Heartfelt-Clipboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$30.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-02 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

75% 57% +$3,662

Other

24% 42% +$78

Tech

1% 50% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	07-02 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$2.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$1,094	05-31 22:17
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	6	$2.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$1,087	05-16 15:47
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-19 14:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.5K	900	1,500	-600	No	+$465	05-31 15:11
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	4	$1.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-19 14:41
Trump kiss by May 31?	7	$1.2K	900	2,100	-1,200	Yes	+$765	05-20 04:15
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	13	$1.1K	1,725	2,325	-600	Yes	+$464	04-21 11:40
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	6	$1.0K	272	1,022	-750	No	+$160	04-14 16:22
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	3	$917	700	700	+0	Yes	+$446	05-31 02:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$879	1,300	1,700	-400	No	-$259	05-29 14:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$815	585	1,142	-557	No	-$93	04-25 00:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$786	1,425	675	+750	No	+$656	04-21 23:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	11	$745	1,350	1,125	+225	No	+$149	04-18 02:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	16	$677	1,173	573	+600	No	+$318	04-24 23:00
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	3	$630	600	600	+0	open	—	05-22 08:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$589	400	700	-300	No	+$49	05-31 15:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	6	$585	1,125	675	+450	No	+$90	04-25 15:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$555	300	600	-300	No	+$51	05-31 15:07
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	7	$550	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	-$550	06-10 17:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$535	1,189	450	+739	No	-$143	04-25 15:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$483	400	733	-333	No	-$50	04-30 00:55
us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	4	$462	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	-$462	06-13 01:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$387	300	300	+0	No	+$153	05-21 18:21
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$383	225	750	-525	Yes	+$270	04-29 03:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	9	$377	932	975	-43	No	-$143	04-17 13:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	11	$354	1,137	0	+1,137	No	+$396	04-20 14:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	6	$344	500	900	-400	No	-$276	05-29 15:29
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	9	$344	500	500	+0	Yes	+$144	06-03 19:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	3	$337	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$337	05-25 22:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	14	$316	250	250	+0	No	+$116	05-15 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:07:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd68215…
06-14 21:16:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	379	21¢	$80	0x97cb80…
06-14 21:16:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xbf58dd…
06-14 21:16:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0x3b75e9…
06-13 01:05:25	us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x35c687…
06-13 01:05:07	us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	No	BUY	400	33¢	$132	0xb3f695…
06-10 17:50:49	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x6f1a68…
06-10 17:50:46	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x36c3de…
06-10 17:50:43	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x06ba6a…
06-10 17:50:30	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x78bfb3…
06-10 17:50:30	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x1dd765…
06-10 11:33:12	will trump praise allah again by june 30	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x461f9d…
06-10 11:32:58	will trump praise allah again by june 30	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xd07e91…
06-03 19:49:07	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	233	43¢	$100	0xcdf1f3…
06-03 19:48:36	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x6e2a74…
06-03 19:48:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xc76595…
06-03 19:41:34	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xa3a549…
06-03 19:41:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	203	55¢	$111	0xeb9885…
06-03 19:41:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd6fc7e…
06-03 19:41:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa9e50c…
06-03 19:41:33	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xa58457…
06-03 19:40:40	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa05dbf…
05-31 22:17:47	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	97¢	$1,461	0x53e588…
05-31 22:17:29	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x79c344…
05-31 22:15:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xcd09e3…
05-31 22:15:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xc2b1ed…
05-31 15:11:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	360	80¢	$286	0x95ef89…
05-31 15:10:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xba063f…
05-31 15:10:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	430	80¢	$342	0xdb2830…
05-31 15:09:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	700	67¢	$469	0xfefe50…
05-31 15:07:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	526	75¢	$394	0xa24299…
05-31 15:07:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x13f342…
05-31 15:04:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	630	92¢	$581	0x8b8696…
05-31 15:04:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x599ac4…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xbbaf0c…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xa106ef…
05-31 15:02:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x18f22b…
05-31 15:00:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xff20f6…
05-31 15:00:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x3a8368…
05-31 02:24:26	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	700	97¢	$682	0x70f407…
05-31 02:17:54	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0x0595d5…
05-29 15:29:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	723	26¢	$188	0x4d60b1…
05-29 15:29:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x4b278a…
05-29 15:29:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	102	26¢	$27	0x66c200…
05-29 14:57:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0xd5ad06…
05-29 14:56:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,700	30¢	$510	0xcc3e8d…
05-29 14:51:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x9cc851…
05-29 14:51:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x5e035c…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0xf0f534…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xa4162b…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0x5c2008…
05-28 16:59:21	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x55db41…
05-28 16:59:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	224	59¢	$132	0xa1b480…
05-28 16:57:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	245	37¢	$91	0xe68abb…
05-25 22:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xa13d7b…
05-25 22:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x793bb8…
05-25 22:55:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0xe5e6d1…
05-25 22:55:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	151	39¢	$59	0xd89ae2…
05-25 22:55:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	149	39¢	$58	0x86e16e…
05-25 22:55:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x8ba7a1…
05-25 22:55:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xff2685…
05-23 11:04:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0x624245…
05-23 11:03:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xbd02e7…
05-23 10:55:43	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	143	26¢	$37	0x65a85f…
05-22 08:50:08	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	600	69¢	$414	0x2b99e8…
05-22 08:30:15	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x86799e…
05-22 01:02:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x39a641…
05-21 18:21:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xceb66a…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0xb8e7fb…
05-21 15:34:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	293	37¢	$108	0x1c8b66…
05-21 15:24:05	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xba9ecb…
05-21 15:23:12	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0x3a4bc6…
05-20 04:15:34	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	210	25¢	$52	0x5d4770…
05-20 04:15:02	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	46	25¢	$12	0xbbf456…
05-20 04:14:25	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xb40b0a…
05-20 04:14:11	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	740	25¢	$185	0xc0f9e2…
05-20 01:49:00	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xe96cbf…
05-19 23:32:07	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	1,100	67¢	$737	0xcce716…
05-19 23:27:45	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x43a18b…
05-19 17:47:59	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	144	48¢	$69	0x4bb89a…
05-19 17:46:52	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x746bca…
05-19 17:43:56	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	155	40¢	$62	0xd47e30…
05-19 14:41:47	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	SELL	1,200	90¢	$1,084	0x87dc34…
05-19 14:37:44	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	797	66¢	$526	0x43b654…
05-19 14:36:51	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x724c96…
05-19 14:36:46	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	758	66¢	$500	0xf16c75…
05-19 14:33:14	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xb23478…
05-19 14:21:13	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xbdec92…
05-19 14:21:06	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x9957cf…
05-19 14:21:06	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0x2a7a65…
05-17 01:42:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x9e4504…
05-16 22:45:26	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x8d8924…
05-16 16:55:26	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0xbd7b83…
05-16 15:47:21	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	1,238	91¢	$1,128	0x110cd8…
05-16 15:47:11	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	462	91¢	$421	0x281c62…
05-16 15:41:21	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xb7b0c5…
05-16 15:41:21	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x7036d0…
05-16 00:47:06	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x811c57…
05-16 00:46:20	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x12bee6…
05-16 00:46:19	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	635	29¢	$184	0x44d2af…