Quarterly-Buckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

30 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.29K

$1.29K lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$100	270	+270	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-05 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	Up	+$6	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$50	77	+77	Up	+$27	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	05-05 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$40	45	+45	Down	+$5	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$40	42	+42	Up	+$2	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$36	37	+37	Down	+$1	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$30	31	+31	Up	+$1	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$30	33	+33	Up	+$3	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	Up	+$2	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$30	33	+33	Down	+$3	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	Down	+$2	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$30	31	+31	Up	+$1	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	Up	+$2	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	05-04 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 07:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x3c73d8…
05-05 07:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xbfc920…
05-05 05:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5587c3…
05-05 05:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x93af6a…
05-05 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x1b1a00…
05-05 02:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3d42ea…
05-05 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa8d784…
05-05 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x542bc8…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x352cd3…
05-05 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xfbe214…
05-05 00:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x51c632…
05-05 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xd981af…
05-05 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd5bcdc…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x610928…
05-04 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x883787…
05-04 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x36d41d…
05-04 23:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd56168…
05-04 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x6f4f97…
05-04 22:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x10a248…
05-04 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf1a03f…
05-04 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf9a77a…
05-04 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x87b63c…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x729aef…
05-04 21:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbe1c2e…
05-04 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8ed88c…
05-04 21:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdc80c7…
05-04 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9f570b…
05-04 20:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xcb93a8…
05-04 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1c1dfd…
05-04 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x788a80…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$2.86K	96	05-05 07:20
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	24	$2.43K	45	05-05 07:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$3.14K	45	05-05 07:16
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.05K	79	05-05 07:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	16	$1.01K	77	05-05 07:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$3.23K	47	05-05 07:01
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	15	$809	127	05-05 01:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$688	47	05-05 07:15