Sweltering-Donation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-24 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% $-1

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-30	$-98	61¢	$-18	+$79	06-24 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781501700	5	$6.7K	4,255	4,255	+0	open	—	06-15 05:39
btc updown 15m 1782315000	6	$3.9K	6,237	6,237	+0	open	—	06-24 15:33
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	5	$3.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	06-08 12:21
btc updown 15m 1782315900	4	$2.9K	5,309	5,309	+0	open	—	06-24 15:54
btc updown 5m 1782137400	2	$2.2K	1,169	1,169	+0	open	—	06-22 14:14
btc updown 15m 1782314100	3	$1.9K	2,330	2,330	+0	open	—	06-24 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,238	632	+606	Down	+$167	05-12 21:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	19	$1.4K	1,397	1,427	-30	open	—	06-24 15:43
btc updown 5m 1781566500	2	$1.0K	538	538	+0	open	—	06-15 23:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$1000	1,151	0	+1,151	open	—	06-12 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$1000	1,639	0	+1,639	open	—	05-31 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$900	973	0	+973	open	—	05-31 06:15
btc updown 5m 1781541300	2	$821	439	439	+0	open	—	06-15 16:39
btc updown 5m 1781838000	1	$800	823	0	+823	open	—	06-19 03:04
btc updown 5m 1781835300	2	$800	870	0	+870	open	—	06-19 02:19
btc updown 5m 1781889000	1	$800	813	0	+813	open	—	06-19 17:14
btc updown 5m 1781835600	1	$800	816	0	+816	open	—	06-19 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$735	580	580	+0	open	—	04-28 14:43
btc updown 15m 1782313200	2	$700	1,854	0	+1,854	open	—	06-24 15:05
btc updown 15m 1782312300	4	$623	700	328	+372	open	—	06-24 14:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$620	324	324	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$559	316	316	+0	open	—	06-01 12:20
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	11	$555	188	496	-308	open	—	06-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$544	567	0	+567	open	—	04-25 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$514	401	401	+0	open	—	04-28 14:54
btc updown 5m 1781712300	1	$509	633	0	+633	open	—	06-17 16:09
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$500	625	0	+625	open	—	06-15 04:05
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 10	1	$500	572	0	+572	open	—	06-10 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	04-25 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$500	521	0	+521	open	—	04-25 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 15:54:07	btc updown 15m 1782315900	Up	SELL	2,155	19¢	$403	0xf0af9f…
06-24 15:54:07	btc updown 15m 1782315900	Up	SELL	3,154	15¢	$475	0xcbccea…
06-24 15:51:46	btc updown 15m 1782315900	Up	BUY	2,800	40¢	$1,131	0xf14bab…
06-24 15:51:46	btc updown 15m 1782315900	Up	BUY	2,509	35¢	$869	0xec8cbf…
06-24 15:43:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	907	58¢	$527	0x47e6b1…
06-24 15:33:29	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	SELL	1,127	10¢	$113	0xdfd0d1…
06-24 15:33:29	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	SELL	2,380	19¢	$452	0xd984ab…
06-24 15:33:29	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	SELL	2,731	13¢	$351	0xd41f7b…
06-24 15:30:41	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	BUY	779	52¢	$405	0xff2af1…
06-24 15:30:41	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	BUY	3,023	49¢	$1,485	0x4efab4…
06-24 15:30:41	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	BUY	2,435	46¢	$1,111	0x4d3889…
06-24 15:28:38	btc updown 15m 1782314100	Up	SELL	2,330	29¢	$669	0x4cc259…
06-24 15:15:44	btc updown 15m 1782314100	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xd01960…
06-24 15:15:14	btc updown 15m 1782314100	Up	BUY	2,274	53¢	$1,200	0xfc1507…
06-24 15:05:16	btc updown 15m 1782313200	Up	BUY	898	22¢	$200	0x9e01bd…
06-24 15:00:20	btc updown 15m 1782313200	Up	BUY	956	52¢	$500	0x7ff00b…
06-24 14:51:50	btc updown 15m 1782312300	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x112c5c…
06-24 14:50:26	btc updown 15m 1782312300	Up	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xc64cff…
06-24 14:46:47	btc updown 15m 1782312300	Up	SELL	328	65¢	$213	0x18554c…
06-24 14:45:25	btc updown 15m 1782312300	Up	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x5ece3d…
06-24 14:32:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b444c…
06-24 14:30:38	btc updown 15m 1782310500	Down	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x6b01a1…
06-24 14:30:04	btc updown 15m 1782310500	Down	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xbc8fc3…
06-22 14:57:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xba6727…
06-22 14:14:52	btc updown 5m 1782137400	Down	SELL	1,169	99¢	$1,157	0xfd414d…
06-22 14:13:59	btc updown 5m 1782137400	Down	BUY	1,169	86¢	$1,000	0x2a0493…
06-21 21:45:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa71095…
06-21 21:35:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe7fac1…
06-19 17:14:50	btc updown 5m 1781889000	Up	BUY	813	98¢	$800	0xa73df9…
06-19 05:54:32	btc updown 5m 1781848200	Up	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0x9d489b…
06-19 03:04:50	btc updown 5m 1781838000	Down	BUY	823	97¢	$800	0x7625f4…
