Tender-Dew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

1,651

Trades

6,786

lifetime

Volume

$129.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-15 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

100% 84% +$5,582

Politics

0% 60% +$1

Sports

0% 48% +$24

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 30% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	04-30 07:08
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-20	-$1	5¢	$-1	$0	05-15 15:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-5	-$1	10¢	$-1	+$1	05-15 15:33
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-20	$0	2¢	$-0	$0	05-15 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 19c	36	$1.7K	968	1,012	-44	No	+$268	04-01 06:07
highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 22c	34	$1.5K	795	793	+2	No	+$54	04-03 06:08
highest temperature in chengdu on april 4 2026 27c	68	$1.5K	854	849	+5	No	-$6	04-04 07:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 19c	30	$1.4K	869	858	+11	No	+$316	04-05 05:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 7 2026 22c	20	$1.3K	686	705	-18	No	+$49	04-07 07:07
highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 26c	74	$1.2K	857	1,075	-218	No	+$27	04-12 08:05
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 29c	36	$1.2K	907	477	+429	No	+$138	04-09 07:09
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 22c	22	$1.0K	388	864	-476	No	-$1	03-29 06:37
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 21c	9	$989	501	501	+0	No	+$12	04-02 05:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 25c	34	$955	824	282	+542	No	+$60	04-06 04:30
highest temperature in chengdu on april 4 2026 28c	14	$922	522	521	+2	No	+$120	04-04 08:06
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 21c	20	$922	560	480	+80	No	+$52	03-29 05:06
highest temperature in chongqing on april 2 2026 18c	18	$881	452	471	-19	No	+$29	04-02 08:11
highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 17c	10	$823	450	450	+0	No	+$76	03-30 06:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 18c	5	$790	399	398	+0	No	+$6	04-05 03:36
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	20	$744	418	415	+3	No	+$88	04-09 06:06
highest temperature in chengdu on march 28 2026 24corhigher	15	$664	361	361	+0	Yes	+$57	03-28 06:05
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 24c	10	$631	330	329	+1	No	+$27	04-06 03:39
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 26c	14	$602	326	324	+2	No	+$47	04-10 05:07
highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 26c	15	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$3	03-30 05:29
highest temperature in lucknow on march 9 2026 41c	14	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$2	03-09 12:06
highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 21c	3	$595	300	300	+0	No	+$4	04-01 05:10
highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 48forhigher	18	$592	300	300	+0	Yes	+$4	04-02 15:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 12c	17	$578	512	110	+402	No	+$42	04-08 16:05
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 14c	18	$566	290	290	+0	No	+$8	03-31 09:25
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 27c	30	$554	412	410	+2	Yes	-$157	04-10 08:03
highest temperature in chengdu on march 29 2026 16c	10	$551	558	0	+558	No	+$7	03-28 16:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 17c	10	$534	284	283	+1	No	+$31	04-08 03:36
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 15c	9	$517	350	198	+152	No	+$9	03-31 09:55
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 21c	11	$517	268	267	+1	No	+$18	04-07 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 22:50:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xecad1a…
05-15 15:40:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x735f81…
05-15 15:33:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x3f6406…
05-15 15:33:33	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x63c0d6…
05-15 15:33:24	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8d148a…
05-15 15:33:13	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xee4fcf…
05-15 15:33:01	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf7a6ef…
05-12 13:29:37	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xfc3b67…
05-09 15:09:35	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0a72e2…
05-09 15:09:09	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xf4f6c4…
05-06 20:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe37c79…
05-06 19:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x21e7fd…
05-06 10:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xa24db2…
05-06 08:12:32	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xdfc05a…
05-06 07:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x919100…
05-06 04:32:38	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc08f5f…
05-06 04:32:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb5797…
05-01 15:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 1?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6468a8…
05-01 14:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 1?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xc2061b…
05-01 13:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xa8e25e…
05-01 12:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf68ea3…
05-01 12:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x1e9e16…
05-01 11:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5c377b…
05-01 10:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 1?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb731e0…
05-01 10:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb08509…
05-01 10:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 2?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0xd7cd8d…
05-01 10:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 2?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$87	0xca7198…
05-01 10:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe34d6d…
05-01 10:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xe355c4…
05-01 09:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x99413e…
05-01 09:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc37752…
05-01 08:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd6f62…
05-01 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x93809d…
05-01 08:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9aa781…
05-01 08:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x3ae670…
05-01 07:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 1?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd21ab6…
05-01 07:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x08a1cd…
05-01 07:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x92d676…
05-01 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x730b46…
05-01 06:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3f7de8…
05-01 06:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x17c45c…
05-01 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x040f67…
05-01 06:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa245ab…
05-01 06:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8073dd…
05-01 06:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf086ca…
05-01 06:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xbf604c…
05-01 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9637f4…
05-01 05:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x5fe80f…
05-01 05:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xa9eb20…
05-01 05:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xfc1d5e…
05-01 05:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x8bdc06…
05-01 05:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x298972…
05-01 05:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x67d925…
05-01 05:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x8c61f3…
05-01 05:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5933d7…
05-01 05:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xb734e8…
05-01 05:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x663bc5…
05-01 05:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x41a7cb…
05-01 05:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x26694e…
05-01 05:08:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 1?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xde32f2…
05-01 05:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbbf9ba…
05-01 05:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x5d4848…
05-01 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x2aac98…
05-01 05:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 1?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x77cadd…
05-01 03:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a951e…
05-01 03:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x181004…
05-01 03:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe0df37…
05-01 03:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4a09a1…
05-01 02:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x72db56…
05-01 02:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x81cdb2…
04-30 15:51:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 30?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xbb81eb…
04-30 15:45:52	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xdd1340…
04-30 15:45:40	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x83d450…
04-30 12:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0x1476ac…
04-30 11:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1797f0…
04-30 10:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbedf7c…
04-30 09:34:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x978b4b…
04-30 09:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x61ff65…
04-30 09:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x7b6a8d…
04-30 09:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x299c97…
04-30 09:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf583c4…
04-30 09:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$10	0x19027f…
04-30 09:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb279f9…
04-30 08:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xece222…
04-30 08:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x69a204…
04-30 08:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xfdf202…
04-30 08:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xc2c760…
04-30 08:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x62b475…
04-30 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc9df40…
04-30 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd8b041…
04-30 07:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x395092…
04-30 07:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe09a2b…
04-30 07:08:18	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x60a750…
04-30 07:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd43fe8…
04-30 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1883b7…
04-30 07:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3d00be…
04-30 06:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4f6ce7…
04-30 06:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x72b5e8…
04-30 06:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x72a60c…
04-30 06:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1596d9…