Delicious-Grin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

302

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$623

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-01 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

82% 14% -$19

Politics

10% 17% -$9

Tech

6% 25% +$14

Crypto

1% 33% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+67	$10	3¢	$2	-$8	05-20 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?	2	$76	76	76	+0	Yes	+$74	07-04 11:01
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	2	$38	37	37	+0	Yes	+$18	06-08 10:42
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	2	$37	30	30	+0	No	+$17	06-07 11:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	05-20 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	05-30 11:53
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	08-24 12:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	05-20 15:15
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	05-25 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	+$16	05-26 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	05-30 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	05-25 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	2	$8	36	0	+36	Yes	+$28	06-02 12:47
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$6	1,011	0	+1,011	Yes	-$6	05-21 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 7?	2	$6	93	0	+93	No	-$6	06-06 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	06-03 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	06-03 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	05-21 18:07
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	1	$5	21	0	+21	Yes	+$16	05-28 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	06-05 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	05-27 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	05-31 17:17
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	05-26 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	06-06 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	05-28 15:19
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	51	0	+51	Yes	-$5	05-21 18:11
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	-$5	05-21 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	+$6	06-05 03:12
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	1	$5	15	0	+15	Over	-$5	07-17 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 1?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-31 17:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$3	10-21 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x197a2a…
10-31 05:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x8a10f1…
10-30 20:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	326	0¢	$1	0xa7d617…
10-29 15:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	360	0¢	$1	0x1acfcc…
10-29 15:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9b7a92…
10-26 13:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x69ba9c…
10-26 13:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	695	0¢	$1	0xadb18c…
10-25 05:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	615	0¢	$1	0x85be74…
10-24 19:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x99ea47…
10-24 19:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1c090a…
10-24 19:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x07c8b2…
10-24 03:09:50	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7281a9…
10-23 16:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x891b72…
10-23 16:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xa26761…
10-23 16:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on October 24?	Yes	BUY	323	0¢	$1	0x9073a6…
10-22 12:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xbaa3aa…
10-22 12:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	796	0¢	$1	0x45013b…
10-22 12:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	498	0¢	$1	0x0cf3b9…
10-21 13:01:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xcc314c…
10-20 15:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5314a2…
10-20 15:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe1402d…
10-19 03:06:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe8fed4…
10-19 03:06:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x39ff74…
10-19 03:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x30d167…
10-18 13:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x48a917…
10-18 03:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x65589f…
10-17 08:54:02	highest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfc4a5f…
10-15 11:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xc30c13…
10-14 14:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x83fe47…
10-13 15:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x36f73d…
10-11 17:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfd3aff…
10-11 08:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66144e…
10-06 17:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x54ecf2…
10-04 11:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd18f15…
10-03 11:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x10442a…
10-03 11:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xd569f8…
10-02 11:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x60dd59…
10-02 11:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x0c1157…
09-30 14:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xbc1d0c…
09-30 14:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x805c02…
09-30 14:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4707d2…
09-29 13:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x05d976…
09-28 15:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xee5c6a…
09-28 15:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	699	0¢	$1	0xc4dcad…
09-28 15:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x490d3c…
09-14 12:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x54012b…
09-12 06:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0xc2c27c…
09-09 16:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$1	0x81d455…
09-08 13:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa83d61…
09-07 12:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xee24ec…
09-06 03:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x14e3e1…
09-04 15:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3e431a…
09-04 15:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xab58d3…
09-03 14:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x20737a…
09-02 12:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x04f479…
09-01 12:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x487b03…
08-31 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x725d8e…
08-31 11:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1f7f1f…
08-28 18:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x8f2ead…
08-27 14:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x571d27…
08-26 12:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeeabf1…
08-26 12:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5e927f…
08-24 13:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x997d6b…
08-24 12:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7e5a91…
08-24 12:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd9140c…
08-24 12:59:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7661fe…
08-23 04:33:00	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd49092…
08-23 04:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3062d9…
08-22 08:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd75dc5…
08-20 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9bab8d…
08-20 12:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3523c7…
08-18 12:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc483c5…
08-16 18:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x84852d…
08-16 18:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 17?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfb4cb…
08-15 11:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc77d75…
08-12 15:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0b2e68…
08-11 04:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc50a72…
08-11 04:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0xd91141…
08-11 04:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0xdaaad0…
08-09 07:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb86bfa…
08-08 08:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x3c61f7…
08-07 07:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd2bb93…
08-05 17:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe73147…
08-04 07:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0xac6883…
08-02 04:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 3?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x06ab1b…
08-01 04:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc721d4…
08-01 04:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8dd2f9…
08-01 04:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x27ca90…
07-31 04:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a9211…
07-31 04:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf26c02…
07-31 04:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x65b946…
07-30 07:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb11626…
07-29 16:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb7878c…
07-29 08:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xa7a3e1…
07-29 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x72a64e…
07-29 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x097226…
07-29 04:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xb48ec4…
07-29 04:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb683f1…
07-28 17:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x404e14…
07-28 05:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa7b41a…