Realized P&L (7d)
+$12.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
48.2%
Resolved (7d)
1,510
Trades (7d)
26,873
115,844 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$254.6K
$840.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$319
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-31 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 50% +$23,760
Other
2% 50% -$802
Sports
1% 48% -$446
Politics
0% 59% +$29
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 5239 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 98¢ $25 +$12 10-22 16:28
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No — +25 $23 89¢ $22 $0 10-31 04:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +35 $22 57¢ $20 -$2 10-28 00:57
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $24 66¢ $20 -$4 10-26 23:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-27 11:48
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +25 $20 66¢ $17 -$3 10-26 16:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +24 $16 64¢ $16 +$0 10-31 02:34
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $9 100¢ $15 +$6 10-24 18:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +25 $13 58¢ $15 +$2 10-22 20:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$1 10-29 17:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +25 $12 48¢ $12 +$0 10-31 02:28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +20 $10 57¢ $12 +$2 10-22 20:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +40 $10 26¢ $10 +$1 10-30 01:45
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 10-22 18:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +35 $10 29¢ $10 -$1 10-29 19:10
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$4 10-27 23:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 10-21 17:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $5 30¢ $6 +$1 10-20 19:04
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 52¢ $5 $0 10-30 13:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $7 34¢ $5 -$2 10-30 03:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-25 16:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-24 17:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $1 99¢ $5 +$4 10-24 21:11
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 10-24 18:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 10-22 19:31
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-22 19:22
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-27 16:03
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 10-22 15:44