Vain-Incense — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,863 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$26.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

45% 50% -$17

Politics

25% 33% -$92

Sports

17% 55% +$427

Crypto

13% 61% -$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	65	$5.2K	3,355	3,355	+0	Yes	-$91	06-14 21:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$9	06-09 14:47
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$708	522	522	+0	Yes	+$58	07-18 22:17
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	316	$659	31,368	22,951	+8,417	No	+$108	07-14 20:25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$615	1,191	1,191	+0	No	-$21	07-19 19:31
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$567	394	394	+0	No	+$167	02-02 23:22
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$555	500	500	+0	No	+$85	02-06 19:34
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$519	200	706	-506	Yes	-$195	01-04 12:10
tur ant fen 2026 03 01 fen	5	$495	501	501	+0	No	+$95	03-01 19:11
tur gal ala 2026 02 28 gal	4	$456	262	262	+0	Yes	+$66	02-28 19:59
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	93	$440	9,089	9,089	+0	No	+$21	07-05 12:42
ucl fen lyo 2026 08 18 team to advance	13	$415	361	352	+9	Fenerbahçe SK	+$57	08-19 20:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$405	741	621	+121	Yes	+$64	07-19 21:52
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$390	500	500	+0	No	+$10	02-09 16:30
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	3	$356	215	215	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$56	05-24 19:58
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?	3	$355	225	225	+0	Yes	+$95	09-04 20:29
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$344	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$36	06-13 23:54
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	13	$344	473	200	+273	No	+$56	11-03 19:41
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$332	280	280	+0	Yes	-$88	09-09 19:30
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	454	$329	53,323	53,323	+0	No	+$223	07-11 23:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$322	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$78	07-14 20:05
tur gal kay 2026 02 01 gal	2	$300	367	0	+367	Yes	+$67	02-01 17:04
tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 gal	1	$300	345	0	+345	Yes	+$45	02-13 15:19
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	409	$300	59,301	59,301	+0	No	+$73	07-10 16:02
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	8	$298	857	0	+857	Fenerbahçe SK	-$298	08-26 19:58
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	4	$287	283	283	+0	No	+$127	10-22 20:33
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	7	$282	254	254	+0	open	—	10-07 14:22
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	2	$249	149	149	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$49	05-22 17:38
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	2	$238	150	150	+0	Yes	+$61	10-30 19:34
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	3	$227	200	200	+0	Yes	+$47	11-03 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 21:20:07	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f2ee0…
11-12 21:11:21	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0d5125…
11-12 21:08:06	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xceccbd…
11-08 20:11:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcc4591…
11-08 17:39:03	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcda5a6…
11-08 14:06:16	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc57e95…
11-07 18:50:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9f0472…
11-07 14:28:55	Will Samsunspor win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0xfd5a44…
11-07 14:28:52	Will Samsunspor win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xeebfd3…
11-07 10:40:25	Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x505130…
11-06 21:16:28	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	42	44¢	$19	0xabe4e1…
11-06 20:11:36	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa65fe7…
11-05 22:10:09	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xdcd45a…
11-05 17:57:37	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xd6eb8f…
11-05 17:54:34	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	38	62¢	$23	0x6f1f67…
11-05 17:43:48	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x77d77f…
11-04 17:54:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x01f67f…
11-04 16:40:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x0f97c9…
11-03 19:41:21	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x90d67e…
11-03 18:51:42	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xf1dd9d…
11-03 18:50:36	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xbcf859…
11-03 18:30:28	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x4b81e3…
11-03 17:31:42	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xc633f5…
11-02 21:40:27	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	81	67¢	$54	0x70a042…
11-02 21:30:40	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x495c44…
11-02 20:13:42	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf8d6fe…
11-02 19:09:09	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x686747…
11-02 18:15:36	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xeda74b…
11-02 17:10:06	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa221d5…
11-02 16:49:42	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4b27c9…
11-02 14:52:04	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdebe0f…
11-02 13:18:33	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x82a8da…
11-02 07:54:58	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x83d5ac…
11-02 03:56:51	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2a49e3…
11-01 09:48:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x867052…
10-31 21:10:07	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x2742c3…
10-31 20:18:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb1164e…
10-31 18:54:52	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	98	15¢	$14	0xe128e4…
10-31 18:22:43	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8a9d2a…
10-30 21:41:19	Virtus Bologna vs. Besiktas	Besiktas	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x58defa…
10-30 19:54:57	Virtus Bologna vs. Besiktas	Besiktas	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0x1823c3…
10-30 19:34:30	Virtus Bologna vs. Besiktas	Besiktas	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xfb7107…
10-30 19:34:13	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x59ca31…
10-28 17:28:31	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xcf49e6…
10-27 22:48:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	82	44¢	$36	0xb42c51…
10-27 18:54:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x3ee358…
10-27 17:54:00	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0xb8e0b4…
10-26 19:31:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0xc8875b…
10-26 17:41:47	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	94	51¢	$48	0x49fdaa…
10-26 17:07:30	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	94	22¢	$21	0x0f1c33…
10-26 16:34:45	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb91351…
10-26 16:14:50	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xce507d…
10-26 12:14:41	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	330	50¢	$165	0x832f27…
10-25 21:16:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0xb0fb4e…
10-23 19:32:32	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x8dcccf…
10-22 20:33:50	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	141	76¢	$108	0x0d22e2…
10-22 20:16:20	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	141	70¢	$99	0x04d653…
10-22 19:53:24	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xbd9e2b…
10-22 19:03:12	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x00c81c…
10-21 17:55:30	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x608c6e…
10-21 17:25:29	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd6c061…
10-20 16:56:33	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x4d4614…
10-20 14:05:27	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0x1d1e40…
10-20 06:09:25	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	155	55¢	$85	0x43f76f…
10-20 02:42:45	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x98315c…
10-20 02:18:32	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x911e76…
10-19 20:11:45	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xf9e770…
10-19 20:11:11	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0xa7b188…
10-19 19:24:35	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x359a10…
10-19 18:40:41	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$15	0xd5a235…
10-19 18:36:05	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xdb2b23…
10-19 17:26:12	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x71e587…
10-19 17:10:03	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x88a287…
10-17 14:48:21	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xd3a8d7…
10-17 14:36:20	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x2ac050…
10-17 14:34:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0xce5ea6…
10-17 14:17:26	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xb30737…
10-17 14:10:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x726ba7…
10-17 12:01:33	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x0cefdf…
10-13 19:34:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x025efe…
10-07 14:22:56	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xfe6e97…
10-07 14:22:55	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	212	60¢	$127	0xcf01be…
10-06 21:57:38	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	60¢	$25	0xaf1765…
10-06 14:31:24	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xeef654…
10-06 14:28:30	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa32d1b…
10-06 14:14:17	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x017e04…
10-06 14:14:11	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x576f9f…
09-19 16:35:29	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x3a9d1b…
09-10 17:55:45	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x7b0ef4…
09-10 16:43:12	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x0cab8e…
09-10 00:54:46	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	152	45¢	$68	0xc17237…
09-09 20:20:19	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x10ab41…
09-09 19:30:58	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	280	44¢	$122	0x7a4174…
09-09 04:00:48	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	280	75¢	$210	0xf8cd15…
09-08 19:30:19	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	541	4¢	$20	0x4a7117…
09-04 20:29:19	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xdf2a5d…
09-04 18:47:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x0d1f72…
09-04 17:07:31	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x42fc40…
08-29 19:47:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x887530…
08-29 18:50:49	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x9e1488…