Pesky-Musicbox 0xc20526…8ceec2
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$291
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
40
1,460 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.34K
$69.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$2.93K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-30 13:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
49% 48% +$516
Politics
47% 65% +$1,228
Sports
3% 31% +$17
Tech
1% 33% -$140
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$28
Crypto
0% 20% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +730 $611 94¢ $690 +$78 10-26 13:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +525 $471 96¢ $501 +$30 09-26 20:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +478 $354 74¢ $351 -$3 10-30 12:53
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +483 $254 52¢ $254 +$0 10-30 13:12
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +355 $259 70¢ $250 -$9 10-30 12:51
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $172 94¢ $187 +$15 10-27 13:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +271 $170 67¢ $182 +$12 10-30 13:12
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $162 84¢ $169 +$7 08-21 10:48
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $102 70¢ $104 +$2 10-30 12:48
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +89 $79 88¢ $79 $0 10-30 12:41
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,250 $50 0¢ $31 -$19 06-18 16:51
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,190 $25 3¢ $30 +$5 05-28 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $25 70¢ $28 +$3 09-25 13:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $22 74¢ $22 $0 09-21 18:22
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +150 $34 11¢ $16 -$18 09-21 18:21
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,100 $9 1¢ $10 +$2 06-23 11:59
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +120 $28 8¢ $9 -$18 08-26 17:42
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $5 0¢ $8 +$2 09-15 22:10
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +289 $19 2¢ $5 -$13 09-04 19:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -30 -$4 15¢ $-5 -$1 10-15 13:40