Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
0
3,409 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$13.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$14
10 positions
First seen
2026-08-06
last 09-30 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
51% 35% -$142
Politics
44% 48% -$8
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Tech
2% 50% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +8 $3 78¢ $6 +$4 09-08 15:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +16 $6 22¢ $4 -$2 09-08 20:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 20¢ $2 -$4 09-08 16:15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +12 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 09-08 18:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 09-08 15:15
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +13 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 09-08 10:45
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +0 -$2 86¢ $0 +$2 08-23 20:45
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +2 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 09-08 11:33
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +0 $1 83¢ $0 -$1 09-02 05:45
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$3 31¢ $0 +$3 09-05 04:30