Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

284

Trades

3,409

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-06

last 09-30 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

51% 36% -$136

Politics

44% 47% -$19

Pop-Culture

3% 0% -$8

Tech

2% 33% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+8	$3	84¢	$7	+$4	09-08 15:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+16	$6	23¢	$4	-$2	09-08 20:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+10	$6	20¢	$2	-$4	09-08 16:15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+12	$4	15¢	$2	-$2	09-08 18:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	09-08 15:15
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	+0	-$2	92¢	$0	+$2	08-23 20:45
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+0	$1	86¢	$0	-$1	09-02 05:45
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$3	30¢	$0	+$3	09-05 04:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	172	$866	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	09-27 18:32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	72	$437	760	760	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 13:08
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	50	$408	734	734	+0	Yes	+$5	09-29 13:08
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	99	$394	1,335	1,335	+0	No	-$2	09-22 09:03
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	82	$386	717	717	+0	No	+$3	09-20 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	71	$384	746	745	+1	Yes	-$15	09-22 09:52
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	108	$362	2,231	2,231	+0	No	-$8	09-27 20:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	57	$311	324	324	+0	open	—	09-27 12:10
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	45	$296	325	325	+0	open	—	09-28 17:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	121	$285	10,333	10,333	+0	Yes	+$22	09-28 14:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	104	$255	5,629	5,629	+0	Yes	-$11	09-28 06:37
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	65	$238	4,856	4,844	+12	Yes	-$11	09-19 05:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	85	$233	3,199	3,199	+0	No	-$10	09-21 21:15
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	50	$226	235	235	+0	Yes	-$3	09-26 20:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	65	$219	667	667	+0	No	-$9	09-27 17:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	42	$183	183	183	+0	open	—	09-28 17:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	38	$163	2,020	2,020	+0	No	-$6	09-21 21:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	40	$157	1,216	1,216	+0	Yes	-$2	09-27 16:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	38	$154	1,588	1,588	+0	open	—	09-21 21:15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	23	$153	175	175	+0	No	+$1	09-27 20:23
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	32	$145	1,826	1,826	+0	No	+$3	09-27 19:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	54	$142	3,049	3,049	+0	No	-$14	09-28 12:42
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	18	$115	185	185	+0	Yes	$0	09-05 15:45
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	22	$114	116	116	+0	open	—	09-27 05:37
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	46	$105	4,177	4,177	+0	No	-$8	09-19 16:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	14	$104	106	78	+28	Yes	$0	09-08 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	46	$104	1,534	1,534	+0	No	-$9	09-29 14:32
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	34	$101	919	919	+0	No	-$3	09-18 23:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	24	$96	936	936	+0	No	-$3	09-18 12:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	16	$94	131	131	+0	No	-$2	09-07 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 09:17:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4f2315…
09-30 09:16:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x483165…
09-29 14:32:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1ad40c…
09-29 13:08:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x8cf2a7…
09-29 13:08:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xf431c6…
09-28 17:01:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xd0b229…
09-28 17:01:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x8e81ca…
09-28 14:46:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x74c15c…
09-28 14:46:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9ce02c…
09-28 12:42:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	292	0¢	$1	0xbf6662…
09-28 12:38:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x68478f…
09-28 12:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x03e71a…
09-28 12:34:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$1	0x284c57…
09-28 09:05:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	55	12¢	$7	0x178ec6…
09-28 07:27:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xa8fc3a…
09-28 06:37:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	202	0¢	$0	0xab524b…
09-28 04:49:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x8d13cc…
09-28 03:13:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	644	0¢	$1	0x5a64f3…
09-28 03:12:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	323	0¢	$1	0xe95419…
09-27 20:43:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$3	0x6e6f6e…
09-27 20:23:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xef2bc3…
09-27 20:21:00	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$5	0xd7b2f7…
09-27 20:10:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	356	0¢	$2	0x27ef3c…
09-27 19:27:20	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0xb9424b…
09-27 19:08:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	41	33¢	$14	0x499cde…
09-27 18:32:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x7b584f…
09-27 17:58:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	4¢	$5	0xe31ca2…
09-27 17:38:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x90b553…
09-27 17:37:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x822c73…
09-27 17:18:44	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x444971…
09-27 16:53:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xdde269…
09-27 16:51:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd564df…
09-27 16:50:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xd51e2a…
09-27 16:43:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x30fc9e…
09-27 16:41:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2688e4…
09-27 16:38:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xb96477…
09-27 16:37:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x65ecc4…
09-27 16:31:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	54	12¢	$7	0x46b35d…
09-27 16:29:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$1	0x79826d…
09-27 16:09:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xbf271e…
09-27 16:09:32	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x5f234e…
09-27 16:06:38	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xff6593…
09-27 15:59:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	41¢	$15	0xcdda43…
09-27 15:51:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	195	2¢	$4	0xd1a19a…
09-27 15:50:14	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x69f1d6…
09-27 15:17:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xcf3456…
09-27 15:17:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0x47fa74…
09-27 15:15:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0x982c92…
09-27 15:10:51	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x3554db…
09-27 15:07:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x63c356…
09-27 15:07:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x533b99…
09-27 15:05:26	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$2	0x4ac3a4…
09-27 14:59:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x9a95b6…
09-27 14:53:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xe15c68…
09-27 14:47:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x27f80a…
09-27 14:32:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xe6a345…
09-27 14:31:12	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x0d7a2f…
09-27 14:27:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x27ae1b…
09-27 14:23:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x44c029…
09-27 14:21:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa1839c…
09-27 14:17:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x363b77…
09-27 14:05:14	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x697efe…
09-27 14:04:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xc38b39…
09-27 13:45:53	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb86005…
09-27 13:32:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	46	34¢	$16	0xef7c0f…
09-27 13:32:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xbb7642…
09-27 13:21:17	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x2b1ca8…
09-27 13:14:44	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x52f411…
09-27 13:03:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb30b65…
09-27 12:57:18	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0xf70e29…
09-27 12:36:53	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	166	2¢	$3	0x632e06…
09-27 12:29:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1450a2…
09-27 12:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5ed11e…
09-27 12:10:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xb95800…
09-27 11:29:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x26fe8c…
09-27 11:25:32	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb19e45…
09-27 11:15:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	24¢	$15	0x5c6d56…
09-27 11:14:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xac74e1…
09-27 11:10:59	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbb1f61…
09-27 10:37:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xd23ac3…
09-27 10:36:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x318137…
09-27 10:26:48	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	SELL	158	5¢	$8	0xaf90fb…
09-27 10:26:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x5d9b30…
09-27 10:23:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xaf99b6…
09-27 10:12:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xdbd3b2…
09-27 10:06:33	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x067cc8…
09-27 09:34:00	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x227bbf…
09-27 09:11:44	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5385b5…
09-27 08:43:36	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0x64bf24…
09-27 08:41:26	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x41e802…
09-27 08:22:53	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xbd039c…
09-27 08:19:26	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x17a5c3…
09-27 08:19:21	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	181	2¢	$4	0xb7906f…
09-27 08:05:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x1afaff…
09-27 08:05:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x2b3eea…
09-27 08:00:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x2f84ef…
09-27 07:59:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x918dc8…
09-27 07:54:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfe0eea…
09-27 07:43:05	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xf1f88c…
09-27 07:36:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x71bd58…