Unlucky-Pressure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$978

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-17 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

35% — —

Politics

31% 0% $-12

Crypto

23% 40% $-3

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$290	250	250	+0	open	—	03-01 07:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$220	17,549	16,120	+1,429	open	—	04-22 14:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$55	89	89	+0	open	—	02-06 20:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$38	1,863	50	+1,813	open	—	03-16 21:01
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	1,536	0	+1,536	open	—	04-22 13:40
highest temperature in chicago on february 1 34forhigher	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-01 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$19	16	16	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$13	13	10	+3	Up	+$3	05-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	9	$12	26	9	+17	Up	$-2	05-09 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	9	$12	107	58	+49	Up	$-1	05-09 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$11	29	0	+29	Down	+$18	05-13 21:22
highest temperature in chicago on february 1 24 25f	1	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	02-01 15:36
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	03-09 01:58
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	248	0	+248	open	—	02-09 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$10	521	0	+521	Up	$-10	05-13 21:34
btc updown 5m 1773269700	3	$9	361	0	+361	open	—	03-11 23:01
highest temperature in chicago on february 2 26 27f	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	02-03 09:03
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$8	3,257	0	+3,257	Yes	$-8	05-08 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$8	9	4	+5	Up	+$3	05-09 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$6	58	4	+54	Up	$-0	05-08 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$6	58	8	+50	Down	$-1	05-09 19:35
highest temperature in chicago on february 4 2026 26 27f	4	$6	7	4	+3	open	—	02-04 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$6	151	0	+151	Down	$-6	05-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$5	11	2	+9	Down	$-1	05-08 15:03
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-05 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Up	$-5	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:29
btc updown 5m 1773269400	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-11 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 07:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8e5d28…
05-17 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc869f5…
05-17 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68a63f…
05-13 21:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb86b8f…
05-13 21:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4f07b3…
05-13 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbba802…
05-13 21:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd8bb76…
05-13 21:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfb542e…
05-13 21:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x39d46d…
05-13 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x69ad8c…
05-13 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0322be…
05-13 21:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9a9111…
05-13 21:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9082ac…
05-13 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x862e4c…
05-13 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbec7c6…
05-13 21:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8628d1…
05-13 21:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x238575…
05-13 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x005e6c…
05-13 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2f6342…
05-13 20:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe4d29d…
05-09 19:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbdd4e0…
05-09 19:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfc95ed…
05-09 19:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x45d2d5…
05-09 19:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x124f42…
05-09 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x612de4…
05-09 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb1896f…
05-09 19:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc46272…
05-09 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xe318cc…
05-09 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xf00133…
05-09 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xac096f…
05-09 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8b8f03…
05-09 19:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdbfcfd…
05-09 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd9d911…
05-09 19:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd30b80…
05-09 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc0556b…
05-09 16:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x40c9f1…
05-09 16:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x925a74…
05-09 16:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa416bd…
05-09 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x5cad35…
05-09 16:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x65c71c…
05-09 16:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xf6e52f…
05-09 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaff7e0…
05-09 16:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99cd76…
05-09 16:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xec6091…
05-09 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe23fd8…
05-09 15:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa9f443…
05-09 15:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcad66b…
05-09 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcffecf…
05-09 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9752c9…
05-09 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x963f76…
05-09 15:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9e8411…
05-09 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x73983b…
05-09 15:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x953caa…
05-09 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x414706…
05-09 15:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x697127…
05-09 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x796853…
05-09 15:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4b6002…
05-09 15:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2c6720…
05-09 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x5e5ff6…
05-09 15:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdfa4b6…
05-09 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa4e266…
05-09 15:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x38fa52…
05-09 15:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc2330e…
05-09 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x87b19b…
05-09 15:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0c019c…
05-09 15:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x826313…
05-09 15:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6d98f4…
05-09 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfd99a0…
05-09 15:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe2edda…
05-09 15:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x87154d…
05-09 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x58065e…
05-09 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe3e7c1…
05-09 15:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8a6a0…
05-09 15:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8284a2…
05-09 14:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x91ddfd…
05-09 14:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac07e6…
05-09 14:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x27cd36…
05-09 14:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc15f2f…
05-09 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xacf342…
05-09 14:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc0752b…
05-09 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x80b30e…
05-09 14:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x688025…
05-09 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6b7d4b…
05-09 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4125a5…
05-09 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x020e08…
05-09 14:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcd52d3…
05-09 14:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x7026ba…
05-09 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x897a4d…
05-09 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd8d18b…
05-09 14:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x139989…
05-09 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe69fad…
05-09 14:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4af1f7…
05-09 14:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4660a3…
05-09 14:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9d4c6d…
05-09 14:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x514de6…
05-09 14:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9982f2…
05-09 14:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x2ddd8f…
05-09 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdfea2b…
05-09 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2c821a…
05-09 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0a3fe5…