Mellow-Sari — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved

377

Trades

861

lifetime

Volume

$74.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 09-23 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 95% +$372

Politics

10% 59% -$43

Other

0% 57% -$19

Sports

0% 50% -$152

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+5	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-23 12:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	36	$2.5K	1,666	1,666	+0	No	+$48	05-25 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:00 UTC	18	$2.3K	2,279	0	+2,279	Up	+$23	03-17 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:50 UTC	28	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Down	+$22	03-17 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:30 UTC	15	$2.1K	2,168	0	+2,168	Up	+$37	03-17 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:05 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$2	03-20 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:10 UTC	12	$1.8K	1,843	0	+1,843	Up	+$18	03-19 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:30 UTC	13	$1.8K	1,790	0	+1,790	Up	+$18	03-17 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:50 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,790	0	+1,790	Up	+$18	03-23 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:40 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,728	0	+1,728	Up	+$17	03-23 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:20 UTC	20	$1.7K	1,706	0	+1,706	Down	+$12	03-23 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:45 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,690	0	+1,690	Down	+$2	03-23 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,684	0	+1,684	Down	+$18	03-23 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:40 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,684	0	+1,684	Up	+$24	03-23 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:35 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,674	0	+1,674	Down	+$17	03-23 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:10 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,067	1,059	+8	Down	-$95	03-23 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:50 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,453	0	+1,453	Down	+$15	03-18 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,339	0	+1,339	Down	+$20	03-18 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:05 UTC	2	$1.3K	692	692	+0	Up	-$50	03-23 14:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	18	$1.3K	831	781	+50	No	+$7	05-24 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 14:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$51	03-17 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,178	0	+1,178	Up	+$12	03-23 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:25 UTC	2	$1.1K	615	615	+0	Up	-$53	03-23 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:30 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	+$11	03-18 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:40 UTC	16	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	03-19 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:50 UTC	9	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	Down	+$11	03-23 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:25 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	Down	+$11	03-18 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:10 UTC	18	$1.0K	1,014	0	+1,014	Down	+$10	03-18 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:25 UTC	3	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$1	03-19 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 12:10 UTC	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$1	03-19 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:05 UTC	1	$961	971	0	+971	Down	+$10	03-17 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 12:09:49	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1380d5…
09-23 11:35:19	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa6ad0d…
06-26 07:25:37	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,622	6¢	$152	0x0b58e0…
06-11 20:40:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x59dfdb…
06-11 20:39:12	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xeae504…
06-11 17:49:45	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x585b5a…
06-11 16:01:10	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x1d137f…
06-10 12:22:42	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	447	4¢	$17	0x16b662…
06-10 00:57:30	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	447	4¢	$18	0x54f857…
06-09 17:09:55	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	290	5¢	$16	0x5a50ba…
06-08 17:10:22	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	5¢	$15	0x417f3f…
05-29 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc6ff49…
05-29 21:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4af1f3…
05-29 21:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf73772…
05-29 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3dfa53…
05-29 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9e129c…
05-29 19:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa0d2cf…
05-29 18:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x6a7a3f…
05-29 18:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x1dfa4e…
05-29 18:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x893e27…
05-29 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x4e537d…
05-29 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xd5c952…
05-29 17:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x02c405…
05-29 17:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xe17c24…
05-29 16:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x8dd166…
05-29 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xd6859f…
05-29 16:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x222f2c…
05-29 16:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x84ac92…
05-29 15:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x60f1ca…
05-29 15:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xad56d6…
05-29 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xa2eda4…
05-29 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc817d2…
05-29 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x44080d…
05-29 15:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x717a7a…
05-29 14:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x151e65…
05-29 14:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xdfb3a1…
05-29 13:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xf13088…
05-29 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xa65a75…
05-29 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd4d99c…
05-29 10:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdcca25…
05-29 09:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x201303…
05-29 09:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x67b3ed…
05-29 08:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x42c30c…
05-29 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0a217d…
05-29 04:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xda6577…
05-29 04:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xa880f2…
05-29 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2166a5…
05-29 02:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfbb753…
05-29 00:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xef21a8…
05-29 00:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xbbba58…
05-29 00:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdd478b…
05-28 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5cb383…
05-28 16:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6eb2fd…
05-28 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x1adbe8…
05-28 15:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0e10b9…
05-28 15:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf56024…
05-28 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa33fad…
05-28 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1fa4b4…
05-28 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x14ed05…
05-28 14:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xfe3a9c…
05-28 14:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b5ac5…
05-28 14:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c7a2c…
05-28 14:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7fa812…
05-28 13:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x31415a…
05-28 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x5cdfa6…
05-28 10:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd91214…
05-28 10:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x74ad33…
05-28 08:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8bca71…
05-28 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa2176e…
05-28 06:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x814f21…
05-28 05:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x64b33f…
05-28 05:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x74287c…
05-28 04:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x69e91f…
05-28 04:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5fa9cb…
05-28 03:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbac8c9…
05-28 03:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x041b60…
05-28 02:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x41b5b7…
05-28 01:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa8ee87…
05-28 01:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf37266…
05-28 01:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xed37d3…
05-28 01:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3f741d…
05-28 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x98c55f…
05-28 00:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x132fac…
05-27 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd5d0ee…
05-27 23:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x278795…
05-27 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9f7e53…
05-27 22:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x166985…
05-27 22:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5b0b61…
05-27 22:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x23f8c0…
05-27 22:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0eb62c…
05-27 22:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xe7de88…
05-27 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x079e4e…
05-27 21:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7cafe8…
05-27 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe1671b…
05-27 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf08698…
05-27 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd975f4…
05-27 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcd3080…
05-27 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf6bee5…
05-27 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x265c48…
05-27 20:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xeabc19…