Guilty-Presentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$454

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-11 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% $-14

Other

6% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$82	90	50	+40	open	—	04-30 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$29	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$28	47	47	+0	open	—	04-30 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$18	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 15:59
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	Down	$-11	05-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$10	61	0	+61	open	—	04-30 20:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-11 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-11 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 20:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 15:52
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 11:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$7	9	8	+1	Down	$-3	05-11 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 21:23
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	open	—	04-30 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-11 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-11 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc54b04…
05-11 19:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd12dd5…
05-11 19:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x67633b…
05-11 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d1fe1…
05-11 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9b7d62…
05-11 16:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x182ded…
05-11 16:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xde04d0…
05-11 16:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa48ef8…
05-11 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3d2113…
05-11 16:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x6241ca…
05-11 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc50100…
05-11 16:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd64558…
05-11 16:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9a53de…
05-11 15:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xf6883a…
05-11 15:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x092838…
05-11 15:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0cba4d…
05-11 15:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc2003e…
05-11 15:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x89412d…
05-11 15:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc09a77…
05-11 15:52:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2feeb…
05-11 15:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x83746b…
05-11 15:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x66fc76…
05-11 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6783ec…
05-11 15:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3ccfc9…
05-11 15:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2c868d…
05-11 15:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9525ec…
05-11 15:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf6d291…
05-11 15:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x414a61…
05-11 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x565273…
05-11 15:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x23c74f…
05-11 15:36:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xabc8f1…
05-11 15:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd4604b…
05-11 15:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8b80ea…
05-11 15:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6e78ff…
05-11 15:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x50cf17…
05-11 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb1c264…
05-11 15:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x869e07…
05-11 15:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd9e521…
05-11 15:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdc2955…
04-30 21:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x801d04…
04-30 21:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xf77eee…
04-30 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5669e2…
04-30 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x843c26…
04-30 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x73074c…
04-30 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x161cf0…
04-30 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6ade6e…
04-30 20:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb4d24e…
04-30 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x530a15…
04-30 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaaca56…
04-30 20:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3be727…
04-30 20:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfe2b40…
04-30 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdf1c0c…
04-30 20:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x569e47…
04-30 20:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x86b7af…
04-30 20:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0cd0c1…
04-30 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaf0f9e…
04-30 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x50b958…
04-30 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x33f4ba…
04-30 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x030743…
04-30 20:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xef0c6b…
04-30 19:59:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf61594…
04-30 19:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	27¢	$13	0x56de82…
04-30 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf34dc3…
04-30 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7a7e57…
04-30 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x354979…
04-30 19:54:06	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xbf155e…
04-30 19:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x11d1c8…
04-30 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x35b39f…
04-30 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa1c48d…
04-23 11:22:00	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae0e43…
04-23 11:20:08	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x1754dd…
03-22 13:20:01	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x55fa6e…
03-22 13:19:37	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf3fa38…