	08-21 17:03
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$383	192	192	+0	No	$0	08-17 07:00
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	06-08 12:16
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$334	168	168	+0	open	—	08-29 12:33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$306	154	154	+0	No	$0	04-07 11:23
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$286	144	144	+0	No	$0	05-26 14:18
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$286	143	143	+0	No	$0	03-18 02:55
highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 10corhigher	1	$247	247	0	+247	No	+$0	03-02 04:44
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$246	123	123	+0	No	$0	03-27 09:51
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-24 14:19
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	$0	07-03 00:57
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	07-11 11:55
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	08-10 16:04
highest temperature in wellington on march 2 2026 14c	1	$163	163	0	+163	No	+$0	03-02 06:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	$0	06-12 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 14:03:09	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x35070f…
09-08 10:45:16	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x466fba…
09-05 15:54:49	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc154db…
09-04 14:54:57	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7bf4a4…
09-03 12:46:37	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xeaa020…
09-02 14:17:54	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3e8ca6…
08-31 13:37:33	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x498388…
08-30 15:04:49	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x657877…
08-29 12:33:19	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x1996b6…
08-28 16:06:42	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8e81d3…
08-27 04:51:21	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x9b197d…
08-24 13:29:40	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xb760ea…
08-23 15:20:31	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xfd7b7d…
08-22 17:03:10	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xc696a0…
08-21 17:03:49	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xde3c58…
08-20 11:16:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x39c6ac…
08-17 07:00:12	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x397614…
08-11 15:09:46	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x8b1725…
08-10 16:04:19	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x76f8f3…
08-09 14:48:51	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xaa2bf3…
08-02 12:56:47	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x16c485…
08-01 15:09:14	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7a4a61…
07-23 14:31:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x4e458b…
07-22 16:29:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x0c9ca1…
07-19 12:50:27	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0x6be3db…
07-12 07:43:25	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x9aa17f…
07-11 11:55:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x42569d…
07-04 15:44:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xbb1b4e…
07-03 00:57:31	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x8edd53…
07-01 16:00:56	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x15d7df…
06-27 15:19:50	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x4c2140…
06-24 10:26:47	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5ee248…
06-22 09:34:23	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x150f28…
06-20 16:40:17	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x86b10f…
06-18 16:44:16	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x213c04…
06-17 15:41:38	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x20cb17…
06-12 17:17:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0x077921…
06-10 15:51:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$81	0x283ab3…
06-08 12:16:01	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5698d5…
06-07 15:25:40	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf3adc8…
06-06 14:45:45	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x530e74…
06-04 13:12:28	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf90b60…
06-02 16:09:12	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x9745eb…
06-01 09:54:50	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x433eac…
05-31 15:11:46	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xbf52fc…
05-30 15:29:42	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xdef06a…
05-29 11:36:07	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x6c1195…
05-28 14:08:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xfa6558…
05-26 14:18:58	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x5f3a4c…
05-25 14:37:32	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xa5a56a…
05-24 14:19:16	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xa2256b…
05-23 14:45:07	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8d67e3…
05-23 14:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe6a310…
05-22 17:11:29	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x9f180e…
05-21 15:02:42	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x346a17…
05-18 11:46:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x98a9f2…
05-17 14:46:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaf26ac…
05-03 11:07:26	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xd7eba1…
05-01 16:22:38	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2ec693…
04-29 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x920dce…
04-28 14:49:04	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x14c22a…
04-28 14:14:38	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x87c91d…
04-23 13:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x477fe8…
04-22 14:31:28	highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x1d95c3…
04-21 13:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2d3de1…
04-20 01:12:30	highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xb1aee2…
04-19 14:05:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x9bc8bb…
04-18 15:07:02	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd8dcdb…
04-14 13:57:27	highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb9b0e…
04-13 09:38:59	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x012dc1…
04-12 15:07:55	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x488229…
04-11 09:55:49	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 13c	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x1e02fb…
04-10 14:15:05	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa23086…
04-09 15:29:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb193f5…
04-09 14:40:59	highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xb1af9a…
04-08 09:23:55	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 20c	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xeda952…
04-07 11:23:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xced511…
04-06 09:42:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5fce65…
04-05 11:10:37	highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 25c	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x706050…
04-04 11:44:07	highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 30c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1a95ec…
04-03 14:22:19	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 15c	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x613c4a…
04-02 09:18:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0xdf7603…
04-01 10:53:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x8039c2…
03-31 12:47:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed2dc8…
03-30 10:25:12	highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x8c31d3…
03-29 10:23:48	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 33c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce148e…
03-28 09:35:13	highest temperature in singapore on march 28 2026 34c	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe6faad…
03-27 09:51:29	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x128881…
03-26 10:04:17	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xd2b464…
03-25 09:58:45	highest temperature in beijing on march 25 2026 27c	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x307b21…
03-24 09:51:31	highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb5389a…
03-23 10:22:27	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x70b30c…
03-23 10:22:15	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xea1561…
03-22 06:57:33	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xdfc29f…
03-21 08:35:13	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x2e35ba…
03-20 04:23:09	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb8a0a2…
03-19 09:44:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x08929c…
03-19 01:49:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 36 37f	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xfd7374…
03-18 02:55:01	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x30e264…
03-17 12:42:59	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x3d1be1…