Amusing-Sitar-Obedience — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$151

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved (90d)

190

Trades (90d)

301

493 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.0K

$19.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$961

23 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 11-08 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

57% 33% -$9,711

Sports

27% 54% +$1,277

Other

14% 52% +$302

Tech

2% 25% -$17

Crypto

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (23) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+2,500	$275	14¢	$338	+$62	10-10 07:47
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+2,500	$250	6¢	$162	-$88	10-13 21:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+135	$50	78¢	$106	+$56	07-08 17:21
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+2,500	$150	4¢	$94	-$56	10-16 02:24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+71	$50	98¢	$70	+$19	06-16 01:08
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	+66	$51	90¢	$59	+$8	08-04 22:47
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	+29	$10	62¢	$18	+$8	09-17 18:33
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	No	+15	$13	96¢	$14	+$1	08-28 08:28
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+2,500	$170	1¢	$14	-$156	10-18 19:56
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	+33	$10	38¢	$13	+$3	09-17 18:37
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	+59	$10	18¢	$11	+$1	09-17 18:38
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	+13	$5	78¢	$10	+$5	09-21 00:28
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+12	$6	82¢	$10	+$4	09-21 00:41
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$1	08-20 15:27
Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	+6	$4	94¢	$6	+$1	09-30 10:05
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	+85	$5	6¢	$6	+$1	09-11 21:33
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	+95	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	09-11 21:34
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	+9	$4	59¢	$5	+$1	09-11 21:45
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+83	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	09-11 21:34
Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	+10	$4	38¢	$4	+$0	11-06 23:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+15	$8	12¢	$2	-$6	09-17 00:57
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$8	4¢	$1	-$7	09-10 20:35
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	+21	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	09-17 18:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$10.6K	13,031	13,031	+0	No	-$9,704	10-25 23:41
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$990	1,394	0	+1,394	Yes	+$404	06-09 18:47
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$601	846	0	+846	No	+$245	06-23 19:46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$589	999	0	+999	Yes	+$410	05-22 02:04
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	20	$275	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-10 07:47
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$254	154	154	+0	Yes	+$54	06-26 22:02
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$250	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-13 21:23
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$245	145	145	+0	Yes	+$45	06-27 22:55
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	3	$239	140	140	+0	No	+$37	07-07 02:03
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$227	127	127	+0	Yes	+$26	06-27 05:06
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$171	122	122	+0	No	+$71	06-27 04:59
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$170	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-18 19:56
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	3	$150	99	99	-0	No	+$49	06-28 01:28
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$150	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-16 02:24
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$141	91	91	+0	No	+$41	06-30 21:06
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$128	873	0	+873	No	-$128	06-23 19:52
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$121	161	161	+0	Yes	-$79	06-19 19:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$118	68	68	+0	No	+$18	06-27 05:06
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	3	$112	65	65	+0	No	+$13	09-04 06:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	3	$88	80	66	+15	open	—	09-17 00:57
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	1	$81	100	0	+100	No	+$19	06-29 00:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$51	65	0	+65	Yes	+$14	06-25 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$51	83	0	+83	No	+$32	06-22 00:30
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	1	$51	66	0	+66	open	—	08-04 22:47
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$51	115	0	+115	Yes	+$64	06-18 22:38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	06-16 01:08
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	1	$50	63	0	+63	No	+$13	07-01 16:48
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	1	$50	73	0	+73	No	-$50	06-23 11:14
world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	4	$50	81	0	+81	No	+$31	06-28 21:42
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$50	85	0	+85	Yes	+$35	06-24 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:30:13	Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x99f8db…
11-08 18:07:48	Jets vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcfa4c7…
11-08 15:05:42	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Buccaneers	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x3056f3…
11-08 07:07:48	Packers vs. Patriots	Packers	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x4adf4a…
11-07 13:27:06	Browns vs. Saints	Browns	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcac239…
11-06 23:43:24	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc2954c…
11-06 01:41:37	Lions vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xeadc06…
11-06 01:33:39	Cowboys vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x165492…
11-06 01:33:21	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Colts	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x267789…
11-06 01:31:25	Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)	Ravens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x557255…
10-31 17:02:01	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cardinals	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xad1959…
10-31 13:25:28	Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa208ac…
10-31 07:41:45	Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x13e499…
10-29 17:28:50	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x9f5fc4…
10-29 12:31:29	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xb33d4b…
10-28 18:42:58	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd17932…
10-28 18:31:01	Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x50fc99…
10-28 00:41:41	Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd1a0ee…
10-28 00:40:57	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa62a29…
10-28 00:40:06	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x49459c…
10-28 00:39:12	Spread: Spurs (-21.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa97dde…
