Thoughtful-Decryption — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

402 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$39

$9.48K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-12 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 265 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 80% +$24

Other

23% 100% +$2,800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No		+39	$39	100¢	$39	$0	11-12 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta kalinin udvardy 2026 03 06 match total 21pt5	1	$2.2K	5,000	+5,000	Over	+$2,800	03-06 07:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	11-12 08:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	1	$39	39	+39	No	+$0	11-11 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 10?	1	$39	39	+39	Yes	+$0	11-10 06:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on November 9?	1	$39	39	+39	No	+$0	11-09 07:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 7?	1	$39	39	+39	Yes	+$0	11-07 06:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 6?	1	$39	39	+39	No	+$0	11-06 05:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4?	1	$38	39	+39	No	+$0	11-04 04:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 3?	1	$38	38	+38	Yes	+$0	11-03 05:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	11-02 12:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31?	1	$38	38	+38	Yes	+$0	10-31 13:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	10-25 10:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	1	$38	38	+38	Yes	+$0	10-24 10:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	10-23 06:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	11-08 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	10-22 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	1	$37	38	+38	Yes	+$0	10-21 04:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	1	$37	38	+38	No	+$0	10-20 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-19 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-18 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-17 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-07 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	10-06 12:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-05 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	1	$37	37	+37	Yes	+$0	10-04 12:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	10-03 07:37
bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	3	$36	36	+36	Yes	+$0	10-01 07:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?	1	$36	36	+36	Yes	+$0	09-29 12:44
bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	1	$36	36	+36	Yes	+$0	09-28 11:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 27?	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	09-27 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe9baac…
11-11 07:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf5ef86…
11-10 06:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xdf0def…
11-09 07:18:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x81273f…
11-08 06:18:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xbd4bc4…
11-08 06:17:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x430298…
11-07 06:34:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x2116d5…
11-06 05:52:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 6?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xae6da6…
11-05 04:29:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe1e4d6…
11-05 04:29:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe36ed5…
11-04 04:28:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x8da79c…
11-03 05:21:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xece750…
11-02 12:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x83b057…
11-01 08:45:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe1c46c…
11-01 08:44:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44256b…
10-31 13:13:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa5cdc0…
10-25 10:13:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xfab99f…
10-24 10:10:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x112ceb…
10-23 06:11:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xf2eafa…
10-22 12:53:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8fbe4e…
10-21 04:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x35e77f…
10-20 09:45:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xc13458…
10-19 07:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xff3415…
10-18 12:24:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8d7983…
10-17 12:53:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7ff800…
10-07 12:53:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x50d0e4…
10-06 12:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x455ff2…
10-05 13:01:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x90cdd0…
10-04 12:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9947ef…
10-03 07:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x660044…
10-02 11:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x0a48a6…
10-01 07:10:41	bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa88e62…
10-01 07:10:27	bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x300ed6…
10-01 07:10:03	bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75aa66…
09-30 12:50:44	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3565e3…
09-30 12:50:26	bitcoin above 90k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x163142…
09-29 12:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xef2c54…
09-28 11:45:39	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x394383…
09-27 13:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 27?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa31833…
09-26 11:40:09	ethereum above 2800 on september 26 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x121b21…
09-26 11:39:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x880d23…
09-26 11:39:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eaf74…
09-25 12:49:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa75b81…
09-24 12:53:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x03b2d5…
09-23 12:43:01	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x905ce1…
09-22 13:17:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3607b5…
09-21 12:48:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x312217…
09-20 12:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x681c00…
09-19 12:59:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa2583a…
09-18 12:42:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa46b88…
09-17 12:28:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x20d7fb…
09-14 12:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x99d8ee…
09-13 12:39:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x6ac4b6…
09-12 12:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e7539…
09-12 12:50:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 12?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x38892f…
09-12 12:49:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c6ee2…
09-06 09:43:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x38704b…
09-05 05:18:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x733a75…
09-04 05:32:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 4?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4fc7ec…
09-03 09:36:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbbc00f…
09-02 10:16:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb2164c…
09-01 13:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc05025…
08-31 12:31:18	ethereum above 2300 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb3f16a…
08-30 06:30:06	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5d30f7…
08-29 06:21:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef1135…
08-29 06:21:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3aca1…
08-29 06:20:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x109206…
08-28 10:11:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc7ce7f…
08-27 00:48:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb4051e…
08-26 12:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xdb3268…
08-25 05:59:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd60e92…
08-24 06:15:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4b9072…
08-23 07:49:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 23?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6cd0b1…
08-22 08:39:15	ethereum above 2100 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc6540a…
08-21 12:39:13	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2efcbb…
08-20 12:50:46	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3981c9…
08-19 11:48:07	ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x91de74…
08-10 02:43:01	ethereum above 1800 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf4186d…
08-09 12:05:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x04cab3…
08-08 13:04:25	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3f0441…
08-07 05:27:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfec146…
08-06 05:59:57	ethereum above 1800 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3f2f6d…
08-05 06:10:30	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf62874…
08-04 06:51:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5fb230…
08-03 06:51:26	bitcoin above 63000 on august 3 2026 3am et	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcf88bb…
08-02 08:40:09	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe464c8…
08-01 05:39:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x84aac9…
07-31 09:46:59	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0bb4a7…
07-30 06:12:09	ethereum above 2000 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xb43d08…
07-29 05:28:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9c15d8…
07-28 09:49:58	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x655f5f…
07-27 07:17:54	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0ae79c…
07-26 08:46:24	ethereum above 1800 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x9de8a9…
07-25 13:05:57	ethereum above 1800 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x71c46a…
07-24 13:06:45	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6fe187…
07-23 07:19:55	bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xb15133…
07-22 13:22:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x48bc73…
07-21 13:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe597a3…
07-20 13:03:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x06c3bd…
07-20 13:01:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe57b2…