Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
30.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,526
lifetime
Volume
$199.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$229
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 07-22 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 33% $-7
Other
18%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,074 $-110 14¢ $-145 $-35 07-19 22:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $40 30¢ $59 +$19 07-13 16:47
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +329 $45 $13 $-32 06-27 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +100 $11 11¢ $11 $-0 07-18 15:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $65 $1 $-64 06-25 12:44