10-26 00:26:57	Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)	Kings	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb72643…
10-25 23:41:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13,031	4¢	$469	0xded982…
10-25 22:00:06	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x876ac7…
10-25 21:24:24	Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4bb912…
10-25 21:19:44	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x1c42ca…
10-25 21:13:20	Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7fc981…
10-25 20:56:05	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcad516…
10-25 20:32:48	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Cardinals	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb552e…
10-25 20:13:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	67¢	$336	0x420bae…
10-25 19:27:08	Spread: Bengals (-7.5)	Ravens	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6e7d3c…
10-25 18:48:11	Spread: Dolphins (-9.5)	Jets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0fd1a0…
10-25 18:08:02	Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x682660…
10-25 17:54:51	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Giants	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x44cd60…
10-25 17:52:35	Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdec8d6…
10-25 17:48:05	49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xca3f6b…
10-25 17:42:05	Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x33c640…
10-25 17:42:00	Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x8c7eb4…
10-25 17:27:41	Dolphins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2fd423…
10-25 17:17:33	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Clippers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4d18ac…
10-25 17:06:47	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40404c…
10-25 12:49:09	49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xec38f3…
10-25 02:52:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12,531	78¢	$9,837	0xa00e69…
10-25 01:57:48	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8d3422…
10-24 17:46:36	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Mavericks	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x99f5d9…
10-24 16:37:38	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	Bucks	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x31f9a6…
10-24 15:34:15	Spread: Suns (-9.5)	Warriors	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef9ae0…
10-24 15:34:15	Spread: Suns (-9.5)	Warriors	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x92e7cc…
10-24 15:22:36	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe27d84…
10-24 15:00:42	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xdeada0…
10-24 03:12:21	nba mem gsw 2026 10 23 spread away 5pt5	Warriors	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3e5b1a…
10-24 02:56:32	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x41511c…
10-24 02:49:41	Clippers vs. Lakers	Clippers	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8e700c…
10-24 02:35:05	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9a019b…
10-24 02:25:30	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x73cdfb…
10-24 02:06:09	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xec3bd6…
10-24 00:43:47	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0ec06…
10-24 00:40:32	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0b1807…
10-24 00:13:05	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x587e9f…
10-24 00:04:30	Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x249854…
10-24 00:03:15	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Clippers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xac237b…
10-23 02:53:51	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x6c2d20…
10-23 02:53:51	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x168970…
10-23 00:47:03	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Patriots	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcd971b…
10-22 16:34:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xa46d07…
10-21 18:18:50	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb99cd1…
10-21 17:06:06	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb9b368…
10-21 15:53:48	Spread: Texans (-9.5)	Giants	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xceceb5…
10-21 14:29:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xb8d3e6…
10-20 23:56:02	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcef813…
10-20 22:03:21	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4d30c2…
10-20 22:03:18	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb79805…
10-20 21:09:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x96ce48…
10-20 00:59:14	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9fbfa0…
10-20 00:33:32	Spread: 49ers (-10.5)	Commanders	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x608743…
10-19 02:10:51	Spread: Packers (-10.5)	Cowboys	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0d34df…
10-19 00:48:03	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xba9ea3…
10-18 22:01:54	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7969ba…
10-18 21:12:51	Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)	Chiefs	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x9d0c16…
10-18 21:12:51	Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)	Chargers	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9d0c16…
10-18 20:42:36	Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)	Chiefs	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc91505…
10-18 20:33:51	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf2bf4d…
10-18 20:32:29	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7a2248…
10-18 20:29:42	Spread: Bills (-4.5)	Raiders	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe04cc6…
10-18 19:56:54	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,500	7¢	$170	0xd01ce2…
10-18 19:00:18	Spread: Patriots (-6.5)	Patriots	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca2da0…
10-18 18:47:26	Spread: Panthers (-4.5)	Panthers	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd25af4…
10-18 18:36:20	Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Falcons	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3a863f…
10-18 17:45:09	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Titans	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x98846a…
10-18 17:45:08	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Titans	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x649855…
10-18 17:34:18	Spread: Bears (-10.5)	Falcons	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe13b44…
10-16 16:14:33	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ce405…
10-16 02:24:43	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0xfd3bbb…
10-16 01:12:25	Spread: Broncos (-6.5)	Seahawks	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x61861d…
10-15 23:44:28	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x490f53…
10-14 01:39:37	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x86c0ab…
10-13 21:23:45	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x190c36…
10-13 16:30:37	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x32c3f0…
10-13 16:14:16	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	378	10¢	$38	0x0f013f…
10-11 22:51:33	Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x893f87…