Realized P&L
-$102
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
846
Trades
4,490
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$186
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-26 06:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
44% 69% +$100
Other
44% 63% -$245
Crypto
6% 80% +$29
Sports
5% 67% +$15
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $46 90¢ $45 -$1 10-26 05:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +37 $34 96¢ $36 +$2 10-26 06:14
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +35 $28 80¢ $28 +$1 08-21 04:11
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$0 10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 66¢ $11 +$1 09-29 06:53
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-01 00:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +17 $10 54¢ $9 -$1 09-30 18:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 09-25 16:44
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $0 10-26 00:46
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 10-26 05:21
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $0 09-16 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-26 05:25
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 10-26 00:19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +36 $13 12¢ $4 -$9 06-08 12:21
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $0 09-22 17:11