Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
open
Total volume
$501
$5 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$3,763
Latest YES mid
64¢
Latest NO mid
36¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 16:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.3¢
(top1%: 62% YES on $182
vs crowd: 72% YES on $451)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $123 | $74 | +$49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $89 | $18 | +$71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $114 | $33 | +$81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $113 | $69 | +$44 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $55 | $7 | +$48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $32 | $5 | +$28 |
| Median | 6 | $35 | $4 | +$31 |
| Below median | 4 | $12 | $3 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $1 | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $44 | $3 | +$41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $33 | $20 | +$13 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +90 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +75 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +67 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +67 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Modern-Dulcimer 0x3362…acaf | Up | +63 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +39 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +39 | $23 | $36 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Willing-Moody 0xac90…89a9 | Down | +38 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | +37 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Agitated-Net 0x71c2…b14d | Up | +34 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x79de…ff2b | Up | +30 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db | Up | +23 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Wary-Machine 0x20fd…8a25 | Up | +22 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb | Down | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | +18 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | +17 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Ambitious-Nut-Oleo 0x11c9…28c1 | Up | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdaa…9959 | Up | +12 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90 | Up | +9 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Up | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Pink-Crest 0x542c…ed1c | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Compassionate-Carrot 0x2c6d…1a7f | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Complicated-Forebear 0x9ee5…f677 | Down | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdaa…9959 | Down | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Strange-Gerbil 0x4376…b250 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Nimble-Nightclub 0xba0e…0eeb | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Strange-Gerbil 0x4376…b250 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Harmful-Land 0x6a8a…4972 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 16:24 |
| Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e16…0e72 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9000…d1ef | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3115…75af | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a78…ec3d | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Needy-Hide 0x6170…da27 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Multicolored-Osprey 0xdcb3…c96c | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Awful-Prescription 0x87bd…9712 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 16:12:44 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x32c3d2… |
| 05-11 16:12:44 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 75¢ | $12 | 0x3254f8… |
| 05-11 16:12:42 | Multicolored-Osprey 0xdcb3…c96c | Up | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x1ca373… |
| 05-11 16:12:41 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 35 | 74¢ | $26 | 0x98bc99… |
| 05-11 16:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 58 | 26¢ | $15 | 0x03cd90… |
| 05-11 16:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x79de…ff2b | Up | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x990892… |
| 05-11 16:12:41 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x1c8ead… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb | Down | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd77c78… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | Willing-Moody 0xac90…89a9 | Down | BUY | 38 | 33¢ | $12 | 0xd94245… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb | Up | SELL | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x682a66… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc9134f… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | (anonymous) 0xcdaa…9959 | Up | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x50fe0d… |
| 05-11 16:12:39 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 24 | 68¢ | $17 | 0xb348f6… |
| 05-11 16:12:37 | Modern-Dulcimer 0x3362…acaf | Up | BUY | 63 | 75¢ | $47 | 0xba6c2c… |
| 05-11 16:12:37 | Strange-Gerbil 0x4376…b250 | Down | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc19213… |
| 05-11 16:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xcdaa…9959 | Down | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x4efe53… |
| 05-11 16:12:35 | Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x4e3a28… |
| 05-11 16:12:34 | Pink-Crest 0x542c…ed1c | Up | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x0a60b1… |
| 05-11 16:12:34 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x6c734b… |
| 05-11 16:12:32 | Wary-Machine 0x20fd…8a25 | Up | BUY | 22 | 69¢ | $15 | 0xd2fae5… |
| 05-11 16:12:32 | Fussy-Servant 0x58af…33d8 | Down | SELL | 24 | 31¢ | $7 | 0x8b6fb4… |
| 05-11 16:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x9000…d1ef | Up | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x424cfd… |
| 05-11 16:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xd865c0… |
| 05-11 16:12:30 | Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90 | Up | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x4b0da2… |
| 05-11 16:12:28 | Frightening-Randomization 0xecef…4551 | Up | SELL | 28 | 67¢ | $18 | 0xc6f242… |
| 05-11 16:12:28 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xdd9cf6… |
| 05-11 16:12:28 | Strange-Gerbil 0x4376…b250 | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf1ca7c… |
| 05-11 16:12:28 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x4d8e08… |
| 05-11 16:12:28 | Agitated-Net 0x71c2…b14d | Up | BUY | 34 | 60¢ | $20 | 0x635ddd… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x6c38d4… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x79de…ff2b | Up | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xb9147c… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0xd44e6b… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90 | Down | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x65cc63… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Up | BUY | 6 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x3e9f9e… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 64 | 44¢ | $28 | 0x5c0a67… |
| 05-11 16:12:27 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 26 | 42¢ | $11 | 0xbb77c9… |
| 05-11 16:12:25 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Up | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x769c88… |
| 05-11 16:12:25 | Nimble-Nightclub 0xba0e…0eeb | Up | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x6a11fa… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x122683… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Fabulous-Astrologer 0x7b00…de90 | Up | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x7a6564… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x920332… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Complicated-Forebear 0x9ee5…f677 | Down | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xdcc7b9… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db | Up | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xafe93f… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Needy-Hide 0x6170…da27 | Up | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xf3358e… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x0e0dde… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0xcdaa…9959 | Up | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x7d259e… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xc37bfe… |
| 05-11 16:12:23 | Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db | Up | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x97f444… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x16efbe… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Compassionate-Carrot 0x2c6d…1a7f | Up | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x898559… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x8e16…0e72 | Down | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xc38ae0… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 26 | 42¢ | $11 | 0x0cff7c… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xd03d37… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x651b00… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x3f7409… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x90aa49… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db | Up | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xedf27b… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x7f89b4… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | BUY | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x25e5a5… |
| 05-11 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x5234e3… |
| 05-11 16:08:22 | Awful-Prescription 0x87bd…9712 | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x876c53… |
| 05-11 16:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x0a78…ec3d | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x59e0a0… |
| 05-11 16:08:20 | Ambitious-Nut-Oleo 0x11c9…28c1 | Up | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xb087c5… |
| 05-11 16:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x3115…75af | Down | BUY | 3 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x830ca2… |
| 05-11 16:08:18 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 67 | 49¢ | $33 | 0xfb24c8… |
| 05-10 16:24:49 | Harmful-Land 0x6a8a…4972 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x1574af… |