Dark-Spectacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved

Trades

607

lifetime

Volume

$71.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-22 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-1

Politics

37% 33% $-184

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+140	$80	1¢	$1	$-79	06-16 21:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	18	$3.9K	2,806	2,733	+74	open	—	06-24 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	15	$3.9K	2,793	2,790	+3	open	—	04-30 05:14
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	7	$2.4K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	06-30 21:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	8	$2.3K	1,532	1,532	+0	open	—	05-01 22:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$2.0K	1,842	1,842	+0	open	—	05-31 20:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.9K	1,778	1,778	+0	open	—	02-28 07:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$1.9K	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	04-16 04:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	8	$1.9K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	05-01 22:31
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	04-08 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	6	$1.4K	932	922	+10	open	—	04-26 22:04
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	2	$1.3K	679	679	+0	open	—	03-17 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	19	$1.3K	1,524	760	+764	open	—	04-28 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$1.3K	760	1,496	-735	open	—	06-29 21:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$1.2K	735	735	+0	open	—	03-30 19:13
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	8	$1.2K	1,287	0	+1,287	open	—	07-15 17:25
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	4	$1.1K	1,319	0	+1,319	open	—	07-20 09:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$1.1K	651	651	+0	open	—	04-22 04:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$1.1K	1,556	602	+953	open	—	03-06 02:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$1.0K	2,054	1,350	+704	open	—	04-25 12:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$1.0K	840	220	+621	open	—	04-30 08:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$976	423	679	-256	open	—	06-16 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$961	515	515	+0	open	—	05-26 04:51
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$926	511	510	+0	open	—	03-25 08:49
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	7	$889	879	324	+556	open	—	07-14 04:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	8	$880	505	505	+0	open	—	05-30 21:53
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$874	526	526	+0	open	—	07-02 21:51
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	6	$864	1,109	286	+823	open	—	04-06 19:09
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$799	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	03-17 06:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	6	$791	680	416	+264	open	—	04-29 07:00
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	5	$746	803	211	+592	open	—	04-06 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 08:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	252	99¢	$249	0x8dd2e1…
07-20 09:46:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	724	83¢	$600	0x8d8cdc…
07-20 09:45:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0x8bb0cd…
07-20 09:45:34	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	394	99¢	$389	0x1a2dfd…
07-15 17:25:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0xf31697…
07-15 17:25:14	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	169	89¢	$150	0x970d35…
07-14 04:22:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x99579f…
07-14 04:21:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	180	48¢	$86	0x6a7caa…
07-13 18:09:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x6a2aec…
07-13 18:09:02	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	86¢	$70	0x796aec…
07-13 18:08:53	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	274	91¢	$250	0xaca970…
07-13 18:01:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	308	23¢	$69	0xa5f548…
07-12 18:42:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0x515456…
07-12 18:42:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1a4350…
07-12 16:34:50	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	No	SELL	183	0¢	$1	0xc72417…
07-12 16:34:38	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xf83252…
07-12 16:34:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xc0f1a0…
07-12 16:34:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x27e311…
07-12 07:25:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x10b13a…
07-12 07:25:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	134	89¢	$120	0xe8eb43…
07-09 17:51:20	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	185	92¢	$170	0x065d96…
07-09 17:51:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0x203ab2…
07-09 17:51:02	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xe71899…
07-09 17:50:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x9a49fc…
07-08 16:48:40	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	344	93¢	$320	0xb0a9a6…
07-08 16:48:26	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0xb7b713…
07-08 16:48:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	144	72¢	$103	0x6abc45…
07-08 16:47:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	126	44¢	$56	0x8ca428…
07-07 20:14:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xed2c12…
07-07 10:25:44	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x8845ac…
07-07 10:25:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0x55b7b8…
07-07 10:25:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x7b6061…
07-07 10:24:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xabdcd2…
07-07 10:21:40	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xfdde22…
07-07 10:21:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc3f010…
07-07 10:20:37	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0xf9df48…
07-07 10:20:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xfbbabd…
07-02 21:51:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	526	99¢	$519	0x557dd3…
07-02 17:04:59	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xf3b55f…
07-02 17:04:17	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x81da29…
07-02 06:13:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	220	57¢	$125	0x3eb5b5…
07-01 17:16:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xbee07f…
07-01 17:15:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	290	7¢	$21	0xbd8000…
07-01 17:12:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x21cb68…
06-30 21:24:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xddb0a2…
06-30 21:23:25	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	1,340	100¢	$1,338	0xdcb04f…
06-30 05:50:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x61d077…
06-29 21:12:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	602	99¢	$598	0x8a59bf…
06-28 21:39:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x97d30f…
06-28 21:39:26	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x4da207…
06-28 21:39:22	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x392950…
06-28 21:39:19	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	155	0¢	$0	0x866be9…
06-28 21:39:16	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	325	4¢	$13	0x660936…
06-28 17:51:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	106	80¢	$85	0x7097a5…
06-27 07:02:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb41f48…
06-27 07:00:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	83	78¢	$65	0xa051b8…
06-27 06:59:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x91f924…
06-27 06:58:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	99	81¢	$80	0x5397ce…
06-26 21:36:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	195	99¢	$193	0x941850…
06-26 06:35:02	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x85ce64…
06-26 06:10:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x726ea4…
06-25 19:48:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	195	93¢	$181	0x0d43f2…
06-25 16:53:41	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	126	12¢	$15	0xfd3d4b…
06-25 16:51:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4345ee…
06-25 08:56:41	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xe15649…
06-24 18:44:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x466e54…
06-24 18:23:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x298881…
06-24 14:03:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	196	76¢	$150	0x6567f0…
06-24 14:02:19	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0x827c86…
06-24 14:02:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x721191…
06-24 14:01:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x20fb87…
06-24 14:00:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x9b4991…
06-24 13:59:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc30bbb…
06-24 13:59:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x8ff9c3…
06-24 13:39:38	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	262	76¢	$200	0x5046b1…
06-24 13:37:49	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	1,559	100¢	$1,558	0xa79024…
06-24 12:20:58	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0x14222f…
06-24 12:20:38	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x1aa2c4…
06-24 12:16:20	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xa1deae…
06-24 12:16:08	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x9157f6…
06-24 12:15:40	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0xacd43d…
06-24 11:59:11	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xb38fc4…
06-24 11:58:55	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x21f48a…
06-24 11:58:41	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	923	21¢	$194	0xe87815…
06-24 06:39:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0xa615d7…
06-23 16:05:02	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x802e04…
06-23 12:01:14	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	366	55¢	$200	0xfd66d6…
06-23 12:01:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	221	90¢	$200	0x8437a3…
06-22 21:59:28	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	251	58¢	$144	0x8ea311…
06-20 22:06:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x9149b4…
06-20 16:30:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x8172bb…
06-20 16:30:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xa53300…
06-20 16:28:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0x8b05e7…
06-20 16:27:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	331	98¢	$324	0x598866…
06-19 08:16:47	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x55a0ec…
06-19 08:16:34	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4b0802…
06-18 20:41:16	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x51aca3…
06-18 10:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xa223b9…
06-18 04:47:38	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x8b62be…
06-18 04:47:28	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x797092…