Skinny-Diving — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$394

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,379

lifetime

Volume

$776.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$326

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-07 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% — —

Other

14% 0% $-394

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	79	$49.4K	40,458	14,666	+25,792	open	—	07-20 13:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	63	$46.7K	32,565	32,565	+0	open	—	04-15 11:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	32	$38.9K	38,496	45,036	-6,540	open	—	06-14 22:54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	47	$32.3K	33,200	43,367	-10,166	open	—	03-06 04:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$31.6K	35,666	39,882	-4,216	open	—	06-14 22:56
will iran strike israel on march 10	13	$27.4K	28,879	28,879	+0	open	—	03-12 15:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	37	$26.4K	34,194	34,194	+0	open	—	04-12 14:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	10	$26.2K	28,191	0	+28,191	open	—	06-16 14:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	23	$25.4K	39,829	33,379	+6,450	open	—	03-09 18:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$21.6K	13,508	14,538	-1,030	open	—	03-25 12:50
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	48	$14.9K	22,222	0	+22,222	open	—	08-02 03:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$14.4K	18,072	0	+18,072	open	—	06-16 18:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$11.9K	13,510	0	+13,510	open	—	08-01 17:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	6	$11.8K	8,966	3,411	+5,555	open	—	07-18 11:23
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$11.1K	7,442	7,442	+0	open	—	06-20 00:08
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	12	$10.7K	17,007	0	+17,007	open	—	04-16 17:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	4	$10.7K	16,131	0	+16,131	open	—	06-13 19:41
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$10.7K	6,441	6,441	+0	open	—	03-10 01:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$10.7K	8,888	8,888	+0	open	—	03-23 21:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	1	$10.5K	11,403	0	+11,403	open	—	04-16 17:53
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	6	$9.5K	10,327	0	+10,327	open	—	04-16 17:54
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	132	$9.2K	13,453	13,348	+105	open	—	03-16 09:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	15	$9.2K	5,197	5,197	+0	open	—	07-19 20:26
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	8	$7.6K	6,142	5,375	+768	open	—	07-17 02:14
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	6	$7.4K	5,627	5,627	+0	open	—	06-17 16:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$7.3K	13,957	6,856	+7,100	open	—	06-14 23:24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$7.2K	10,668	0	+10,668	open	—	04-16 17:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	30	$6.6K	18,087	0	+18,087	open	—	07-30 06:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	7	$6.6K	4,442	3,711	+731	open	—	07-19 17:03
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	17	$6.2K	6,258	6,207	+50	open	—	07-25 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 00:54:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf97d1a…
08-06 16:24:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	17,045	20¢	$3,473	0xc20cd9…
08-06 15:06:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x0bfd96…
08-04 03:53:05	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	444	86¢	$380	0x3ff398…
08-02 03:24:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	17,195	67¢	$11,520	0x519997…
08-02 02:08:56	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	18,433	8¢	$1,475	0x6d84f1…
08-02 01:52:42	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xfbffdb…
08-02 01:42:18	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf0f3fa…
08-01 23:05:14	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xd496b7…
08-01 23:05:14	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x2dfaf5…
08-01 23:05:12	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x38d378…
08-01 23:05:11	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe08ff5…
08-01 23:05:11	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x6b04d6…
08-01 23:05:09	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x3644ed…
08-01 23:05:09	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x0c1983…
08-01 23:05:08	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x36175e…
08-01 23:05:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf4a383…
08-01 23:05:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x5bddb1…
08-01 23:05:05	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa054b3…
08-01 23:05:05	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x91da9d…
08-01 23:05:03	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa222ec…
08-01 23:05:03	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x10d3d1…
08-01 23:05:02	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfd3f5f…
08-01 23:05:02	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x9fdf47…
08-01 23:05:02	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8fe684…
08-01 23:05:02	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x44e92e…
08-01 23:05:00	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xaf4981…
08-01 23:05:00	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x500a94…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xef5232…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdd18ce…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbdbf5e…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb37cb1…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa3b207…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x965082…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x74ba14…
08-01 23:04:59	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x686a4a…
08-01 23:04:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x6fcfa4…
08-01 23:04:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x5e401c…
08-01 23:04:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x2c1d41…
08-01 23:04:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x272492…
08-01 23:04:56	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe72500…
08-01 23:04:56	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa59ab5…
08-01 23:04:56	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x25f6b2…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe59f74…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc1a08e…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb4a8fc…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x97d5df…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7d0dbd…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6f9071…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x695d28…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x4dbd1e…
08-01 23:04:54	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1630b0…
08-01 23:04:53	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xaa7a53…
08-01 23:04:53	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x11dd70…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf9c120…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb5bce6…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7c9c24…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x73359a…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x538875…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x50c7b0…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x40f89e…
08-01 23:04:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x16f1bc…
08-01 23:04:50	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xef65c6…
08-01 23:04:50	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa84310…
08-01 23:04:50	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6acf76…
08-01 23:04:50	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x2d168a…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfe0048…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xef9123…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe9a4dc…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xaa0cbb…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x95fd7f…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x84595f…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6ea5db…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x5d0cbf…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4a2967…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1e3ff2…
08-01 23:04:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x140b58…
08-01 23:04:47	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe0e32b…
08-01 23:04:47	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3dedc7…
08-01 23:04:47	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x321ca6…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf451f4…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe9a2c2…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd29eeb…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb9f9eb…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xaea691…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x9b8878…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x53c3f5…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1b8019…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x103181…
08-01 23:04:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x008fdf…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xff8f0c…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf8b5d5…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf6a276…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd1e2b5…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x9a7532…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x693e02…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5ac14b…
08-01 23:04:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x191cc8…
08-01 23:04:42	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf79860…
08-01 23:04:42	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf4c7dd…