Sneaky-Case — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-01 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Sports

25% 100% +$3

Politics

7% 0% $-10

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-31 23:04
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$75	109	0	+109	open	—	01-31 23:08
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$70	90	0	+90	open	—	04-07 23:10
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 02:32
will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	06-12 01:26
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	01-31 04:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	04-18 03:15
nba sas dal 2026 02 05	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	02-06 03:35
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	02-01 14:03
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-01 14:07
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	04-16 03:43
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	02-06 03:32
will germany win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	02-19 03:30
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 17 2026 31c	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-17 02:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 17c	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 02:48
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 03:18
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-08 03:34
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 29c	2	$19	27	0	+27	open	—	03-29 13:32
will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in march 2026 363	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 01:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 03:27
highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 10corhigher	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-19 01:46
will brazil record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 757	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	02-06 03:40
will beef season 2 be the top us netflix show this week	2	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 03:04
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-11 02:26
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	1	$10	57	0	+57	Yes	$-10	03-18 01:56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-11 02:33
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-17 03:09
will domantas sabonis be traded this season	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	02-03 03:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	02-22 23:42
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 20c	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-18 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:28:12	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa5dd71…
06-12 01:26:58	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x348761…
06-12 01:26:34	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xadedf9…
06-01 01:13:04	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3a687d…
05-03 21:50:28	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x893223…
04-30 03:18:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x61078d…
04-26 03:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaec690…
04-26 03:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0996ac…
04-26 03:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa1a15e…
04-23 23:03:22	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x8ad1d4…
04-23 22:59:58	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 12c	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe0c2f4…
04-23 22:56:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x28f833…
04-23 22:53:48	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe5e0c4…
04-23 22:53:42	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 28c	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6bcdf8…
04-23 22:53:16	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x06f4c2…
04-23 02:48:52	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xff5a6f…
04-23 02:48:44	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb972c2…
04-23 02:48:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x960611…
04-23 02:45:58	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 26c	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9c844b…
04-21 22:13:04	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xb2e6e8…
04-21 22:08:54	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x84950d…
04-21 22:08:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2e1c01…
04-21 22:07:22	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 26c	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4e5c81…
04-21 03:21:08	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x946d9a…
04-21 03:19:54	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x72d7a1…
04-21 03:19:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x32b546…
04-21 03:13:34	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfafbdd…
04-21 03:11:16	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfed88c…
04-21 03:11:06	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xc94eab…
04-21 03:11:00	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x3875a5…
04-20 03:03:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 3c	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8ee57c…
04-20 03:03:24	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x44e5be…
04-19 01:47:12	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xa529fa…
04-19 01:46:32	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 10corhigher	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xb326da…
04-18 03:15:42	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xed2f47…
04-18 03:08:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf06708…
04-18 03:07:52	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 19c	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7fb8fc…
04-18 03:06:00	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc6320f…
04-18 03:05:50	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x156c7b…
04-17 03:09:18	NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x98d31a…
04-17 03:04:18	will beef season 2 be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x92a348…
04-17 03:02:30	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcc1022…
04-17 03:00:38	will beef season 2 be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x093bad…
04-17 02:59:20	will ronaldinho the one and only be the top global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8d7dbf…
04-17 02:57:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1f8d37…
04-17 02:56:16	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 17 2026 31c	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xe9f487…
04-17 02:51:48	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5bd846…
04-17 02:51:38	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 17c	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5ef7c6…
04-17 02:51:20	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 18c	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd0eba0…
04-16 03:44:12	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x245e75…
04-16 03:43:56	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xe03a45…
04-16 03:42:16	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 21c	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbc00cc…
04-16 03:42:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd36965…
04-16 03:41:06	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe1cbd4…
04-14 03:21:23	highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 21corbelow	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x2e59a2…
04-12 12:48:43	highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 10c	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x31f963…
04-11 02:35:29	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x58469f…
04-11 02:33:23	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1c0717…
04-11 02:26:47	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe55c07…
04-11 02:23:57	highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 11c	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x626401…
04-10 03:10:03	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4ee60b…
04-10 03:09:39	will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfa8282…
04-10 03:09:05	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x22ed7e…
04-10 03:00:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x35b0ca…
04-07 23:18:03	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x39806c…
04-07 23:16:31	highest temperature in toronto on april 8 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfc5790…
04-07 23:14:35	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0184ee…
04-07 23:14:25	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xdaff57…
04-07 23:14:17	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 27c	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f63f6…
04-07 23:10:47	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x4f08c5…
04-07 02:47:03	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x045b4c…
04-07 02:46:35	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 28c	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf73bd2…
04-05 19:22:21	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 6 2026 27c	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x2efece…
04-05 19:21:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x62f168…
04-05 19:21:21	highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 7c	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xedb885…
04-03 23:32:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0xac1fd1…
04-03 22:00:31	will anaconda be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x4ef448…
04-03 21:59:33	will anaconda be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe1af99…
04-03 21:57:15	highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 6c	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe58de2…
04-03 21:55:37	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 4 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecd88d…
04-03 21:55:21	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 4 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xe8a67c…
04-01 03:07:59	highest temperature in toronto on april 2 2026 6corhigher	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc5b5f1…
04-01 03:06:51	highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xffc0c9…
04-01 03:05:45	highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 11c	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xfeb28a…
04-01 03:02:19	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x3932d9…
03-30 03:15:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7a6e87…
03-30 03:12:44	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x22aa0a…
03-30 03:08:18	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x11bb2f…
03-30 03:00:22	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 30 2026 29c	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x127baf…
03-30 03:00:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 30 2026 28c	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x084688…
03-29 14:05:26	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf0770a…
03-29 13:32:20	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 29c	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x049cbc…
03-29 13:31:54	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x18f396…
03-29 13:30:48	highest temperature in toronto on march 29 2026 10corhigher	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x24fb36…
03-28 12:19:57	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3752e5…
03-28 12:19:47	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 29c	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x88cbab…
03-28 12:05:27	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 0c	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf65a72…
03-28 12:04:29	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 28c	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5cfe9b…
03-27 02:34:39	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x4fb415…
03-27 02:28:27	will jurassic world rebirth be the top us netflix movie this week 591	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x384c7c…