Flowery-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,066

lifetime

Volume

$224.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-11 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% 33% $-7

Other

18% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	68	$55.0K	37,245	37,680	-435	open	—	03-01 03:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	283	$29.6K	17,416	19,257	-1,841	open	—	04-08 00:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$14.9K	20,808	15,508	+5,300	open	—	03-01 12:33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	21	$14.5K	10,239	10,000	+239	open	—	02-28 23:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	191	$11.5K	22,548	1,700	+20,848	open	—	08-09 10:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	79	$7.3K	13,057	2,947	+10,110	open	—	04-14 05:59
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	262	$7.0K	19,412	5,153	+14,259	open	—	08-11 10:49
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	82	$6.7K	9,299	10	+9,289	open	—	07-21 13:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	92	$5.7K	9,139	8,025	+1,114	open	—	03-18 12:38
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	94	$4.9K	8,197	0	+8,197	open	—	07-23 08:35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	15	$4.3K	2,824	3,271	-447	open	—	02-28 23:50
nothing ever happens khamenei	29	$3.8K	6,976	1,200	+5,776	open	—	02-28 19:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	50	$3.5K	10,500	700	+9,800	open	—	04-12 23:32
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	73	$3.0K	2,931	2,817	+114	open	—	03-13 23:13
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.5K	3,753	0	+3,753	open	—	02-27 18:53
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	71	$2.5K	4,717	0	+4,717	open	—	07-13 00:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	26	$2.1K	5,509	0	+5,509	open	—	08-07 10:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$2.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	67	$2.1K	4,744	0	+4,744	open	—	07-26 22:00
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	45	$1.8K	6,474	6,474	+0	open	—	07-14 12:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	13	$1.8K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	03-02 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	17	$1.8K	2,900	1,246	+1,654	open	—	04-07 23:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	21	$1.8K	2,463	780	+1,683	open	—	03-05 04:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.5K	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	02-27 05:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	18	$1.4K	2,369	0	+2,369	open	—	02-27 16:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	67	$1.3K	54,749	0	+54,749	open	—	05-12 21:06
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	67	$1.2K	5,112	0	+5,112	open	—	08-01 23:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	17	$1.0K	800	645	+155	open	—	04-12 23:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	26	$972	1,860	0	+1,860	open	—	08-11 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:37:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x856b1f…
08-11 10:53:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x0953aa…
08-11 10:52:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xd245dd…
08-11 10:49:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8e3581…
08-11 10:49:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x83b7ee…
08-11 10:49:09	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3b208e…
08-11 10:49:04	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb0dfcb…
08-11 10:47:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0xd1a890…
08-11 10:47:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc6172d…
08-11 10:47:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbb8567…
08-11 10:47:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x79f57c…
08-11 09:44:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x1a8536…
08-11 06:46:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0xb29f8d…
08-11 05:40:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x17cea6…
08-11 03:39:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xbd56c9…
08-11 03:37:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x20c2df…
08-11 03:37:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfd2a52…
08-11 03:36:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1eff39…
08-11 02:34:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xaf5acc…
08-11 02:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x60152b…
08-10 11:50:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x8a8379…
08-10 10:57:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa0bdec…
08-10 02:07:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xa52659…
08-09 16:59:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x01a056…
08-09 16:36:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf91d74…
08-09 10:09:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8ae1db…
08-09 10:04:33	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x75da37…
08-09 10:04:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xa22ee9…
08-07 10:50:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa4ead5…
08-07 10:50:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x945dbd…
08-07 03:18:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xc8b7b7…
08-07 01:32:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xcd9524…
08-07 01:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x6922b5…
08-06 12:39:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xb959bc…
08-05 11:20:30	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	648	11¢	$73	0xc4a875…
08-05 11:19:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xc62079…
08-05 11:19:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xcb5e6f…
08-04 11:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf3f897…
08-04 11:08:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x09c61f…
08-04 11:07:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xb738c4…
08-04 04:26:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xba27c9…
08-04 04:25:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe58893…
08-04 04:23:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc60503…
08-04 04:22:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xf39a7e…
08-04 04:17:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xb5763d…
08-04 04:16:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x870dba…
08-04 04:16:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x3a2317…
08-04 04:16:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc32b8a…
08-04 04:10:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x3b42e7…
08-04 04:07:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x4f65bb…
08-04 04:07:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x288a12…
08-04 04:06:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x8bcbe5…
08-04 04:06:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	48¢	$288	0x3fca36…
08-04 04:04:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x61268a…
08-04 03:57:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2a3387…
08-04 03:57:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xc82932…
08-04 03:53:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf1cee1…
08-04 03:52:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x6fd318…
08-04 03:52:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x661930…
08-04 03:50:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf4ee99…
08-04 03:46:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xd0277c…
08-04 03:45:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x86067b…
08-04 03:44:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xf5e778…
08-04 03:23:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2b8d8f…
08-04 03:23:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x91c669…
08-04 03:22:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xae1c6a…
08-04 03:21:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6c1b22…
08-04 03:21:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf84bed…
08-04 03:20:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x6afa51…
08-04 03:19:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa0a280…
08-04 01:34:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	184	19¢	$35	0x913f23…
08-03 22:32:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x42d57e…
08-03 22:03:53	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x1644b5…
08-03 22:01:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x13e0ca…
08-03 22:01:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x584185…
08-03 22:01:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xa3bced…
08-03 22:01:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x2547b9…
08-03 22:01:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa46cd2…
08-03 22:01:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xedfbce…
08-03 22:01:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x426134…
08-03 22:01:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x769529…
08-03 22:01:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe81968…
08-03 22:00:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xb4ec3d…
08-03 22:00:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xff3b21…
08-03 22:00:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x5dd765…
08-03 22:00:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3891e1…
08-03 22:00:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xeb9e41…
08-03 22:00:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x9af170…
08-03 22:00:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xc6c4fe…
08-03 22:00:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4efc76…
08-03 22:00:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3004fc…
08-03 22:00:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0e5f3a…
08-03 22:00:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x522003…
08-03 22:00:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb5b194…
08-03 21:59:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0xc0014d…
08-03 21:28:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6c3748…
08-03 19:28:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	132	20¢	$26	0xda3b20…
08-03 19:28:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	68	20¢	$14	0x76fbdc…
08-03 19:26:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x6b3404…
08-03 19:26:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xbcbcff…