Knobby-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

991

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-08 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Sports

47% 68% $-45

Other

33% 29% $-36

Politics

13% 83% +$28

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$568	338	338	+0	open	—	06-02 14:25
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	4	$551	330	330	+0	open	—	06-02 02:30
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$471	256	256	+0	open	—	06-02 05:05
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$372	216	216	+0	open	—	06-02 04:21
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	4	$290	208	208	+0	open	—	06-02 01:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$288	253	176	+77	open	—	06-01 23:27
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$269	339	172	+167	open	—	05-31 00:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$267	222	144	+78	open	—	05-31 11:05
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$263	182	182	+0	open	—	05-24 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$258	140	140	+0	open	—	05-01 05:47
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	3	$245	436	0	+436	open	—	05-31 10:44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	4	$239	242	242	+0	open	—	05-31 18:46
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$230	130	130	+0	Thunder	+$30	05-10 03:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$224	133	133	+0	open	—	05-14 04:04
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$200	364	0	+364	open	—	06-02 14:26
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$200	364	0	+364	open	—	06-07 23:51
Knicks vs. Spurs	4	$187	285	56	+230	open	—	06-03 13:24
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$185	159	159	+0	open	—	05-23 02:36
Knicks vs. 76ers	6	$179	174	174	+0	Knicks	$-16	05-09 01:47
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	3	$171	268	268	+0	open	—	05-31 04:08
clf jej bmu 2026 08 04 total 2pt5	2	$153	82	82	+0	open	—	08-04 12:07
pol leg zag 2026 08 02 total 4pt5	2	$152	79	79	+0	open	—	08-02 15:05
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$150	268	0	+268	open	—	05-30 05:13
clf avl pau 2026 08 04 total 5pt5	2	$148	79	79	+0	open	—	08-04 15:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$148	78	78	+0	No	+$6	05-04 13:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$143	81	81	+0	open	—	04-30 02:25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$143	133	133	+0	open	—	05-31 04:34
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$139	90	90	+0	open	—	05-19 05:51
den mid hor 2026 08 02 total 5pt5	2	$139	73	73	+0	open	—	08-02 14:04
mlb pit mil 2026 08 04	3	$137	87	87	+0	open	—	08-05 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 04:10:15	mlb lad ari 2026 08 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xc501d1…
08-08 02:30:40	wnba gsv dal 2026 08 07 total 163pt5	Under	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x469da0…
08-08 02:20:15	wnba atl wsh 2026 08 07 total 169pt5	Under	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4ef46f…
08-08 00:21:27	wnba atl wsh 2026 08 07 total 169pt5	Under	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x79d9aa…
08-07 15:33:12	mlb tor phi 2026 08 07 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x73faa3…
08-07 14:16:48	asean vie cam 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x2293c2…
08-07 14:10:52	clf avl bmu 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x39b4b8…
08-07 13:13:46	clf avl bmu 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0xbeaffc…
08-07 13:11:36	kor2 gye dag 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdb2f72…
08-07 11:51:25	kor2 gye dag 2026 08 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfebc72…
08-07 11:49:49	clf rac gij 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0dd54a…
08-07 09:51:48	clf rac gij 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xcf5e5b…
08-07 09:03:43	clf inte vb 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x2f1c4f…
08-07 04:15:46	mlb sd ari 2026 08 06 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x7ae12e…
08-07 04:14:54	wnba tor por 2026 08 06 total 188pt5	Under	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x3f75e7…
08-07 03:10:01	wnba tor por 2026 08 06 total 188pt5	Under	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x214230…
08-07 03:08:37	wnba la min 2026 08 06 total 189pt5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa28254…
08-07 02:19:43	wnba la min 2026 08 06 total 189pt5	Under	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xd91321…
08-06 15:59:57	wta gibson alexand 2026 08 05	Talia Gibson	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xec3c6b…
08-06 15:39:51	uzb1 sog and 2026 08 06 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2171ac…
08-06 15:39:17	uzb1 sog and 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x20d674…
08-06 10:45:11	uzb1 sog and 2026 08 06 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xed09e5…
08-06 10:44:02	uzb1 sog and 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x10bdc1…
08-06 10:40:09	clf lua reu 2026 08 06 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x6b825d…
08-06 07:22:38	clf lua reu 2026 08 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	34	88¢	$29	0xd636e4…
08-06 07:19:33	bnb updown 5m 1786000500	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x74a177…
08-06 07:18:14	bnb updown 5m 1786000500	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe07a49…
08-06 05:53:56	lec laf gua 2026 08 05 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x299c94…
08-06 03:38:32	lec laf gua 2026 08 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xe64401…
08-06 03:35:35	wnba la chi 2026 08 05 total 189pt5	Under	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x5bf2c6…
08-06 02:04:03	wnba la chi 2026 08 05 total 189pt5	Under	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0xa3de87…
08-06 02:01:51	mlb cws bos 2026 08 05 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3cbb5f…
08-06 01:13:12	mlb cws bos 2026 08 05 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd68ab4…
08-06 01:10:29	wnba sea nyl 2026 08 05 total 184pt5	Under	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa421ac…
08-06 00:24:02	wnba sea nyl 2026 08 05 total 184pt5	Under	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x42b965…
08-05 22:20:39	arg boc est 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x189259…
