Super-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

924 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$100

$28.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 11-05 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 38% +$113

Other

1% 60% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-05 18:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	39	$2.9K	14,366	14,366	+0	No	+$278	06-03 04:18
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	2	$2.8K	2,977	2,977	+0	Yes	+$906	06-05 06:22
bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	18	$2.6K	5,751	5,751	+0	No	+$1,850	06-25 14:48
bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	29	$1.8K	5,396	5,396	+0	Yes	-$45	06-26 14:08
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	12	$1.4K	3,092	5	+3,087	No	-$413	06-29 12:00
bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	5	$1.2K	1,346	1,114	+233	Yes	-$43	06-10 14:28
bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	7	$1.0K	1,400	1,324	+76	Yes	+$67	07-06 15:25
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	17	$873	1,779	1,492	+287	Yes	+$26	06-23 12:32
bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	29	$821	13,366	5,027	+8,339	Yes	-$492	07-06 14:04
bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	12	$737	4,312	2,446	+1,866	Yes	-$143	06-10 14:16
bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	11	$729	1,288	1,179	+109	Yes	+$205	06-26 15:59
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	3	$587	302	302	+0	No	+$15	07-13 12:10
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	9	$582	1,077	1,077	+0	No	+$16	06-30 16:01
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	32	$497	7,256	7,051	+205	Yes	-$101	06-29 14:30
bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	8	$406	2,020	2,020	+0	Yes	-$244	07-01 14:26
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	12	$403	2,386	2,386	+0	Yes	+$26	06-05 15:12
bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	6	$380	954	628	+326	Yes	-$106	07-01 13:30
bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	30	$335	9,828	9,828	+0	Yes	+$73	06-25 15:04
bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	3	$324	706	706	+0	Yes	-$71	06-19 10:54
bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	9	$304	965	965	+0	Yes	+$198	07-14 12:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?	10	$292	855	855	+0	Yes	+$27	07-15 14:05
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	41	$262	7,348	3,940	+3,408	Yes	-$81	06-23 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 15?	3	$262	1,093	1,093	+0	No	+$185	07-15 13:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?	2	$245	303	303	+0	Yes	+$45	06-14 17:09
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 7	3	$243	189	189	+0	Yes	+$43	07-07 15:34
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	3	$234	406	0	+406	Yes	-$28	07-10 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 15 21 2026	2	$231	1,436	1,436	+0	No	-$87	06-19 10:58
will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 22	4	$214	345	68	+277	No	-$146	07-22 14:30
bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	5	$214	251	243	+8	No	-$33	06-29 14:24
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	1	$200	508	0	+508	No	-$200	07-02 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:14:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa7bced…
11-05 18:51:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5b0176…
11-05 15:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x3fb494…
11-05 15:13:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x8faea9…
11-05 15:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x073021…
11-05 15:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x27b35a…
11-05 15:05:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc2bad0…
11-05 15:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3e0e0d…
11-05 14:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ede4e…
11-05 14:52:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x11f162…
11-05 14:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd79ded…
11-05 14:47:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2270bc…
11-05 14:44:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1c8f84…
11-05 10:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd837a5…
11-05 10:50:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9eb0cb…
11-04 15:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4cdee8…
11-04 15:48:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x089c0d…
11-04 15:47:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xc46239…
11-04 15:15:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x873f3c…
11-04 15:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x7dadba…
11-04 15:14:54	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0xb5d717…
11-03 14:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1c3d18…
11-03 14:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1ca110…
11-03 14:08:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe5928b…
11-01 16:17:15	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xd3c8f1…
10-30 15:11:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x36e1c8…
10-30 14:53:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe0fc85…
10-30 14:27:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x1c3743…
10-30 12:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x31960b…
10-30 12:46:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x205a6c…
10-30 12:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x6c868d…
10-30 12:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x9835a9…
10-30 12:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3fb246…
10-30 00:27:58	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7d8621…
10-28 14:50:22	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x39e6ef…
10-28 13:44:04	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xb3a814…
10-28 13:40:49	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd27bdf…
10-28 13:24:44	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1db0a3…
10-28 12:29:16	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01f57f…
10-27 23:10:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb19a04…
10-27 16:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa9fe6e…
10-27 16:19:51	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x68b915…
10-27 15:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$0	0x6c2e27…
10-27 15:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0x13bb4e…
10-27 15:06:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xc2fa04…
10-27 15:00:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xc0a91e…
10-26 13:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc1840b…
10-26 13:56:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa66c32…
10-26 13:48:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xb6612b…
10-26 13:39:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xa34eaa…
10-26 13:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xeb29d9…
10-26 13:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x07898e…
10-26 13:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x0638c9…
10-26 13:23:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x7a71b2…
10-26 13:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb5a509…
10-26 13:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x27c672…
10-26 13:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb72edd…
10-26 13:05:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0426cc…
10-26 13:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1d883c…
10-26 12:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x628879…
10-26 12:41:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa4f693…
10-26 03:16:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7fe91e…
10-26 03:06:05	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa39381…
10-25 17:50:56	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf19211…
10-25 13:41:12	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe23160…
10-24 17:19:48	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5ed186…
10-24 17:01:17	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad22a6…
10-24 15:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xba831c…
10-24 15:17:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7084af…
10-24 15:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8c5f43…
10-24 14:18:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x899526…
10-23 14:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x46dc3a…
10-23 14:34:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeedb45…
10-23 14:34:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x633969…
10-23 14:13:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd89b2c…
10-23 14:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb47392…
10-23 14:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2900d7…
10-23 14:11:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1e9e41…
10-23 14:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x61c8b3…
10-23 13:43:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdaac94…
10-23 13:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf4903d…
10-22 15:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x24154b…
10-22 15:37:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1eeb71…
10-22 15:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x443874…
10-22 15:25:45	Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b987c…
10-22 15:15:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5b867…
10-22 15:14:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd45831…
10-22 15:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd00093…
10-22 15:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x539793…
10-22 13:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x5e7455…
10-22 13:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe87c47…
10-22 13:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xce8e9b…
10-22 12:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xa0249d…
10-22 12:05:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x906de1…
10-22 12:04:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf9abb…
10-21 19:20:54	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xda9c5d…
10-21 19:20:09	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x709c39…
10-21 19:00:51	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x132f2a…
10-20 15:51:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9775b6…
10-20 15:51:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8b9242…