Comfortable-Gnu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$947

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

111

Trades

510

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-07 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Tech

73% — —

Crypto

20% 42% +$944

Politics

5% — —

Other

2% 100% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+16	$13	64¢	$10	$-3	06-06 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	87	$29.2K	14,705	14,705	+0	open	—	04-25 10:17
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	12	$1.3K	722	722	+0	open	—	06-07 14:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	20	$1.3K	729	626	+104	open	—	05-31 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$1.2K	659	659	+0	open	—	04-25 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$500	867	0	+867	Down	+$367	05-05 19:49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$329	203	203	+0	open	—	06-07 05:07
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$304	153	153	+0	open	—	05-11 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	11	$260	656	0	+656	open	—	05-16 07:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$250	507	0	+507	open	—	05-16 06:26
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	5	$245	126	166	-40	open	—	05-20 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$208	386	0	+386	Up	+$178	05-13 12:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$200	366	0	+366	Down	+$166	05-05 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$190	444	0	+444	Up	$-190	05-05 19:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$181	321	0	+321	Down	$-181	05-05 22:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$153	138	138	+0	open	—	06-06 10:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$150	258	0	+258	Up	+$108	05-05 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$149	279	0	+279	open	—	05-16 06:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$132	94	94	+0	open	—	06-06 09:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$131	486	0	+486	open	—	05-16 06:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$126	232	0	+232	Down	+$106	05-05 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$120	251	0	+251	Up	+$131	05-13 13:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	3	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-30 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	Up	+$87	05-05 19:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	open	—	05-18 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$100	191	0	+191	Down	+$91	05-13 00:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$100	165	0	+165	Down	+$65	05-11 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$100	210	0	+210	Down	+$110	05-13 08:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$100	245	0	+245	Up	+$145	05-14 01:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$96	183	0	+183	open	—	05-16 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$91	141	0	+141	open	—	05-16 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:46:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	296	86¢	$254	0xaa7593…
06-07 14:45:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x9e276b…
06-07 14:38:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x41bae7…
06-07 14:31:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0xc681a5…
06-07 14:13:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	144	94¢	$136	0x9217cf…
06-07 14:12:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x1e6af0…
06-07 13:56:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x36ae1c…
06-07 13:52:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	137	95¢	$130	0x74a543…
06-07 13:50:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x0d1e23…
06-07 13:49:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	106	95¢	$100	0xed57ed…
06-07 13:45:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xaa5e7b…
06-07 13:45:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xcd10f4…
06-07 05:07:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	203	81¢	$164	0xf82876…
06-07 05:06:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	203	81¢	$165	0x436319…
06-06 10:37:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0xb2de34…
06-06 09:41:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	70¢	$33	0x1cf009…
06-06 09:40:40	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0xb5627d…
06-06 09:32:39	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	44	69¢	$31	0x82736a…
06-06 09:32:16	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0xe58bbc…
06-06 09:30:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	70¢	$33	0x53237d…
06-06 09:30:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x9b56c6…
06-05 02:22:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	138	56¢	$77	0x99f41e…
06-05 02:22:33	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0x90dbe2…
06-05 02:22:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0x687b72…
06-01 10:59:47	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	54	71¢	$38	0x37adb6…
05-31 14:41:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0xd7ae70…
05-31 13:19:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x82be18…
05-31 13:17:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x1129db…
05-31 12:29:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x548f23…
05-31 12:07:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x4bbfe4…
05-31 11:43:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaf3208…
05-31 11:43:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x73a8f5…
05-31 11:43:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x08c160…
05-31 11:43:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xe93749…
05-31 10:58:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x52624d…
05-31 10:58:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8c1f25…
05-31 10:58:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x759643…
05-31 10:58:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x72b804…
05-31 10:56:15	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x5ba31e…
05-31 10:52:22	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x51af9c…
05-31 10:52:20	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x1db08c…
05-31 10:52:15	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x063259…
05-31 10:45:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x9376d9…
05-31 10:43:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd9d36b…
05-31 02:43:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd9eeb6…
05-31 02:37:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x67637f…
05-31 02:28:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x458e2f…
05-31 02:28:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x4fc8b5…
05-31 02:28:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd16f5a…
05-30 17:45:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xe2d2f1…
05-30 17:31:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc6de40…
05-30 17:31:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xae85d8…
05-30 16:20:18	Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Fnatic	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0xa5bf56…
05-30 11:47:00	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x44a3c0…
05-30 07:26:22	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0dcddf…
05-30 07:25:51	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa04bbd…
05-26 15:39:44	Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Fnatic	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0xd78776…
05-26 15:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc5440b…
05-26 15:33:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01f258…
05-26 15:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0x2f4818…
05-20 15:57:01	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	84	80¢	$67	0xdf3f67…
05-20 15:54:18	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	82	80¢	$66	0x66f846…
05-20 11:24:20	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xa673a7…
05-20 11:12:19	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xa1edbb…
05-20 10:35:01	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0x09896b…
05-20 10:30:14	Will Evil Morty appear in Rick and Morty: Season 9?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x0632fb…
05-19 07:34:22	Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	Gen.G Esports	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0x3b6db5…
05-19 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xdb4923…
05-18 21:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x267d19…
05-17 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xe646b7…
05-16 07:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xa08777…
05-16 07:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0xd7def4…
05-16 07:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xb8bbab…
05-16 07:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xdb5b20…
05-16 07:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x0ec118…
05-16 07:22:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	141	64¢	$91	0x019be5…
05-16 07:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x415a1e…
05-16 07:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x5fc4a7…
05-16 07:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0948e5…
05-16 07:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x471bef…
05-16 07:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0x389f35…
05-16 07:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	9¢	$11	0xb53ae2…
05-16 07:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xb2ecf9…
05-16 07:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x47167e…
05-16 07:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x1bea37…
05-16 07:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6df4f6…
05-16 07:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xf26884…
05-16 07:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x809430…
05-16 07:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	23¢	$11	0x383c88…
05-16 07:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x6c3af8…
05-16 07:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x07bd0f…
05-16 07:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xd323e0…
05-16 07:10:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe97d90…
05-16 07:10:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb3217e…
05-16 07:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5bfcc5…
05-16 07:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9b87d5…
05-16 07:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0acb5b…
05-16 07:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x1d5de8…
05-16 07:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x3d2625…
05-16 07:05:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	22¢	$11	0xd78a66…