08-05 13:28:08	clf acm int 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x56f35b…
08-05 12:24:47	clf acm int 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd63c4a…
08-05 12:15:41	uwcl sc sis 2026 08 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xc50461…
08-05 12:08:08	clf acm int 2026 08 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd5a384…
08-05 11:11:03	bnb updown 5m 1785928200	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0a5168…
08-05 11:07:29	bnb updown 5m 1785927900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe3c361…
08-05 10:54:02	bnb updown 5m 1785927000	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x410901…
08-05 10:53:36	bnb updown 5m 1785927000	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xc4fb44…
08-05 10:53:12	bnb updown 5m 1785927000	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x21c5ef…
08-05 10:51:06	bnb updown 5m 1785927000	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x551a36…
08-05 10:47:42	bnb updown 5m 1785926700	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x402e25…
08-05 10:46:03	bnb updown 5m 1785926700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x58db3a…
08-05 10:44:56	bnb updown 5m 1785926400	Down	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x8968f5…
08-05 10:44:42	bnb updown 5m 1785926400	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x088e6f…
08-05 10:43:14	bnb updown 5m 1785926400	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x33ef30…
08-05 10:42:11	bnb updown 5m 1785926400	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x945eac…
08-05 09:38:39	clf vil lu 2026 08 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6787c0…
08-05 09:38:20	clf acm int 2026 08 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x592a9a…
08-05 07:15:44	bnb updown 5m 1785914100	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x67c707…
08-05 06:46:42	clf vil lu 2026 08 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9366ef…
08-05 02:23:05	mlb sf tex 2026 08 04 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	81	88¢	$71	0xc2a6e7…
08-05 02:20:53	mlb pit mil 2026 08 04	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x483781…
08-05 01:49:03	mlb min kc 2026 08 04 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x0ed3a6…
08-05 00:32:33	mlb laa bal 2026 08 04 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x2289b7…
08-04 22:15:30	mlb pit mil 2026 08 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x1bb9b6…
08-04 21:54:03	mlb pit mil 2026 08 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x32db89…
08-04 15:27:18	clf avl pau 2026 08 04 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0x1ce354…
08-04 14:24:30	clf avl pau 2026 08 04 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xaa4b35…
08-04 13:26:44	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04	HANJIN BRION	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x165295…
08-04 13:19:42	clf jej bmu 2026 08 04 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x10cffc…
08-04 12:46:27	bnb updown 5m 1785847500	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2f9f73…
08-04 12:39:24	clf jej bmu 2026 08 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x201e23…
08-04 12:21:30	bnb updown 5m 1785846000	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x924a20…
08-04 12:18:41	bnb updown 5m 1785845700	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5876a6…
08-04 12:10:42	bnb updown 5m 1785845400	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7e4760…
08-04 12:07:29	clf jej bmu 2026 08 04 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x46fe8c…
08-04 11:00:14	bnb updown 5m 1785840900	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0e178a…
08-04 10:55:53	bnb updown 5m 1785840900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc0e2d…
08-04 10:50:51	bnb updown 5m 1785840600	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xd9e87f…
08-04 10:46:15	bnb updown 5m 1785840300	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x76fc02…
08-04 09:21:29	clf jej bmu 2026 08 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	82	87¢	$71	0x53b50c…
08-04 08:22:38	bnb updown 5m 1785831600	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa16388…
08-04 08:20:18	bnb updown 5m 1785831300	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x73a4a6…
08-04 08:16:20	bnb updown 5m 1785831300	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xc3dd29…
08-04 08:15:32	bnb updown 5m 1785831000	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb6b988…
08-04 08:11:26	bnb updown 5m 1785831000	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x016c2f…
08-04 08:07:14	bnb updown 5m 1785830700	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x963e62…
08-04 07:58:57	bnb updown 5m 1785830100	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8aa2d7…
08-04 07:51:33	bnb updown 5m 1785829800	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd6b4b2…
08-04 07:46:23	bnb updown 5m 1785829500	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa01079…
08-04 07:45:18	bnb updown 5m 1785829200	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x0f9f36…
08-04 07:40:57	bnb updown 5m 1785829200	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xe81469…
08-04 07:40:21	bnb updown 5m 1785828900	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4c1059…
08-04 07:36:50	bnb updown 5m 1785828900	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x912d8e…
08-04 07:30:15	bnb updown 5m 1785828300	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1fe138…
08-04 07:26:32	bnb updown 5m 1785828300	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe69aea…
08-04 07:21:35	bnb updown 5m 1785828000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x15d926…
08-04 07:20:15	bnb updown 5m 1785827700	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0db2d9…
08-04 07:16:36	bnb updown 5m 1785827700	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc4c4fa…
08-04 07:15:21	bnb updown 5m 1785827400	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x13d39a…
08-04 07:11:09	bnb updown 5m 1785827400	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x55e2e8…
08-04 07:10:18	bnb updown 5m 1785827100	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x316dd0…
08-04 07:09:12	bnb updown 5m 1785827100	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb5ab54…
08-04 07:05:17	bnb updown 5m 1785826800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x42370f…