Likable-Temporariness 0xc15cad…746549
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
26.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
41
lifetime
Volume
$841
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$156
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-11 04:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
52% 100% +$57
Other
45% 0% $-39
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -287 $-46 12¢ $-36 +$10 05-29 00:22
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -240 $-24 10¢ $-23 +$1 06-11 04:42
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -989 $-34 2¢ $-23 +$11 05-29 00:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -91 $-24 22¢ $-20 +$4 05-29 00:01
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes -130 $-17 13¢ $-17 +$0 05-29 00:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -125 $-12 11¢ $-13 $-1 06-02 07:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes -79 $-10 11¢ $-9 +$1 06-02 01:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 28¢ $-7 $-0 05-29 00:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -137 $-9 4¢ $-5 +$3 05-29 00:06
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -133 $-3 1¢ $-2 +$2 06-03 02:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -51 $-2 3¢ $-2 +$1 06-03 02:34