Quarterly-Mentor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

55% 97% $0

Crypto

36% 96% +$1

Sports

8% 0% $0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	23	$485	508	508	+0	Yes	-$1	01-23 12:00
bitcoin above 94k on january 23	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 12:10
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$183	92	92	+0	No	$0	01-23 10:40
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$114	101	13	+88	No	+$0	02-27 14:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-23 12:10
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	2	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	04-27 14:37
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-16 15:06
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 6	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-05 07:41
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 6	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-05 07:41
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 15:25
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-16 15:07
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-16 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 15:26
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-15 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-09 11:30
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-02 14:59
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-02 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 14:49
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-22 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-19 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 19?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-21 15:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 17:54
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-06 06:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 19?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-17 14:37
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-15 15:25
bitcoin above 56k on july 17 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-15 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 19?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:45:32	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63fbc4…
10-25 14:45:18	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedaccd…
10-25 14:45:17	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fb0af…
10-06 06:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa384ba…
10-06 06:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b1fa0…
10-06 06:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcca84b…
09-17 14:37:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfff4a7…
09-17 14:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x862c65…
09-17 14:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90365d…
08-29 05:56:36	Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xbfa980…
08-29 05:56:30	Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x175770…
08-19 12:28:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaae0a6…
08-19 12:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x01fd21…
08-19 12:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x588044…
08-02 15:00:53	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x433e6d…
08-02 14:59:54	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfb98f9…
08-02 14:59:47	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b59a4…
07-15 15:25:05	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x924951…
07-15 15:24:58	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd61f7a…
07-15 15:24:46	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c7f00…
07-15 15:24:41	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb698f9…
07-15 15:23:55	bitcoin above 56k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5580ec…
07-09 11:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7db95c…
07-09 11:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb9c1ca…
07-09 11:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4faf77…
07-09 11:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd0483…
07-09 11:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52e568…
07-09 11:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a860f…
07-09 11:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7f993…
07-09 11:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc230e9…
07-09 11:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb75ca…
07-09 11:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe84666…
06-18 14:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bc2a6…
06-18 14:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb84f0…
06-18 14:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb352e3…
06-18 14:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca16e9…
06-18 14:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8103…
06-18 14:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f91c0…
06-18 14:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0796fc…
06-08 14:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaf63e3…
06-08 14:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe96012…
06-08 14:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x297da4…
06-08 14:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1334b1…
06-08 14:10:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c04e1…
06-08 14:10:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6adea9…
05-30 15:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5131f…
05-30 15:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbcbc8f…
05-30 15:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1de944…
05-30 15:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfa9142…
05-22 01:44:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ff72f…
05-21 17:54:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecb895…
05-21 15:35:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01b71f…
05-21 15:35:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0bfc8c…
05-21 15:34:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66188f…
05-21 15:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x66170e…
05-13 14:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48df9e…
05-13 14:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a7a8b…
05-13 14:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf6714…
05-13 14:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xebe8c4…
05-13 14:48:27	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e5b8f…
05-13 14:48:18	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x89d2e7…
04-27 14:37:14	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa137fc…
04-27 14:37:08	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x579110…
04-27 14:37:00	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x60dcec…
04-16 15:07:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13cc15…
04-16 15:07:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee4da2…
04-16 15:06:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xfa87c0…
04-05 07:41:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x56b8e7…
04-05 07:41:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9b526b…
03-19 14:19:43	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x607ae0…
03-19 14:19:03	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7404ee…
03-19 14:18:29	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cdbbe…
03-19 14:18:13	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week 673	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x734225…
03-19 14:18:01	will age of attraction be the top us netflix show this week 184	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c64f2…
03-19 14:17:53	will mark normand none too pleased be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x953343…
03-08 18:55:55	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a6f4d…
03-08 16:05:17	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3542cb…
03-08 16:05:13	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ad977…
03-08 15:20:41	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe10938…
03-08 13:48:53	will the bride opening weekend box office be between 14m and 16m	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7840e8…
03-08 13:48:41	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd34546…
03-08 13:48:37	will the bride opening weekend box office be greater than 18m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bb9c3…
03-08 13:48:15	will scream 7 second weekend box office be between 28m and 31m	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x381563…
03-08 13:48:07	will scream 7 second weekend box office be greater than 31m	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8c8f2f…
03-08 13:46:11	highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f723b…
02-27 14:33:03	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe65154…
02-27 14:32:45	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5902b7…
02-14 02:53:21	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x864f82…
01-23 12:10:30	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6b318…
01-23 12:10:02	bitcoin above 94k on january 23	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfa4bee…
01-23 12:08:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe99569…
01-23 12:00:32	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x2aebf8…
01-23 11:59:56	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x09b5cb…
01-23 11:48:18	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x3844a6…
01-23 11:46:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xd0a01a…
01-23 11:45:04	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x36bf51…
01-23 11:44:48	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xc60e74…
01-23 11:44:48	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x90a7ae…
01-23 11:44:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7ea3cf…
01-23 11:40:28	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x333df7…