Likable-Temporariness 0xc15cad…746549
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
26.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$851
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$156
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-18 02:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$57
Other
44% 0% $-39
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -989 $-34 4¢ $-44 $-10 05-29 00:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -287 $-46 11¢ $-30 +$16 05-29 00:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -91 $-24 28¢ $-25 $-0 05-29 00:01
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -240 $-24 6¢ $-16 +$8 06-11 04:42
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes -130 $-17 11¢ $-14 +$3 05-29 00:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +91 $10 9¢ $8 $-2 06-18 02:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -125 $-12 6¢ $-8 +$4 06-02 07:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 24¢ $-6 +$1 05-29 00:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -137 $-9 4¢ $-5 +$4 05-29 00:06