Sweltering-Donation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$83

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

$309

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-08 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+511	$227	60¢	$309	+$83	06-09 21:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	5	$3.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	06-08 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,238	632	+606	Down	+$167	05-12 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$1000	1,639	0	+1,639	open	—	05-31 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$900	973	0	+973	open	—	05-31 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$735	580	580	+0	open	—	04-28 14:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$655	1,031	520	+511	open	—	06-09 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$620	324	324	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$559	316	316	+0	open	—	06-01 12:20
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	11	$555	188	496	-308	open	—	06-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$544	567	0	+567	open	—	04-25 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$514	401	401	+0	open	—	04-28 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	04-25 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$500	521	0	+521	open	—	04-25 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$500	515	0	+515	open	—	04-25 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$496	657	657	+0	open	—	04-28 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$455	260	260	+0	open	—	06-01 14:54
btc updown 5m 1780783500	1	$421	426	0	+426	open	—	06-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$400	717	0	+717	open	—	05-30 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$364	223	223	+0	open	—	05-14 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$300	309	0	+309	open	—	04-25 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$292	415	415	+0	open	—	04-28 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$260	385	0	+385	Up	+$125	05-12 21:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$252	167	167	+0	open	—	05-29 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$250	325	0	+325	Down	+$75	05-12 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	11	$242	236	231	+4	open	—	04-27 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$235	212	212	+0	Down	$-98	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$210	418	0	+418	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$200	225	0	+225	Down	$-200	05-11 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$167	157	157	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$126	111	111	+0	open	—	05-29 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:59:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x593c84…
06-08 12:21:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	1,609	100¢	$1,607	0x570695…
06-08 11:59:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x650adc…
06-07 14:46:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x0452d7…
06-07 12:00:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x80125f…
06-07 11:51:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0xcad6d1…
06-06 22:09:30	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Down	BUY	426	99¢	$421	0x382cce…
06-05 16:17:51	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	93¢	$463	0xce43e3…
06-01 14:58:12	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x944f5a…
06-01 14:56:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x8b9866…
06-01 14:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	260	98¢	$255	0x5f471b…
06-01 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xd0bec0…
06-01 14:32:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	41¢	$214	0x167b11…
06-01 12:22:43	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4f9b3d…
06-01 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	316	98¢	$309	0x94f2ee…
06-01 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0x7eacae…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	696	65¢	$450	0xca1817…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x7b0536…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	871	57¢	$500	0x5ba374…
05-31 06:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	973	93¢	$900	0xe9ceca…
05-30 22:23:29	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc8629e…
05-30 22:23:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	42¢	$204	0x52f7a6…
05-30 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	717	56¢	$400	0x06e051…
05-30 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1ae387…
05-30 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x001545…
05-30 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x802b9a…
05-30 04:21:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x2f93c6…
05-30 04:20:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xb73ab5…
05-30 03:59:30	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3a5c9e…
05-30 03:54:23	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x350d03…
05-29 19:04:47	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01f708…
05-29 18:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfd2bd8…
05-29 18:56:54	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x30f653…
05-29 18:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	111	68¢	$76	0x754228…
05-29 18:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x97de05…
05-29 18:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	167	93¢	$155	0x80692f…
05-29 18:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0xbf2501…
05-29 18:00:46	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x40e613…
05-29 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xc5eac1…
05-29 17:52:50	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa54deb…
05-28 04:08:39	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x3cc799…
05-27 19:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0xf1984d…
05-27 18:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x206ce2…
05-14 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	188	25¢	$47	0x3af781…
05-14 16:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	157	43¢	$67	0x033969…
05-14 16:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x129e83…
05-14 16:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	230	71¢	$163	0xab1c9a…
05-14 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0x1da142…
05-14 16:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	223	64¢	$143	0xb11156…
05-14 16:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x79cbfb…
05-14 15:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x57a091…
05-12 21:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x7e1a80…
05-12 21:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	632	89¢	$561	0x57b324…
05-12 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	632	63¢	$400	0xc6c505…
05-12 21:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x2e42ef…
05-12 21:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	324	99¢	$320	0xac7b41…
05-12 21:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	324	93¢	$300	0xf18cff…
05-12 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	385	67¢	$260	0x6682ea…
05-12 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	212	32¢	$68	0x504358…
05-12 20:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	212	78¢	$166	0xab530f…
05-12 20:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	325	77¢	$250	0x414dd3…
05-11 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x58a8b1…
05-03 19:44:00	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x02a43e…
04-28 14:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	401	53¢	$214	0x4cb832…
04-28 14:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	401	75¢	$300	0xb58d47…
04-28 14:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	415	27¢	$113	0x0735c4…
04-28 14:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	415	43¢	$179	0x761092…
04-28 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	580	75¢	$435	0xb519f9…
04-28 14:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x8ff0e1…
04-28 14:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	493	51¢	$253	0x1b1100…
04-28 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	657	30¢	$196	0xdf4f6f…
04-28 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xfe9caa…
04-28 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	642	46¢	$293	0x28e72c…
04-28 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xc666cb…
04-28 13:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x40dbf8…
04-28 12:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x1d86fc…
04-28 12:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x80d721…
04-27 19:12:14	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xec1e2a…
04-27 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xd2b08b…
04-27 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xf192de…
04-27 05:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	197	57¢	$112	0xa3885f…
04-27 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x7d7650…
04-27 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa369e4…
04-27 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9a5125…
04-27 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x8197d3…
04-27 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x65fe01…
04-27 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdb8c33…
04-27 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x7392d1…
04-27 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x4ed991…
04-27 05:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x2d5479…
04-27 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x690593…
04-25 13:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xc0c4b0…
04-25 13:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x84bc72…
04-25 13:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x9b917c…
04-25 13:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x701cd5…
04-25 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	567	96¢	$544	0x23b6cc…
04-17 20:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf87914…
04-17 20:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x862d92…
04-17 19:59:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	230	7¢	$15	0xca5b94…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	42	$34.9K	1,388	06-08 11:22
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	41	$22.5K	1,719	06-01 14:53
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	41	$12.4K	3,783	06-06 22:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	40	$13.1K	2,395	06-06 22:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	40	$13.0K	3,992	06-06 22:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	39	$11.2K	1,989	06-06 22:09
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	39	$9.62K	1,601	06-06 22:08
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	38	$32.3K	4,920	06-06 22:08