Amusing-Sitar-Obedience 0xc2a3e0…83a7b0 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.19K
Unrealized P&L
-$125
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
311
Trades
517
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 11-14 22:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% -$9,711
Sports
27% 52% +$1,262
Other
14% 52% +$302
Tech
2% 25% -$17
Crypto
0% 0% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $275 15¢ $363 +$88 10-10 07:47
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +163 $147 90¢ $146 -$1 11-13 21:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $50 92¢ $125 +$75 07-08 17:21
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $250 4¢ $111 -$139 10-13 21:23
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $150 3¢ $86 -$64 10-16 02:24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +71 $50 99¢ $70 +$19 06-16 01:08
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +66 $51 90¢ $60 +$9 08-04 22:47
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 94¢ $38 +$3 08-25 19:31
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? Yes +24 $10 90¢ $21 +$11 09-17 18:34
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? Yes +29 $10 64¢ $19 +$9 09-17 18:33
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +50 $15 32¢ $16 +$1 11-11 02:55
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for between $200m and $225m at auction? Yes +40 $15 38¢ $15 +$0 11-15 03:05
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$1 08-28 08:28
Will Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” sell for between $75m and $90m at auction? Yes +50 $14 29¢ $15 +$0 11-13 21:47
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +33 $10 38¢ $13 +$3 09-17 18:37
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? No +20 $11 62¢ $12 +$2 11-14 03:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +12 $6 99¢ $12 +$6 09-21 00:41
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +25 $12 46¢ $11 $0 11-14 03:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +30 $10 35¢ $11 +$0 11-12 22:18
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? Yes +13 $5 80¢ $10 +$5 09-21 00:28
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South? Yes +59 $10 17¢ $10 $0 09-17 18:38
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 08-20 15:27
Pistons vs. Heat Heat +10 $5 93¢ $9 +$4 11-15 02:10
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5 Under +20 $10 46¢ $9 $0 11-11 23:23
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 Under +20 $9 46¢ $9 $0 11-14 22:04
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? Yes +65 $7 14¢ $9 +$2 09-24 21:26
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $170 0¢ $8 -$162 10-18 19:56
Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +6 $4 94¢ $6 +$1 09-30 10:05
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +85 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 09-11 21:33
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season? No +9 $4 59¢ $5 +$1 09-11 21:45