Amusing-Sitar-Obedience 0xc2a3e0…83a7b0
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.26K
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
32.2%
Resolved
275
Trades
472
lifetime
Volume
$19.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$1.01K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-26 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
57% 33% -$9,711
Sports
27% 53% +$1,224
Other
14% 53% +$267
Tech
2% 25% -$17
Crypto
0% 0% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $275 12¢ $288 +$12 10-10 07:47
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $150 8¢ $188 +$38 10-16 02:24
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $250 8¢ $188 -$62 10-13 21:23
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $170 5¢ $129 -$41 10-18 19:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +71 $50 96¢ $68 +$18 06-16 01:08
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +66 $51 86¢ $57 +$6 08-04 22:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $50 36¢ $48 -$2 07-08 17:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +12 $6 88¢ $11 +$5 09-21 00:41
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +25 $8 40¢ $10 +$2 10-24 15:00
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 08-20 15:27
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +33 $10 24¢ $8 -$2 09-17 18:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +15 $8 42¢ $6 -$2 09-17 00:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 10-22 16:34