Flowery-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,837

lifetime

Volume

$175.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$212

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-07 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% 33% $-7

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+100	$22	100¢	$100	+$78	05-30 10:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	+332	$111	22¢	$75	$-36	06-06 14:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+200	$40	18¢	$37	$-3	06-06 01:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	68	$55.0K	37,245	37,680	-435	open	—	03-01 03:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	283	$29.6K	17,416	19,257	-1,841	open	—	04-08 00:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$14.9K	20,808	15,508	+5,300	open	—	03-01 12:33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	21	$14.5K	10,239	10,000	+239	open	—	02-28 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	79	$7.3K	13,057	2,947	+10,110	open	—	04-14 05:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	92	$5.7K	9,139	8,025	+1,114	open	—	03-18 12:38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	15	$4.3K	2,824	3,271	-447	open	—	02-28 23:50
nothing ever happens khamenei	29	$3.8K	6,976	1,200	+5,776	open	—	02-28 19:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	50	$3.5K	10,500	700	+9,800	open	—	04-12 23:32
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	73	$3.0K	2,931	2,817	+114	open	—	03-13 23:13
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.5K	3,753	0	+3,753	open	—	02-27 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$2.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	13	$1.8K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	03-02 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	17	$1.8K	2,900	1,246	+1,654	open	—	04-07 23:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	21	$1.8K	2,463	780	+1,683	open	—	03-05 04:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.5K	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	02-27 05:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	18	$1.4K	2,369	0	+2,369	open	—	02-27 16:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	67	$1.3K	54,749	0	+54,749	open	—	05-12 21:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	17	$1.0K	800	645	+155	open	—	04-12 23:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	11	$793	1,091	357	+734	open	—	04-29 23:46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	15	$750	937	727	+210	open	—	05-02 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$705	1,258	498	+759	open	—	03-05 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	23	$693	2,200	170	+2,030	open	—	04-12 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$571	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	04-08 12:47
will bitcoin dip to 67000 on march 6	19	$557	903	100	+803	open	—	03-06 19:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	17	$544	1,168	177	+991	open	—	03-11 22:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$510	912	912	+0	open	—	05-24 23:22
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	6	$498	393	393	+0	open	—	03-05 15:26
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$459	728	0	+728	open	—	02-27 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 20:54:21	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0x7b2b27…
06-07 20:45:57	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	127	90¢	$115	0xe87a2f…
06-07 20:20:24	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x5f43de…
06-07 20:14:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xc1555d…
06-07 20:04:33	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xcc54de…
06-07 20:04:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe86d65…
06-07 20:04:03	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xc6093a…
06-07 20:03:49	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbb5ef2…
06-07 20:03:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xca8282…
06-06 14:01:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x2a5dd5…
06-06 13:39:37	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x8c6cf2…
06-06 04:41:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x693aa4…
06-06 02:59:40	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x696cf0…
06-06 02:31:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xb5adc9…
06-06 01:30:01	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x44b10e…
06-06 01:29:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe51393…
06-06 00:33:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x6efe98…
06-05 23:56:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x691e82…
06-05 23:56:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xb30d09…
06-05 23:56:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x7b0d0b…
06-05 23:56:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x696186…
06-05 23:56:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x124fa5…
06-05 23:50:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xbf1b05…
06-05 23:50:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xce708b…
06-05 23:50:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x370396…
05-30 12:14:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0cbc3a…
05-30 12:06:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	93	15¢	$14	0x37eb99…
05-30 10:19:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x546e4e…
05-30 09:02:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x9d66bb…
05-30 05:27:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xddfb9f…
05-30 00:02:55	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x4a8dbb…
05-29 23:55:54	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x3a0aac…
05-29 23:42:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x99a5f8…
05-29 23:40:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$37	0x57eaf1…
05-29 23:40:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x7dcfeb…
05-29 23:39:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x6831a4…
05-29 23:39:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x2bff9a…
05-29 23:39:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x12a018…
05-29 23:30:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0a4938…
05-29 23:29:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4cfbae…
05-29 23:27:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xd597ed…
05-29 23:27:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x583c51…
05-29 23:26:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2b529f…
05-29 23:26:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x7475b1…
05-29 23:26:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x872a9e…
05-29 23:26:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	441	7¢	$30	0x31389f…
05-29 23:25:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	297	7¢	$20	0xf7a15a…
05-29 22:59:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x36094f…
05-29 22:54:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xab519d…
05-26 00:36:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb1112f…
05-24 23:22:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	912	23¢	$210	0xc41eca…
05-18 03:33:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$46	0x3efc23…
05-17 13:51:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x9a1d94…
05-13 16:10:52	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9bf49c…
05-13 16:10:42	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xda2515…
05-13 16:10:28	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb37dbf…
05-12 21:07:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xac7072…
05-12 21:06:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x7b9a86…
05-12 14:56:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0x939cfb…
05-12 14:51:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0x777923…
05-11 14:23:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,818	1¢	$20	0xbc8d3f…
05-11 04:53:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,667	1¢	$20	0xa7f538…
05-11 04:52:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3,667	1¢	$43	0x19084e…
05-11 04:51:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	17,083	1¢	$200	0x8bcb33…
05-10 13:43:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xcb1819…
05-10 13:43:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	912	33¢	$300	0x9efdd8…
05-10 12:19:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd64bb4…
05-08 03:04:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	72	12¢	$9	0xed7dfa…
05-08 03:03:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xc73088…
05-08 03:02:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x7fba8a…
05-08 03:02:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x6ed014…
05-06 07:57:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x18ba16…
05-06 07:52:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x16d8fd…
05-06 07:52:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x851888…
05-06 07:52:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9f3338…
05-05 03:20:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x085ddf…
05-05 00:05:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x34a8d5…
05-05 00:02:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0xc837c2…
05-04 23:59:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x03d8ae…
05-04 23:48:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x3f104e…
05-04 23:45:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	157	17¢	$27	0x310966…
05-04 23:43:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x7c6539…
05-04 21:36:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x82b13e…
05-04 21:32:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xfc1484…
05-04 21:30:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xc9bbdc…
05-04 21:30:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	125	18¢	$22	0x1b832a…
05-04 21:25:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3b651d…
05-04 21:23:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x86ad68…
05-04 21:03:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	101	19¢	$19	0x6620e6…
05-04 21:01:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0x3f755f…
05-04 20:39:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x6a117d…
05-04 15:03:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf40ae1…
05-04 14:21:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xebedd1…
05-04 13:28:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	266	15¢	$40	0x12a024…
05-04 06:22:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xff9216…
05-04 06:04:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x812bce…
05-04 05:58:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x835f29…
05-04 05:20:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xd89b4f…
05-04 05:15:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x00c9ca…
05-04 04:09:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xcefb4a…