06-19 02:24:22	btc updown 5m 1781835600	Up	BUY	816	98¢	$800	0x930151…
06-19 02:19:14	btc updown 5m 1781835300	Down	BUY	276	93¢	$257	0x8a3683…
06-19 02:19:14	btc updown 5m 1781835300	Down	BUY	594	92¢	$543	0x580f2d…
06-18 05:07:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5fa238…
06-17 16:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd37ed4…
06-17 16:09:28	btc updown 5m 1781712300	Down	BUY	633	80¢	$509	0x0b5a98…
06-17 02:09:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xccf7a9…
06-15 23:39:21	btc updown 5m 1781566500	Up	SELL	538	98¢	$527	0x4564b4…
06-15 23:38:49	btc updown 5m 1781566500	Up	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xfae2d5…
06-15 21:34:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x8645c2…
06-15 16:39:16	btc updown 5m 1781541300	Down	SELL	439	96¢	$421	0x42c6e0…
06-15 16:38:21	btc updown 5m 1781541300	Down	BUY	439	91¢	$400	0x0ebc61…
06-15 16:21:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x311080…
06-15 05:39:06	btc updown 5m 1781501700	Down	SELL	4,255	99¢	$4,212	0x81c4e4…
06-15 05:34:24	btc updown 5m 1781501700	Down	BUY	510	55¢	$281	0xe05c23…
06-15 05:34:24	btc updown 5m 1781501700	Down	BUY	1,437	59¢	$850	0xa17dca…
06-15 05:34:24	btc updown 5m 1781501700	Down	BUY	1,022	53¢	$537	0x530f8b…
06-15 05:34:24	btc updown 5m 1781501700	Down	BUY	1,285	65¢	$832	0x459dd0…
06-15 04:05:52	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x1defeb…
06-15 03:22:30	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xaf4c1b…
06-15 00:24:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x09165a…
06-14 22:18:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xb28c9d…
06-14 21:58:06	eth updown 5m 1781474100	Down	SELL	524	90¢	$471	0x157e56…
06-14 21:50:25	eth updown 5m 1781473800	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0xcafa47…
06-12 19:35:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1,151	87¢	$1,000	0xdd68cd…
06-10 23:26:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 10	No	BUY	572	87¢	$500	0xf8571d…
06-10 23:06:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa5cecd…
06-09 21:59:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x593c84…
06-08 12:21:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	1,609	100¢	$1,607	0x570695…
06-08 11:59:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x650adc…
06-07 14:46:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x0452d7…
06-07 12:00:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x80125f…
06-07 11:51:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0xcad6d1…
06-06 22:09:30	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Down	BUY	426	99¢	$421	0x382cce…
06-05 16:17:51	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	93¢	$463	0xce43e3…
06-01 14:58:12	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x944f5a…
06-01 14:56:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x8b9866…
06-01 14:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	260	98¢	$255	0x5f471b…
06-01 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xd0bec0…
06-01 14:32:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	41¢	$214	0x167b11…
06-01 12:22:43	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4f9b3d…
06-01 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	316	98¢	$309	0x94f2ee…
06-01 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0x7eacae…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	696	65¢	$450	0xca1817…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x7b0536…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	871	57¢	$500	0x5ba374…
05-31 06:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	973	93¢	$900	0xe9ceca…
05-30 22:23:29	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc8629e…
05-30 22:23:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	42¢	$204	0x52f7a6…
05-30 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	717	56¢	$400	0x06e051…
05-30 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1ae387…
05-30 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x001545…
05-30 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x802b9a…
05-30 04:21:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x2f93c6…
05-30 04:20:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xb73ab5…
05-30 03:59:30	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3a5c9e…
05-30 03:54:23	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x350d03…
05-29 19:04:47	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01f708…
05-29 18:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfd2bd8…
05-29 18:56:54	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x30f653…
05-29 18:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	111	68¢	$76	0x754228…
05-29 18:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x97de05…
05-29 18:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	167	93¢	$155	0x80692f…
05-29 18:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0xbf2501…
05-29 18:00:46	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x40e613…
05-29 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xc5eac1…
05-29 17:52:50	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa54deb…
05-28 04:08:39	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x3cc799…
05-27 19:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0xf1984d…