Flowery-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$328

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,978

lifetime

Volume

$179.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$119

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-30 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% 33% $-7

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+363	$62	12¢	$45	$-17	06-26 03:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+329	$45	12¢	$41	$-4	06-27 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+100	$65	30¢	$30	$-34	06-25 12:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+1,998	$275	0¢	$2	$-273	06-28 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	68	$55.0K	37,245	37,680	-435	open	—	03-01 03:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	283	$29.6K	17,416	19,257	-1,841	open	—	04-08 00:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$14.9K	20,808	15,508	+5,300	open	—	03-01 12:33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	21	$14.5K	10,239	10,000	+239	open	—	02-28 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	79	$7.3K	13,057	2,947	+10,110	open	—	04-14 05:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	92	$5.7K	9,139	8,025	+1,114	open	—	03-18 12:38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	15	$4.3K	2,824	3,271	-447	open	—	02-28 23:50
nothing ever happens khamenei	29	$3.8K	6,976	1,200	+5,776	open	—	02-28 19:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	50	$3.5K	10,500	700	+9,800	open	—	04-12 23:32
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	73	$3.0K	2,931	2,817	+114	open	—	03-13 23:13
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.5K	3,753	0	+3,753	open	—	02-27 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$2.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	13	$1.8K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	03-02 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	17	$1.8K	2,900	1,246	+1,654	open	—	04-07 23:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	21	$1.8K	2,463	780	+1,683	open	—	03-05 04:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.5K	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	02-27 05:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	18	$1.4K	2,369	0	+2,369	open	—	02-27 16:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	67	$1.3K	54,749	0	+54,749	open	—	05-12 21:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	17	$1.0K	800	645	+155	open	—	04-12 23:15
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	30	$793	5,198	0	+5,198	open	—	06-30 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	11	$793	1,091	357	+734	open	—	04-29 23:46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	15	$750	937	727	+210	open	—	05-02 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$705	1,258	498	+759	open	—	03-05 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	23	$693	2,200	170	+2,030	open	—	04-12 14:30
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	31	$688	1,440	0	+1,440	open	—	06-16 07:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$571	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	04-08 12:47
will bitcoin dip to 67000 on march 6	19	$557	903	100	+803	open	—	03-06 19:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	17	$544	1,168	177	+991	open	—	03-11 22:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$510	912	912	+0	open	—	05-24 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:18:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x0c131a…
06-30 19:50:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xc483fc…
06-30 17:19:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0x197688…
06-30 16:27:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x61b576…
06-30 16:08:17	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x37fa02…
06-30 14:22:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2dfc84…
06-30 14:18:56	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xd42d30…
06-30 14:18:43	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x8d6234…
06-30 14:13:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	58	27¢	$16	0x1ccd60…
06-30 14:12:19	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xe803c6…
06-30 14:11:59	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	350	26¢	$91	0x9888cb…
06-28 18:07:28	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x86fb8f…
06-28 14:27:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb910c1…
06-28 14:27:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$21	0x3345d8…
06-28 14:23:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	288	15¢	$43	0x0a78a2…
06-28 14:23:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	267	9¢	$24	0x94d079…
06-28 14:22:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xce1406…
06-28 14:19:50	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x49329a…
06-28 14:19:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x974f60…
06-28 10:32:16	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xf5a408…
06-28 10:07:01	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	122	5¢	$5	0x82f8d6…
06-28 09:37:22	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x997366…
06-28 06:47:43	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8f7cd0…
06-28 04:38:02	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf791a2…
06-28 03:37:56	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xfa0856…
06-28 03:36:19	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x63eef1…
06-28 03:36:08	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	212	4¢	$9	0xef0a2f…
06-28 03:35:58	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0d348a…
06-28 02:08:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x7bad9d…
06-28 01:42:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	98	19¢	$19	0xd0721a…
06-28 01:31:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5e7eba…
06-28 01:31:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	302	19¢	$57	0xe1c2c5…
06-28 01:31:17	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x25e5d4…
06-27 20:46:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	288	43¢	$124	0xd0fa8a…
06-27 20:04:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe53630…
06-27 20:04:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x37ba51…
06-27 20:04:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x384d65…
06-27 20:04:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x300322…
06-27 15:57:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xb1204b…
06-27 15:10:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x6a9def…
06-27 14:52:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3e9f28…
06-27 14:43:47	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x28c666…
06-27 14:43:38	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x812aea…
06-27 14:43:28	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	13¢	$11	0xc241ab…
06-27 14:43:16	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x20ebde…
06-27 14:42:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$4	0x91628a…
06-27 14:42:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	71	43¢	$30	0x1069c2…
06-27 14:41:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9b7f0b…
06-27 14:40:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe7a562…
06-27 14:40:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xcba7f5…
06-27 14:40:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xb01a8c…
06-27 14:40:47	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xe1d663…
06-27 14:40:47	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x8463c3…
06-27 14:40:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x389273…
06-27 14:40:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x5d9a84…
06-27 14:40:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x40d7bc…
06-27 14:40:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x0feb10…
06-27 14:40:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x6a0091…
06-27 14:40:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xd06f06…
06-27 14:40:17	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x058b77…
06-27 14:40:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x6453a7…
06-27 14:40:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x484bb7…
06-27 14:39:05	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x3a397c…
06-26 03:23:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xcc947b…
06-26 03:23:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x322ad1…
06-25 12:44:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdfb678…
06-25 12:42:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x00cf57…
06-25 12:39:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x25d7c3…
06-24 15:27:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x70f4d8…
06-24 15:27:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xee477b…
06-17 14:47:53	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x4c7452…
06-17 14:45:43	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	68	70¢	$48	0xc43e62…
06-17 14:45:32	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x24f3d9…
06-17 14:45:20	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x855dae…
06-16 07:27:04	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbed394…
06-16 07:26:51	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x59ce53…
06-16 07:26:45	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe7c699…
06-16 07:26:40	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x935984…
06-16 07:26:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x531340…
06-16 07:25:13	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x92e46a…
06-16 07:25:07	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x4b3d00…
06-16 07:24:55	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x35ad6d…
06-15 01:22:54	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x597233…
06-14 23:48:07	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x7a5c80…
06-14 23:41:31	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x89e588…
06-14 23:09:03	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xb4492f…
06-14 23:04:06	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x692593…
06-14 22:59:16	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1181e0…
06-14 22:54:33	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0xe8e098…
06-14 22:48:37	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x990c3d…
06-14 22:42:07	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x35f868…
06-14 22:41:58	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x09b931…
06-14 22:41:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0xc47d0e…
06-14 22:38:24	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xc68dbd…
06-14 22:38:18	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc6dd27…
06-14 22:38:09	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd3170f…
06-14 22:35:45	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xbcf30c…
06-14 20:11:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x398308…
06-14 19:21:33	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5568ae…
06-14 19:20:39	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xd29ae9…