Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$450

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-15 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% +$1

Politics

37% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$158	97	97	+0	open	—	03-23 18:01
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	11	$110	83	83	+0	open	—	03-23 20:58
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 17:44
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$34	37	37	+0	open	—	03-23 17:34
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	07-15 20:01
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	04-23 17:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 07:46
highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 12c	3	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 20:16
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 17:15
btc updown 5m 1772823300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-06 18:59
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	03-23 17:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	3	$3	36	36	+0	open	—	03-19 05:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-09 19:43
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	3	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	03-17 20:22
btc updown 5m 1772822400	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 18:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	300	300	+0	open	—	03-17 18:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$2	370	0	+370	open	—	04-23 17:27
peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	2	$2	134	0	+134	open	—	03-22 19:43
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 08:34
russia coup attempt in 2026	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	07-15 20:05
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	3	$2	53	53	+0	open	—	03-19 12:08
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2	698	0	+698	open	—	04-23 17:29
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	3	$2	28	0	+28	open	—	04-23 17:17
will the south african reserve bank increase the repo rate after the march meeting	3	$1	23	22	+1	open	—	03-24 20:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$1	348	8	+340	open	—	04-23 17:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-22 19:58
will the bank of mexico announce an increase at the march meeting	9	$1	1,034	27	+1,007	open	—	03-23 14:53
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	5	$1	115	0	+115	open	—	04-03 17:48
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$1	9	9	+0	open	—	03-18 13:17
tsla close above 410 on march 17 2026	2	$1	71	71	+0	open	—	03-17 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:16:43	btc updown 5m 1784146500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x943559…
07-15 20:07:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1a9aa1…
07-15 20:05:10	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb0dcfe…
07-15 20:01:47	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7d5750…
04-24 17:31:14	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x3dc72e…
04-24 07:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x571053…
04-23 17:44:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x7684bc…
04-23 17:42:44	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x3a19ed…
04-23 17:31:58	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcd2f36…
04-23 17:29:46	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	395	0¢	$0	0xba475a…
04-23 17:29:46	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x8ed82a…
04-23 17:27:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xd19dba…
04-23 17:27:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xa30787…
04-23 17:24:34	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x91eccc…
04-23 17:17:30	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xcbc9db…
04-23 17:11:04	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0218d1…
04-11 17:23:01	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 13 2026 37corhigher	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x809e4e…
04-10 17:27:13	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 13 2026 27corbelow	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xbd251d…
04-10 17:26:33	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 13 2026 37corhigher	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa6a2c8…
04-10 17:25:01	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x39a47c…
04-10 17:24:21	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8bd279…
04-10 17:23:21	highest temperature in atlanta on april 13 2026 90 91f	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x78c067…
04-10 17:22:19	highest temperature in panama city on april 13 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x350f28…
04-10 17:21:53	highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd669b2…
04-10 17:20:27	highest temperature in houston on april 13 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc0eb04…
04-10 17:19:59	highest temperature in houston on april 13 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa5be7d…
04-10 17:19:09	highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 14corbelow	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x998cee…
04-10 17:18:35	highest temperature in busan on april 13 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3865b3…
04-10 17:17:47	highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xa877b8…
04-10 17:16:25	highest temperature in moscow on april 13 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x67ec07…
04-10 17:15:23	highest temperature in wellington on april 13 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x03d0da…
04-10 17:14:51	highest temperature in dallas on april 13 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb63130…
04-10 17:14:31	highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$0	0xe7015c…
04-10 17:12:39	highest temperature in denver on april 13 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf092ca…
04-10 17:11:37	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xddb76b…
04-10 17:10:21	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1fcbef…
04-10 17:09:39	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x410909…
04-10 17:08:51	highest temperature in munich on april 13 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x924cdd…
04-09 20:54:43	Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf10920…
04-09 20:52:43	will the bank of korea decrease the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa7cdde…
04-03 17:48:55	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9d396b…
03-24 20:36:39	will the south african reserve bank increase the repo rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x4afd61…
03-24 20:34:37	will the south african reserve bank increase the repo rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xa9f2e6…
03-23 20:58:57	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0xc98444…
03-23 20:46:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xbc901e…
03-23 20:16:47	highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x55ab44…
03-23 18:29:09	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x6cd0ea…
03-23 18:28:49	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb91483…
03-23 18:21:31	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x668323…
03-23 18:07:53	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xa4b866…
03-23 18:01:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	90	83¢	$75	0x79939f…
03-23 17:53:59	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf2f5d5…
03-23 17:53:39	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x734f8e…
03-23 17:34:53	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x5cb7c0…
03-23 17:34:21	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x5a7649…
03-23 17:34:21	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x380b7d…
03-23 17:28:43	highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x8ee11a…
03-23 17:25:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x4476c7…
03-23 15:09:41	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0f7a33…
03-23 15:09:11	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x16a51a…
03-23 15:09:09	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x587ce9…
03-23 15:05:11	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xff8429…
03-23 15:00:45	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x27ce2a…
03-23 15:00:17	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xca0fb8…
03-23 15:00:15	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0x9761ff…
03-23 14:58:25	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x3c8888…
03-23 14:58:01	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xff1343…
03-23 14:53:33	will the bank of mexico announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xce889f…
03-23 13:29:57	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xe423f0…
03-23 13:02:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0x054fa8…
03-23 07:42:01	highest temperature in toronto on march 25 2026 1c	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x65c0a3…
03-23 07:39:39	highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 13corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x20d1cc…
03-23 07:39:01	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdc9e24…
03-23 07:38:39	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf5c474…
03-23 07:38:39	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xf4d585…
03-23 07:38:39	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc3a4f9…
03-23 07:37:43	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd3e7d6…
03-23 07:36:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6fa206…
03-23 07:35:17	highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 13corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x413b9f…
03-23 07:32:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x7e92c7…
03-23 07:30:27	highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf7d32…
03-22 20:16:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3e30d8…
03-22 20:06:29	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xf7f066…
03-22 20:04:25	will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x93dd3f…
03-22 19:58:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cfe6a…
03-22 19:54:07	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0xd6f7a8…
03-22 19:51:57	will the bank of mexico announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x345e36…
03-22 19:50:11	will the bank of korea decrease the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0xc83d03…
03-22 19:47:41	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf4e0a1…
03-22 19:43:09	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xbf421d…
03-20 19:12:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x17c46e…
03-20 19:11:19	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 20	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5c7559…
03-20 19:10:01	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x6175cc…
03-20 19:02:43	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf49f74…
03-20 18:56:25	btc updown 5m 1774032900	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x45f5f6…
03-20 18:52:41	btc updown 5m 1774032600	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7f9418…
03-20 11:47:53	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3c6234…
03-19 13:53:41	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1841fe…
03-19 13:13:29	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x090a3d…
03-19 12:10:03	highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x64787f…