Wrong-Fledgling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

136

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-30 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 91% -$13

Other

25% 71% -$27

Sports

21% 22% -$6

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$502	252	252	+0	No	$0	04-24 12:56
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$410	206	206	+0	No	$0	05-20 08:36
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$304	152	152	+0	No	$0	03-03 12:11
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$304	152	152	+0	No	$0	03-04 04:18
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$272	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:02
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$268	135	135	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:26
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	$0	03-27 12:02
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$244	123	123	+0	No	$0	05-07 11:57
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$230	115	115	-0	No	$0	05-11 07:49
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$230	116	116	+0	No	$0	05-07 12:22
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	$0	05-11 08:08
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	111	111	+0	No	$0	05-14 10:59
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	05-09 07:18
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$186	93	93	+0	No	$0	05-20 08:17
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	05-27 04:07
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$152	152	0	+152	No	+$0	03-03 12:17
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 90 114	1	$152	152	0	+152	No	+$1	03-02 12:53
bitcoin above 70k on february 28	1	$151	152	0	+152	No	+$0	02-28 07:45
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-04 04:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 5	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-05 12:01
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$149	149	0	+149	Yes	+$0	03-04 05:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 26	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	02-26 14:21
solana above 60 on february 24	1	$145	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	02-24 04:36
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on february 23	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	02-23 10:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 22	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	02-22 08:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 15	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	02-15 10:47
will countdown app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	02-13 08:38
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$145	145	0	+145	Yes	+$0	03-06 10:31
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$141	142	0	+142	No	+$0	03-07 10:06
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 200plus	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	02-27 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 01:18:14	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $105 in September?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcdebfe…
09-30 01:17:06	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x67574f…
09-30 01:16:38	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x988aa9…
09-30 01:06:14	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30b6d4…
08-14 08:37:52	will msft reach 547 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7754c9…
08-14 08:32:36	mlb mil lad 2026 08 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xf203b1…
07-09 11:23:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x2d2501…
06-30 08:55:08	will rklb reach 152 in june 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x802a23…
05-31 11:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9afcac…
05-31 11:34:50	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe9f8a2…
05-30 06:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa1ca4d…
05-30 05:56:52	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c0732…
05-29 08:28:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb1d40c…
05-29 08:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ac8c4…
05-28 06:38:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xabca5a…
05-28 06:32:51	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc62304…
05-28 06:26:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x469b07…
05-27 04:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5acba0…
05-27 04:07:00	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf75c8d…
05-27 03:45:25	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xa17414…
05-26 08:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe95e71…
05-25 11:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5f826a…
05-24 11:23:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x022df2…
05-24 11:20:46	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa5de5d…
05-23 12:03:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x7e1f7c…
05-22 12:05:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x66de56…
05-20 08:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xa16b83…
05-20 08:36:48	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xd7e8c7…
05-20 08:23:20	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill	Felix Gill	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x9bb39b…
05-20 08:18:49	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xf1a6d7…
05-20 08:17:04	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$93	0x26ed0e…
05-20 07:58:04	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc2b0f0…
05-19 11:49:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x46ed71…
05-19 11:47:43	Alba Berlin vs. SC RASTA Vechta	Alba Berlin	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xc66da5…
05-18 12:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe27902…
05-17 11:32:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	837	0¢	$3	0x8d7f4b…
05-17 11:30:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,609	0¢	$5	0x6a8c11…
05-17 11:24:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0xdc67a3…
05-17 08:40:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2,750	0¢	$6	0xb41559…
05-16 03:52:17	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa82beb…
05-16 03:26:21	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x056059…
05-16 03:02:26	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x6954b4…
05-14 11:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2073fa…
05-14 10:59:08	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x3b8d49…
05-14 10:41:36	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc121cb…
05-14 10:35:23	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x6879cf…
05-13 06:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa9a76c…
05-12 11:06:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x155b63…
05-11 08:14:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5391f9…
05-11 08:08:15	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x027e62…
05-11 08:06:32	Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lisa Pigato	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x24ef57…
05-11 07:52:51	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x2b3b54…
05-11 07:49:23	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x3bc1f7…
05-11 07:03:26	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x392459…
05-10 06:14:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf694b1…
05-09 07:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8ce9d4…
05-09 07:18:05	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8cc8d6…
05-09 07:01:48	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x28aaa0…
05-08 03:48:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xc84837…
05-07 12:31:41	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x411a78…
05-07 12:22:18	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x04bdfe…
05-07 12:00:27	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x73ec57…
05-07 11:57:58	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x53f08d…
05-07 11:33:21	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xd905eb…
05-06 07:14:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x44ac11…
05-05 14:05:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x46237c…
05-04 10:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4699b8…
05-03 05:42:30	Will Solana dip to $60 on May 3?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xcad61e…
05-02 04:52:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x6877b4…
05-01 11:13:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1d046b…
04-30 08:53:12	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1e9c6f…
04-29 05:34:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x2de8bc…
04-27 03:53:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8b73c5…
04-26 05:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x807304…
04-25 08:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x8ff51f…
04-24 12:57:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x647735…
04-24 12:56:44	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x3917f2…
04-24 12:28:30	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8c310e…
04-23 07:48:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x9e6c0a…
04-23 07:43:14	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x2eeb8f…
04-23 07:02:24	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xbfdff0…
04-22 10:08:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x730153…
04-21 03:55:00	solana above 100 on april 21	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xcf2650…
04-21 03:49:54	Rome: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x58bfa7…
04-19 06:20:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4b5e28…
04-19 06:17:28	Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4609c6…
04-17 02:12:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x39a559…
04-14 10:54:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xfccd0c…
04-14 10:47:29	atp marozsa tsitsip 2026 04 13	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe7f33…
04-13 02:44:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe61b82…
04-12 08:53:59	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x008c54…
04-12 07:23:53	mlb oak nym 2026 04 12	Athletics	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xe60fe6…
04-11 03:47:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xc575e8…
04-10 04:59:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x25b71e…
04-09 06:05:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf0fc8f…
04-08 04:44:33	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x9a4e11…
04-07 07:23:25	ethereum above 1900 on april 7	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xf49b5e…
04-06 02:21:15	ethereum above 1800 on april 6	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x5381a6…
04-03 04:55:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xe357ef…
04-02 05:57:23	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5ca0c0…