Knobby-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$852

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

63% 58% +$77

Other

37% 25% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No		+24	$-2	94¢	$22	+$24	05-14 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$202	133	109	+24	open	—	05-14 04:04
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$130	0	130	-130	Thunder	$-0	05-10 03:05
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$55	106	0	+106	Knicks	+$51	05-10 03:25
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$50	102	0	+102	Knicks	+$52	05-08 05:04
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	1	$45	75	0	+75	cancelled	$-8	05-13 12:43
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	1	$44	0	44	-44	New York Mets	$-0	05-14 02:59
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$39	21	21	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$2	05-14 01:45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$38	62	0	+62	Pistons	+$24	05-07 11:31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$37	58	0	+58	Timberwolves	$-37	05-10 04:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	1	$36	0	36	-36	Yes	$-0	05-13 22:07
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$35	43	0	+43	Thunder	+$8	05-11 02:40
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$30	39	0	+39	Knicks	+$9	05-06 23:16
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$30	45	0	+45	Seattle Mariners	+$15	05-13 01:13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$25	58	0	+58	Toronto Blue Jays	$-25	05-13 22:13
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$22	56	0	+56	Cavaliers	$-22	05-09 05:19
Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	1	$15	31	0	+31	Aleksandar Kovacevic	$-15	05-13 11:08
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatu	1	$10	15	0	+15	Cook Islands	+$5	05-13 05:26
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	1	$10	13	0	+13	Ognjen Milic	$-10	05-13 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:04:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	109	93¢	$102	0xe6d823…
05-14 02:59:10	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x430cfc…
05-14 01:45:17	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfc97ca…
05-14 01:05:09	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0x5139b7…
05-13 22:13:41	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7b3b6a…
05-13 22:07:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x91e2df…
05-13 12:43:26	ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	England	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xa2ef04…
05-13 11:08:13	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4909ff…
05-13 06:39:18	Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	Joshua Charlton	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x02490f…
05-13 05:26:19	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatu	Cook Islands	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x228237…
05-13 01:13:18	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xc20f30…
05-11 02:40:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x37332a…
05-10 04:52:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0xd31a67…
05-10 03:25:24	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x9243ec…
05-10 03:05:18	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x1c0275…
05-09 09:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x53ebd9…
05-09 05:19:33	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0x188671…
05-08 05:04:31	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xbe91ad…
05-07 11:31:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0x04dbf9…
05-06 23:16:47	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x261896…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	16	$24.7K	431	05-14 01:58
(anonymous) 0x82a5…674e	15	$1.41K	153	05-14 01:44
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	13	$344.0K	623	05-14 02:01
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	13	$231.1K	2,291	05-14 02:16
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	13	$55.7K	114	05-14 02:16
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	13	$22.9K	127	05-14 02:16
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	13	$22.4K	206	05-14 02:06
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	12	$44.7K	54	05-14 01:45