Deep-Observatory — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$280

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

275

275 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$891

$891 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$280

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up		+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$1	05-06 00:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$88	198	+198	Up	$-2	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	23	$83	1,666	+1,666	Down	$-17	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	11	$64	217	+217	Down	+$153	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$62	104	+104	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	12	$59	112	+112	Up	+$52	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	49	$49	4,767	+4,767	Up	$-49	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$35	58	+58	Up	+$23	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$35	52	+52	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	10	$30	62	+62	Up	+$32	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$30	35	+35	Up	+$5	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$28	76	+76	Up	+$47	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$23	43	+43	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$21	45	+45	Up	$-21	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$21	1,907	+1,907	open	—	05-05 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$19	37	+37	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	14	$19	70	+70	Down	+$51	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$17	32	+32	Down	+$15	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	7	$17	30	+30	Up	+$14	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$16	35	+35	Up	+$19	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$12	29	+29	Down	$-12	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	10	$12	392	+392	Up	$-12	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$11	1,118	+1,118	Up	$-11	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$11	21	+21	Up	+$11	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	$-10	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$9	24	+24	Down	+$15	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	7	$9	371	+371	Down	$-9	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$8	17	+17	Down	+$9	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$8	792	+792	Up	$-8	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	05-05 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x58e75d…
05-06 00:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x97611c…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3f214f…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaeba20…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xd24c2d…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xddd893…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d0dc8…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9a3ac9…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe2a754…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x3c8bd3…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x9b23d0…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	464	1¢	$5	0xb33563…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0x4c2a11…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	318	1¢	$3	0xcec5ed…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	212	1¢	$2	0xa9f22e…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5631b0…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0x4b633f…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0xcd1fe5…
05-05 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x467c66…
05-05 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	61¢	$29	0x2ec28c…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6463dc…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0xfe29c1…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x347626…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x74c59d…
05-05 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x25afd9…
05-05 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xcc3a77…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xa906e4…
05-05 05:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfa2a58…
05-05 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x1ff8cb…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x323bf4…
05-05 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x21b363…
05-05 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x164af1…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xcb9fb7…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x702fa6…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd40492…
05-05 04:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x321c9e…
05-05 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9080e4…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3472e9…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd517e5…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x55a5e8…
05-05 03:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0adfb1…
05-05 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2ccc2e…
05-05 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c2830…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x655f6d…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae2a33…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26686b…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb4d2f…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf4cbc6…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ad455…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe89f1c…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2591c5…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x966a2f…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09c030…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa2584…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcfd59…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x56d1a3…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22bb62…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9edc2…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x468ec6…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdc4ba1…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5dc3fd…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44d758…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a6a08…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x741552…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1dc2b…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x523bbd…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a963e…
05-05 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x110b41…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4130f9…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79b543…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x77734b…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb2cf45…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2133e…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46681b…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ce85c…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9a663…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36c4f7…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8bc2e6…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5458f2…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf81046…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x60f552…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1889e…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xf1c059…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x046ba9…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ce78e…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xacb63f…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8d9d1…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd279df…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xab7541…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x800e4b…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x67de06…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff8fae…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1c7e9f…
05-05 03:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7d9e9…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x014ac4…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34a3c4…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xbd7cce…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x85fbaf…
05-05 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xedac8f…
05-05 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd62ab2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	48	$716	274	05-06 00:33
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	44	$5.48K	192	05-06 00:34
Minor-Air 0x9848…b0ba	35	$762	128	05-06 00:33
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	34	$4.84K	152	05-06 00:33
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	34	$2.04K	159	05-06 00:34
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	33	$7.43K	183	05-06 00:33
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	33	$1.98K	158	05-06 00:34
(anonymous) 0xa621…6e29	33	$657	86	05-06 00:33