Realized P&L
+$28.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.82K
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
266
Trades
4,156
lifetime
Volume
$261.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$27.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-26 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
81% 38% +$33,974
Other
18% 31% -$5,651
Sports
0% 70% -$48
Crypto
0% 25% -$126
Tech
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +37,908 $15,539 59¢ $22.4K +$6,827 10-26 00:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +10,453 $1,902 14¢ $1.5K -$402 10-24 10:04
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +5,111 $1,270 26¢ $1.3K +$33 10-25 11:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,504 $1,063 70¢ $1.1K -$3 10-26 13:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +820 $246 28¢ $226 -$20 10-22 11:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +459 $156 32¢ $145 -$12 10-24 13:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +307 $160 44¢ $137 -$23 10-25 16:50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -733 -$235 18¢ $-134 +$101 08-04 03:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +146 $94 60¢ $88 -$6 10-25 16:55
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,790 $150 4¢ $65 -$84 10-19 23:45
Iran coup attempt by December 31? Yes +793 $80 8¢ $63 -$17 09-26 19:54
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +400 $68 15¢ $61 -$7 09-28 00:01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $34 3¢ $60 +$26 07-24 11:37
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,116 $36 5¢ $57 +$22 07-13 20:13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -100 -$40 57¢ $-57 -$17 05-24 23:30
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +400 $76 12¢ $50 -$26 10-25 17:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -490 -$69 10¢ $-48 +$21 08-01 13:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +100 $53 44¢ $44 -$10 10-24 13:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +504 $292 8¢ $43 -$249 09-06 10:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +210 $42 18¢ $39 -$3 10-17 15:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -45 -$33 82¢ $-37 -$4 08-02 10:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +65 $40 56¢ $36 -$4 10-25 15:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $28 60¢ $30 +$2 10-24 09:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +40 $16 59¢ $23 +$8 10-22 12:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $30 10¢ $19 -$11 09-06 10:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +519 $320 3¢ $17 -$304 07-19 22:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$16 17¢ $-17 $0 08-04 04:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $13 14¢ $14 +$1 10-22 11:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +40 $16 30¢ $12 -$3 10-25 16:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $28 2¢ $7 -$21 09-06 10:05