Made-Up-Fruit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$34.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-14 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

31% 33% $-88

Politics

14% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$3.2K	1,722	1,560	+162	open	—	02-20 19:12
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	4	$1.9K	953	953	+0	open	—	01-10 21:35
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$1.8K	928	928	+0	open	—	03-02 21:05
will bnb dip to 700 in january	2	$1.1K	549	549	+0	open	—	01-08 19:55
ethereum above 2800 on january 11	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	01-11 14:26
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	01-13 07:33
will lighter reach 4pt50 in january	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	01-15 22:19
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	6	$906	539	539	+0	open	—	01-23 21:20
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	2	$905	479	479	+0	open	—	01-06 14:24
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$798	407	407	+0	open	—	01-31 11:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$776	390	390	+0	open	—	01-05 09:55
Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$675	368	368	+0	open	—	02-23 19:21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	7	$623	377	377	+0	open	—	06-23 00:24
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$589	443	443	+0	open	—	07-01 15:43
xrp above 1pt9 on january 13	1	$510	511	0	+511	open	—	01-13 07:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$504	260	260	+0	open	—	04-28 14:46
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$500	507	0	+507	open	—	01-15 22:19
trump out as president by march 31	2	$483	250	250	+0	open	—	01-29 19:14
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24 total games 2pt5	5	$483	500	496	+4	open	—	04-24 07:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$452	500	900	-400	open	—	05-01 12:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$445	253	253	+0	open	—	04-21 20:37
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$444	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 12:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$422	219	219	+0	open	—	04-21 20:27
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	26	$410	485	651	-166	open	—	03-31 13:33
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$403	208	208	+0	open	—	01-27 16:33
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$402	204	204	+0	open	—	01-24 20:35
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	02-15 17:52
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$392	197	197	+0	open	—	01-20 17:30
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	5	$355	656	440	+216	open	—	06-20 14:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$337	306	306	+0	open	—	03-18 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 15:31:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	155	83¢	$129	0x753287…
07-14 15:31:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x3387a8…
07-07 16:03:20	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x5f912d…
07-06 20:55:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xafafc9…
07-06 16:01:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x389b96…
07-06 12:46:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xbfab33…
07-06 12:46:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1678a5…
07-06 12:14:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x7d5046…
07-06 12:13:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe7f855…
07-05 02:20:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xb5696d…
07-04 18:14:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	82¢	$22	0xcb13e7…
07-04 18:10:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xdde632…
07-04 17:29:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x872b19…
07-04 17:20:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x11a525…
07-04 16:16:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6071f8…
07-04 16:16:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc19375…
07-04 16:16:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8942ce…
07-04 16:16:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x36e678…
07-04 16:16:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x226f38…
07-04 16:16:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x034379…
07-04 14:47:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0x71ccf2…
07-04 14:42:02	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x6e1a4e…
07-04 14:41:40	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0xe6d8c5…
07-04 14:41:37	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcb20c9…
07-04 14:41:35	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbcaa48…
07-04 14:35:50	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7869be…
07-04 14:35:13	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 4	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xc5a98f…
07-03 16:46:07	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xb807df…
07-03 07:47:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	135	83¢	$112	0xde2fe4…
07-02 20:48:17	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644152	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x9fb6ce…
07-02 20:47:25	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644153	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x06be26…
07-02 20:17:20	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	259	11¢	$30	0x216367…
07-02 16:27:23	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x53f9ff…
07-02 16:27:07	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	76	16¢	$12	0xe51d63…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa39333…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x591a3c…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x3345b0…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x32fd6e…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x152b4a…
07-02 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x019201…
07-02 16:05:34	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x917013…
07-01 15:43:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x7d67c4…
06-30 20:32:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	85	36¢	$31	0xfa2680…
06-30 20:29:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x880f0c…
06-30 20:04:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x18d5cf…
06-28 03:50:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x445653…
06-27 21:55:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	375	70¢	$262	0xd162d0…
06-25 23:58:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x651fa7…
06-25 23:53:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0x58f5f1…
06-25 12:47:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x9b47b6…
06-25 12:46:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x89927e…
06-23 00:24:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	377	85¢	$320	0x836dca…
06-20 19:30:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x97ec18…
06-20 19:11:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd39fec…
06-20 14:14:16	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	440	24¢	$106	0x1e60ce…
06-20 13:46:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	67	81¢	$54	0xf8d2ba…
06-20 13:46:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xf58a38…
06-20 13:46:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0xc3a71d…
06-20 13:46:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x25098a…
06-20 12:40:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x51bfc7…
06-20 11:20:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb1d111…
06-19 03:16:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	260	24¢	$62	0xd39703…
06-18 18:09:16	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	138	26¢	$36	0xa3cc96…
06-18 07:43:56	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x18df79…
06-17 01:00:17	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	118	30¢	$35	0x42eaef…
06-16 17:59:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xed9a59…
06-16 17:59:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa2006a…
06-16 17:54:25	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xca63d6…
06-16 17:53:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfd8ea0…
06-16 17:53:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x720416…
06-16 17:53:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x4544f9…
06-16 17:53:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x44ae1a…
06-16 17:53:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xca9f21…
06-16 17:53:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x8d97c0…
06-16 17:53:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xfe98dd…
06-16 17:53:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xfd8ab8…
06-16 17:53:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xcdea96…
06-16 17:53:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x311fa2…
06-16 17:38:17	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x22b318…
06-15 17:15:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4f9b39…
06-10 22:49:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x6cf61d…
06-09 20:46:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x5eb8c8…
05-06 09:13:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	1,983	4¢	$74	0x91704d…
05-06 08:26:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x6ee4d2…
05-06 08:15:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	579	12¢	$71	0xb7ca9d…
05-06 08:15:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x18eba8…
05-06 08:11:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x1f2faa…
05-06 08:11:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x2fd99e…
05-03 08:40:40	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x79f534…
05-01 15:49:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x04bff3…
05-01 12:04:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	900	33¢	$297	0xb96df2…
05-01 12:02:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0x05cb74…
04-29 13:19:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x3489e1…
04-29 13:18:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x151f21…
04-29 13:16:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x1f9ba8…
04-29 13:15:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa64d31…
04-29 13:15:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa81688…
04-28 14:46:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$258	0x18fa95…
04-26 22:07:04	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x118621…
04-26 22:07:00	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x3175b9…